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Cercle Brugge vs Westerlo 2-0 Score & Prediction Review
Pro League - Season 2022/2023 (Round 6)
2–0
On these chances Cercle Brugge would usually take 1.9 points and Westerlo 0.9; they took 3 and 0. Bookmakers' favourite: Cercle Brugge.
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.
Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.
Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.
How we measure →Cercle Brugge vs Westerlo stats: how the match was played
Pro League
Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.
Cercle Brugge had clearly more shots on target
Cercle Brugge
Westerlo
5
Shots on target
3
3
Big chances
1
4
Corners
3
1
Yellow cards
1
42%
Possession
58%
Cercle Brugge vs Westerlo — Our Model vs the Bookmakers
Market check · Pro League
How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.
How to read it
Our model’s pick
Cercle Brugge to win
CorrectOur track record
In 3,517 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 49.5% of the time (bookmakers said 50.5%).
Our model’s pick
Yes, both score
WrongOur track record
In 6,524 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 55.3% of the time (bookmakers said 55.0%).
Our model’s pick
Under 2.5 goals
CorrectThe bookmakers’ favourite was wrong: Over 2.5 goals.
Our track record
In 2,862 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 44.1% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 45.2% than to our 50–55%.
Our model’s pick
Under 3.5 goals
CorrectThe bookmakers’ favourite was wrong: Over 3.5 goals.
Our track record
Too few similar matches in the last 12 months for a track record.
Our model’s pick
Draw at half-time
CorrectThe bookmakers’ favourite was wrong: Cercle Brugge ahead at half-time.
Our track record
In 2,248 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 36.8% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 37.3% than to our 40–45%.
Our model’s pick
Cercle Brugge 0–1 goals
WrongThe bookmakers’ favourite was correct: Cercle Brugge 2+ goals.
Our track record
In 1,030 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 42.9% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 44.9% than to our 55–60%.
Our model’s pick
Westerlo 0–1 goals
CorrectOur track record
In 3,396 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 71.6% of the time (bookmakers said 72.0%).
Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.
Cercle Brugge vs Westerlo 2-0 — How Our Predictions Performed
The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Cercle Brugge vs Westerlo. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.
Winner
1X 74%
BTTS*
Yes 51%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 53%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 64%
Winner
1X 74%
BTTS*
Yes 51%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 53%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 64%
Full Time
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 28% | 72% | 53% | 47% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 64% | 36% | 86% | 14% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25% | 75% | 57% | 43% | |
| 39% | 61% | 73% | 27% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | |
| 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
1st Half
1st Score
Half Time/Full Time
1-1
29%
X-1
16%
X-X
15%
2-2
14%
X-2
10%
1-X
5%
2-X
5%
2-1
3%
1-2
2%
Correct Score
1-1
12.2%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.3%
0-0
8.5%
2-0
8.3%
0-1
8.2%
1-2
6.4%
2-2
4.9%
3-1
4.4%
0-2
4.3%
3-0
4.1%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score