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Gent vs Standard Liège 3-1 Score & Prediction Review

Pro League - Season 2022/2023 (Round 6)

Fair result
GentGent

3–1

Standard LiègeStandard Liège
2.2Chances (xG)0.9

On these chances Gent would usually take 2.2 points and Standard Liège 0.6; they took 3 and 0. Bookmakers' favourite: Gent.

Gent +0.8 pts vs chancesStandard Liège −0.6 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

Gent vs Standard Liège stats: how the match was played

Pro League

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Gent had more than twice the shots on target

Gent

Standard Liège

5

Shots on target

2

2

Big chances

1

4

Corners

3

1

Yellow cards

3

54%

Possession

46%

The match between Gent and Standard Liège ended 3-1. Our AI model correctly predicted a Gent win with 61% confidence before kick-off. Overall a solid read on this match, with 3 out of 4 key markets predicted correctly, including Full-Time Result, Both Teams To Score & Over/Under 2.5 Goals.
This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Genk – Standard Liège prediction & betting tips (Oct 25, 2026).

Gent vs Standard Liège — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · Pro League

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Gent to win

Correct
Our model 61%Bookmakers 69%

Our track record

In 1,073 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 67.1% of the time (bookmakers said 66.3%).

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Yes, both score

Correct
Our model 50%Bookmakers 60%

Our track record

In 6,519 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 55.3% of the time (bookmakers said 55.0%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Over 2.5 goals

Correct
Our model 53%Bookmakers 71%

Our track record

In 5,201 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 57.1% of the time (bookmakers said 56.5%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Wrong

The bookmakers’ favourite was correct: Over 3.5 goals.

Our model 70%Bookmakers 50%

Our track record

In 130 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 50.0% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 47.4% than to our 65–70%.

First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Gent ahead at half-time

Correct
Our model 45%Bookmakers 52%

Our track record

In 6,711 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 44.5% of the time (bookmakers said 44.2%).

Gent Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Gent 2+ goals

Correct
Our model 56%Bookmakers 72%

Our track record

In 3,496 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.7% of the time (bookmakers said 61.1%).

Standard Liège Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Standard Liège 0–1 goals

Correct
Our model 80%Bookmakers 72%

Our track record

In 1,502 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 80–85% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 79.1% of the time (bookmakers said 80.5%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Gent vs Standard Liège 3-1 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Gent vs Standard Liège. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT
Pro League - Belgium
GentGent3
Standard LiègeStandard Liège1

Winner

1 61%

BTTS*

Yes 50%

Correct Score

1-0 12%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 53%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 60%

Full Time

161%
X22%
217%

Goals Over/Under

<1.5>1.5<2.5>2.5
FT23%77%47%53%
<3.5>3.5<4.5>4.5
FT60%40%81%19%

Team Goals Over/Under

<0.5>0.5<1.5>1.5
Gent16%84%44%56%
Standard Liège49%51%80%20%
<2.5>2.5<3.5>3.5
Gent0%0%0%0%
Standard Liège0%0%0%0%

1st Half

145%
X38%
217%

1st Score

164%
X6%
230%

Half Time/Full Time

1-1

40%

X-1

19%

X-X

12%

2-2

8%

X-2

6%

2-X

5%

1-X

4%

2-1

4%

1-2

1%

Correct Score

1-0

11.7%

2-0

11.0%

1-1

10.4%

2-1

9.9%

3-0

6.9%

0-0

6.3%

3-1

6.2%

0-1

5.3%

1-2

4.5%

2-2

4.4%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Genk – Standard Liège prediction & betting tips (Oct 25, 2026).

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