1. OH Leuven vs Lommel SK

OH Leuven vs Lommel United 2-2 Score & Prediction Review

Pro League - Season 2026/2027 (Round 9)

Robbed

OH Leuven drew despite more chances

OH LeuvenOH Leuven

2–2

Lommel UnitedLommel United
2.4Chances (xG)1.4

On these chances OH Leuven would usually take 2.0 points and Lommel United 0.8; they took 1 and 1. Bookmakers' favourite: OH Leuven.

OH Leuven −1.0 pts vs chancesLommel United +0.2 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

OH Leuven vs Lommel United stats: how the match was played

Pro League

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Level on shots on target

OH Leuven

Lommel United

5

Shots on target

5

7

Big chances

3

7

Corners

5

2

Yellow cards

2

43%

Possession

57%

The match between OH Leuven and Lommel United ended 2-2. Our AI model predicted a OH Leuven win at 45% confidence — the final result went a different way, but individual market predictions still offer useful insight. Overall a solid read on this match, with 2 out of 4 key markets predicted correctly, including Both Teams To Score & Over/Under 2.5 Goals.
This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Sint-Truiden – OH Leuven prediction & betting tips (Nov 1, 2026).

OH Leuven vs Lommel United — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · Pro League

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

OH Leuven to win

Wrong
Our model 46%Bookmakers 51%

Our track record

In 3,517 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 49.5% of the time (bookmakers said 50.5%).

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Yes, both score

Correct
Our model 61%Bookmakers 62%

Our track record

In 2,482 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 62.7% of the time (bookmakers said 61.7%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Over 2.5 goals

Correct
Our model 60%Bookmakers 60%

Our track record

In 3,110 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.4% of the time (bookmakers said 62.6%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Wrong
Our model 63%Bookmakers 63%

Our track record

In 2,412 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 63.6% of the time (bookmakers said 62.8%).

First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

OH Leuven ahead at half-time

Wrong
Our model 39%Bookmakers 39%

Our track record

In 2,008 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 35–40% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 40.3% of the time (bookmakers said 41.2%).

OH Leuven Goals →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

OH Leuven 0–1 goals

Wrong

The bookmakers’ favourite was correct: OH Leuven 2+ goals.

Our model 51%Bookmakers 44%

Our track record

In 1,872 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 42.1% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 43.7% than to our 50–55%.

Lommel United Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Lommel United 0–1 goals

Wrong
Our model 63%Bookmakers 66%

Our track record

In 2,678 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 63.4% of the time (bookmakers said 63.7%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

OH Leuven vs Lommel United 2-2 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for OH Leuven vs Lommel United. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT
OH LeuvenOH Leuven2
Lommel UnitedLommel United2

Winner

1X 69%

BTTS*

Yes 61%

Correct Score

1-1 10%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 60%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 53%

Full Time

145%
X24%
231%

Goals Over/Under

<1.5>1.5<2.5>2.5
FT19%81%40%60%
<3.5>3.5<4.5>4.5
FT53%47%78%22%

Team Goals Over/Under

<0.5>0.5<1.5>1.5
OH Leuven22%78%51%49%
Lommel United32%68%63%37%
<2.5>2.5<3.5>3.5
OH Leuven76%24%90%10%
Lommel United85%15%95%5%

1st Half

139%
X38%
223%

1st Score

159%
X5%
236%

Half Time/Full Time

1-1

32%

X-1

16%

X-X

13%

2-2

13%

X-2

9%

2-X

6%

1-X

5%

2-1

4%

1-2

2%

Correct Score

1-1

10.5%

2-1

9.4%

1-0

7.7%

1-2

7.4%

2-2

6.5%

0-1

6.3%

2-0

6.2%

3-1

5.2%

0-0

4.9%

0-2

4.3%

3-0

4.0%

3-2

3.6%

1-3

3.3%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

OH Leuven vs Lommel United — Recent Form

OH Leuven have won 1, drawn 3 and lost 1 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 15th in the table. Lommel United have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 8th in the table.

Last 5 matches

OH LeuvenOH Leuven
D
D
W
D
L
Lommel UnitedLommel United
D
W
D
L
L

Our prediction record

Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.

Full-Time Result

OH LeuvenOH Leuven
2/5
Lommel UnitedLommel United
2/5

Both Teams to Score

OH LeuvenOH Leuven
2/5
Lommel UnitedLommel United
3/5

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

OH LeuvenOH Leuven
2/5
Lommel UnitedLommel United
3/5

Over/Under 3.5 Goals

OH LeuvenOH Leuven
4/5
Lommel UnitedLommel United
2/5

First Half Result

OH LeuvenOH Leuven
0/5
Lommel UnitedLommel United
2/5

Correct Score

OH LeuvenOH Leuven
1/5
Lommel UnitedLommel United
0/5
W
D
L
Last 5 Matches
correct predictionwrong prediction
This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Sint-Truiden – OH Leuven prediction & betting tips (Nov 1, 2026).

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