Banker as favourites
8/10Union Saint-Gilloise won 8 of 10 as favourites (league 50%).
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Union Saint-Gilloise vs Genk Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips
Pro League - Season 2026/2027 (Round 11)
Riding their luck
Union Saint-Gilloise are taking more points than their chances usually bring
+4points more than their chances usually bring in their last 10
85% of teams this far ahead of their chances got fewer points in their next 10 games.
Bookmakers: Union Saint-Gilloise 60% to winGenk 17%
Union Saint-Gilloise vs Genk score prediction
Pro League
The goals we expect each side to score, not an exact score: built from both teams' chances, the bookmakers' view and real goals here.
Union Saint-Gilloise expected to create clearly more
2.8 goals in total, a little under the Pro League average of 2.9.
goals expected
Union Saint-Gilloise1.8
Genk1.0Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
We look at how many chances each team has created and allowed in its recent games in this league, what the bookmakers expected from those games, and the goals actually scored. Then we compare that with how many goals home and away teams usually score here.
Does it work? Since July 2025, our numbers have been 7% closer to the real goals than just using the league average.
How we measure →Get our AI football prediction and stats for Union Saint-Gilloise vs Genk: our model’s probabilities next to the bookmakers’ odds in each market, how often similar predictions came true, and both teams’ recent form.
Union Saint-Gilloise vs Genk — Our Model vs the Bookmakers
Market check · Pro League
For each market: our model’s probability for this match, the bookmakers’ probability from the current odds (margin removed), whether the two agree, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months. When they disagree, the bookmakers’ number has usually been the better guide.
How to read it
our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Union Saint-Gilloise to win
Our model 62%Bookmakers 60%
Our track record
In 1,068 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 66.7% of the time (bookmakers said 66.2%).
Both Teams to Score →Disagrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
No, not both
Our model 52%Bookmakers 42%
Our track record
In 3,115 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 46.5% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 46.4% than to our 50–55%.
Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Over 2.5 goals
Our model 53%Bookmakers 61%
Our track record
In 5,168 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 57.1% of the time (bookmakers said 56.5%).
Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Under 3.5 goals
Our model 68%Bookmakers 62%
Our track record
In 3,988 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.2% of the time (bookmakers said 66.7%).
First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Union Saint-Gilloise ahead at half-time
Our model 46%Bookmakers 45%
Our track record
In 4,301 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 48.1% of the time (bookmakers said 47.2%).
Union Saint-Gilloise Goals →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Union Saint-Gilloise 2+ goals
Our model 57%Bookmakers 62%
Our track record
In 3,506 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 62.0% of the time (bookmakers said 61.2%).
Genk Goals →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Genk 0–1 goals
Our model 82%Bookmakers 72%
Our track record
In 1,484 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 80–85% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 79.0% of the time (bookmakers said 80.6%).
Odds can still move before kick-off. The track record uses closing odds.
Union Saint-Gilloise vs Genk — AI Prediction & Probabilities by Market
Below are our AI-generated match predictions for Union Saint-Gilloise vs Genk. Each market shows the probability of each outcome based on our model's analysis of team form, historical data and current season performance.
Union Saint-Gilloise–
Genk–Winner
1 62%
BTTS*
No 52%
Correct Score
1-0 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 53%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 58%
Union Saint-Gilloise–Genk–Winner
1 62%
BTTS*
No 52%
Correct Score
1-0 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 53%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 58%
Full Time
162%
X23%
215%
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 25% | 76% | 47% | 53% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 58% | 42% | 79% | 21% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16% | 84% | 43% | 57% |
| 51% | 49% | 82% | 18% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 69% | 31% | 85% | 15% |
| 95% | 5% | 99% | 2% |
1st Half
146%
X38%
217%
1st Score
160%
X7%
233%
Half Time/Full Time
1-1
41%
X-1
19%
X-X
11%
2-2
8%
X-2
6%
2-X
5%
1-X
4%
2-1
4%
1-2
1%
Correct Score
1-0
12.0%
2-0
10.5%
1-1
10.1%
2-1
9.5%
0-0
7.3%
3-0
7.0%
3-1
5.6%
0-1
5.1%
2-2
4.4%
1-2
3.7%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score
Union Saint-Gilloise vs Genk: the stats that stand out
Pro League
Where each side is most unusual compared with the rest of the league: clean sheets, scoring first, wins as favourites and more.
How to read it
the teamleague averageshare of games, 0 to 100%Union Saint-Gilloise: banker as favourites, brick wall and always on the scoresheet
8/10Brick wall
5/10Union Saint-Gilloise kept 5 clean sheets in their last 10 (league 28%).
Always on the scoresheet
1/10Union Saint-Gilloise failed to score in only 1 of their last 10 (league 28%).
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
We compare each team's last 10 games in this competition with how often the same thing happens across the whole league (last 12 months). A fact only shows when the team is noticeably different from a typical team. For example, if teams here score first in half their games, a team needs 7 or more out of 10 (or 3 or fewer). We show up to three facts, the most unusual first, never two about the same thing. They describe what happened, not a forecast.
How we measure →Union Saint-Gilloise vs Genk: attack vs defence
Pro League
Both sides' chances created and allowed a game, next to the rest of the league, measured with our own xG.
How to read it
other Pro League teamsleague averagelast 10 games↑ Fewer chances allowed (xGA a game)
More chances created (xG a game) →
- Union Saint-Gilloise: good attack, good defence (1.85 xG, 0.93 xGA a game)
- Genk: good attack, good defence (1.74 xG, 1.28 xGA)
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
xG is our estimate of how many goals a team's chances were worth, from the shots in each match; xGA is the same for the chances it allowed. The dashed lines are the average of the teams shown. A team close to a line is about average. Teams with fewer than 5 games here aren't in the chart yet.
How we measure →Union Saint-Gilloise vs Genk form and luck check
Pro League
Whether each side is taking more or fewer points than its chances usually bring.
How to read it
what their chances usually bringoutside the normal range (±4)last 10 Pro League gamesUnion Saint-Gilloise are taking more points than their chances usually bring
- Union Saint-GilloiseBookmakers: 60% to win today.Clinical · +9 goals+4.1
- GenkBookmakers: 17% to win today.−2.7
Last 5 matches
Union Saint-GilloiseW
W
D
W
W
GenkL
W
W
L
D
W
D
L
Strength rank: Union Saint-Gilloise 2nd of 18 · Genk 3rd of 18
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
For each of a team's last 10 games, we work out how many points a team usually gets from a game with those chances (xG) for and against, add them up and compare with the points it actually got. We do the same for goals. Strong teams often get a bit more than their chances suggest, so we compare each team with sides of similar strength in this league. That way nobody is flagged just for being good.
We flag a team when the gap is 4 points or more (or 3 goals or more). If some games have no xG data, we use the ones that do.
Does it mean anything? 85% of teams 4+ points ahead of their chances got fewer points in their next 10 games, and 83% of teams 4+ points behind got more. Bookmakers already expect these gaps to even out, so it's a fan's read, not a betting edge.
Strength rank: we rank this season's 18 teams by how much better their attack is than their defence, using chances (xG), the odds and goals. Does it work? Over the first half of a season, this rank predicted the second half better than the league table did.
How we measure →Union Saint-Gilloise vs Genk: Over 2.5 & BTTS?
Pro League
How often each side's recent league games had over 2.5 goals and both teams scoring.
How to read it
a game where it happenedleague averagelast 10 Pro League gamesBTTS = both teams scoredUnion Saint-Gilloise and Genk games both go over 2.5 goals more often than the Pro League average (56%).
Over 2.5 goalsleague 56%
Union Saint-Gilloise7 of 10
Genk7 of 10
BTTSleague 52%
Union Saint-Gilloise5 of 10
Genk5 of 10
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
For each team we take its last 10 games in this competition from the past 12 months (fewer if it hasn't played 10) and count how many went over 2.5 goals and how many had both teams scoring. The league figure uses all 302 games played here in the last 12 months.
How we measure →Union Saint-Gilloise vs Genk corners, cards and goal times
Pro League
Each side's corners and cards a game, and when it scores and concedes, from its recent league games.
How to read it
league averagelast 10 in the league · corners and cards per game- Corners won: league 5.2
- Cards: league 2.0
- Goals before half-time: league 45%
- Goals after 75': league 23%
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
We use each team's last 10 games here. Corners and cards only count games where those stats were recorded, and goal times only count games with reliable goal minutes, so some teams have fewer than 10. We compare with the whole league over the last 12 months.
How we measure →Our prediction record
Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.
Full-Time Result
Genk3/5
Union Saint-Gilloise4/5
Both Teams to Score
Genk2/5
Union Saint-Gilloise2/5
Over/Under 2.5 Goals
Genk3/5
Union Saint-Gilloise3/5
Over/Under 3.5 Goals
Genk5/5
Union Saint-Gilloise3/5
First Half Result
Genk3/5
Union Saint-Gilloise2/5
Correct Score
Genk1/5
Union Saint-Gilloise0/5
correct predictionwrong prediction