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Union Saint-Gilloise vs Club Brugge 1-3 Score & Prediction Review

Pro League - Season 2022/2023 (Round 6)

Fair result
Union Saint-GilloiseUnion Saint-Gilloise

1–3

Club BruggeClub Brugge
1.4Chances (xG)1.1

On these chances Union Saint-Gilloise would usually take 1.5 points and Club Brugge 1.2; they took 0 and 3. Bookmakers' favourite: Union Saint-Gilloise.

Union Saint-Gilloise −1.5 pts vs chancesClub Brugge +1.8 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

Union Saint-Gilloise vs Club Brugge stats: how the match was played

Pro League

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Level on shots on target

Union Saint-Gilloise

Club Brugge

5

Shots on target

6

1

Big chances

3

5

Corners

6

0

Yellow cards

3

37%

Possession

63%

The match between Union Saint-Gilloise and Club Brugge ended 1-3. Our AI model predicted a Union Saint-Gilloise win at 47% confidence — the final result went a different way, but individual market predictions still offer useful insight. Overall a solid read on this match, with 2 out of 4 key markets predicted correctly, including Both Teams To Score & Over/Under 2.5 Goals.
This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Club Brugge – Sint-Truiden prediction & betting tips (Oct 25, 2026).

Union Saint-Gilloise vs Club Brugge — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · Pro League

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Union Saint-Gilloise to win

Wrong
Our model 47%Bookmakers 59%

Our track record

In 3,519 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 49.5% of the time (bookmakers said 50.5%).

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Yes, both score

Correct
Our model 54%Bookmakers 60%

Our track record

In 6,526 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 55.3% of the time (bookmakers said 55.0%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Over 2.5 goals

Correct
Our model 51%Bookmakers 63%

Our track record

In 5,208 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 57.1% of the time (bookmakers said 56.5%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Wrong
Our model 71%Bookmakers 58%

Our track record

In 4,594 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 72.3% of the time (bookmakers said 71.5%).

First Half Result →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Draw at half-time

Correct

The bookmakers’ favourite was wrong: Union Saint-Gilloise ahead at half-time.

Our model 41%Bookmakers 37%

Our track record

In 2,250 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 36.8% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 37.3% than to our 40–45%.

Union Saint-Gilloise Goals →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Union Saint-Gilloise 0–1 goals

Correct

The bookmakers’ favourite was wrong: Union Saint-Gilloise 2+ goals.

Our model 55%Bookmakers 38%

Our track record

In 1,873 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 42.1% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 43.7% than to our 50–55%.

Club Brugge Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Club Brugge 0–1 goals

Wrong
Our model 70%Bookmakers 68%

Our track record

In 3,397 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 71.5% of the time (bookmakers said 72.0%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Union Saint-Gilloise vs Club Brugge 1-3 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Union Saint-Gilloise vs Club Brugge. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT
Pro League - Belgium
Union Saint-GilloiseUnion Saint-Gilloise1
Club BruggeClub Brugge3

Winner

1X 72%

BTTS*

Yes 54%

Correct Score

1-1 12%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 51%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 61%

Full Time

147%
X25%
228%

Goals Over/Under

<1.5>1.5<2.5>2.5
FT25%75%49%51%
<3.5>3.5<4.5>4.5
FT61%39%84%16%

Team Goals Over/Under

<0.5>0.5<1.5>1.5
Union Saint-Gilloise23%77%55%45%
Club Brugge37%63%70%30%
<2.5>2.5<3.5>3.5
Union Saint-Gilloise0%0%0%0%
Club Brugge0%0%0%0%

1st Half

134%
X41%
225%

1st Score

151%
X7%
242%

Half Time/Full Time

1-1

27%

X-1

16%

2-2

16%

X-X

14%

X-2

11%

1-X

5%

2-X

5%

2-1

3%

1-2

2%

Correct Score

1-1

11.8%

1-0

10.5%

2-1

9.6%

2-0

8.0%

0-1

7.5%

0-0

6.8%

1-2

6.8%

2-2

5.5%

3-1

4.8%

0-2

4.4%

3-0

4.1%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Club Brugge – Sint-Truiden prediction & betting tips (Oct 25, 2026).

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