1. Cercle Brugge vs Westerlo

Cercle Brugge vs Westerlo 2-0 Score & Prediction Review

Pro League - Season 2022/2023 (Round 6)

Fair result
Cercle BruggeCercle Brugge

2–0

WesterloWesterlo
1.7Chances (xG)1.0

On these chances Cercle Brugge would usually take 1.9 points and Westerlo 0.9; they took 3 and 0. Bookmakers' favourite: Cercle Brugge.

Cercle Brugge +1.1 pts vs chancesWesterlo −0.9 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

Cercle Brugge vs Westerlo stats: how the match was played

Pro League

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Cercle Brugge had clearly more shots on target

Cercle Brugge

Westerlo

5

Shots on target

3

3

Big chances

1

4

Corners

3

1

Yellow cards

1

42%

Possession

58%

The match between Cercle Brugge and Westerlo ended 2-0. Our AI model correctly predicted a Cercle Brugge win with 48% confidence before kick-off. Overall a solid read on this match, with 3 out of 4 key markets predicted correctly, including Full-Time Result, Over/Under 2.5 Goals & Over/Under 3.5 Goals.
This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Union Saint-Gilloise – Cercle Brugge prediction & betting tips (Oct 25, 2026).

Cercle Brugge vs Westerlo — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · Pro League

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Cercle Brugge to win

Correct
Our model 48%Bookmakers 65%

Our track record

In 3,517 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 49.5% of the time (bookmakers said 50.5%).

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Yes, both score

Wrong
Our model 51%Bookmakers 66%

Our track record

In 6,524 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 55.3% of the time (bookmakers said 55.0%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 2.5 goals

Correct

The bookmakers’ favourite was wrong: Over 2.5 goals.

Our model 53%Bookmakers 27%

Our track record

In 2,862 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 44.1% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 45.2% than to our 50–55%.

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Correct

The bookmakers’ favourite was wrong: Over 3.5 goals.

Our model 74%Bookmakers 48%

Our track record

Too few similar matches in the last 12 months for a track record.

First Half Result →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Draw at half-time

Correct

The bookmakers’ favourite was wrong: Cercle Brugge ahead at half-time.

Our model 41%Bookmakers 34%

Our track record

In 2,248 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 36.8% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 37.3% than to our 40–45%.

Cercle Brugge Goals →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Cercle Brugge 0–1 goals

Wrong

The bookmakers’ favourite was correct: Cercle Brugge 2+ goals.

Our model 57%Bookmakers 28%

Our track record

In 1,030 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 42.9% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 44.9% than to our 55–60%.

Westerlo Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Westerlo 0–1 goals

Correct
Our model 73%Bookmakers 63%

Our track record

In 3,396 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 71.6% of the time (bookmakers said 72.0%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Cercle Brugge vs Westerlo 2-0 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Cercle Brugge vs Westerlo. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT
Cercle BruggeCercle Brugge2
WesterloWesterlo0

Winner

1X 74%

BTTS*

Yes 51%

Correct Score

1-1 12%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 53%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 64%

Full Time

148%
X26%
226%

Goals Over/Under

<1.5>1.5<2.5>2.5
FT28%72%53%47%
<3.5>3.5<4.5>4.5
FT64%36%86%14%

Team Goals Over/Under

<0.5>0.5<1.5>1.5
Cercle Brugge25%75%57%43%
Westerlo39%61%73%27%
<2.5>2.5<3.5>3.5
Cercle Brugge0%0%0%0%
Westerlo0%0%0%0%

1st Half

138%
X41%
222%

1st Score

154%
X8%
238%

Half Time/Full Time

1-1

29%

X-1

16%

X-X

15%

2-2

14%

X-2

10%

1-X

5%

2-X

5%

2-1

3%

1-2

2%

Correct Score

1-1

12.2%

1-0

11.8%

2-1

9.3%

0-0

8.5%

2-0

8.3%

0-1

8.2%

1-2

6.4%

2-2

4.9%

3-1

4.4%

0-2

4.3%

3-0

4.1%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Union Saint-Gilloise – Cercle Brugge prediction & betting tips (Oct 25, 2026).

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