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Sint-Truiden vs Gent 3-1 Score & Prediction Review

Pro League - Season 2025/2026 (Round 1)

Fair result
Sint-TruidenSint-Truiden

3–1

GentGent
1.4Chances (xG)1.6

On these chances Sint-Truiden would usually take 1.3 points and Gent 1.5; they took 3 and 0. Bookmakers' favourite: Sint-Truiden.

Sint-Truiden +1.7 pts vs chancesGent −1.5 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

Sint-Truiden vs Gent stats: how the match was played

Pro League

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Sint-Truiden had more than twice the shots on target

Sint-Truiden

Gent

5

Shots on target

2

2

Big chances

1

4

Corners

6

1

Yellow cards

1

48%

Possession

52%

The match between Sint-Truiden and Gent ended 3-1. Our AI model correctly predicted a Sint-Truiden win with 50% confidence before kick-off. Overall a solid read on this match, with 3 out of 4 key markets predicted correctly, including Full-Time Result, Both Teams To Score & Over/Under 2.5 Goals.
This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Club Brugge – Sint-Truiden prediction & betting tips (Oct 25, 2026).

Sint-Truiden vs Gent — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · Pro League

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Sint-Truiden to win

Correct
Our model 50%Bookmakers 44%

Our track record

In 3,482 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 49.6% of the time (bookmakers said 50.5%).

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Yes, both score

Correct
Our model 56%Bookmakers 63%

Our track record

In 5,689 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 56.8% of the time (bookmakers said 57.8%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Over 2.5 goals

Correct
Our model 53%Bookmakers 61%

Our track record

In 5,151 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 57.1% of the time (bookmakers said 56.4%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Wrong
Our model 69%Bookmakers 62%

Our track record

In 3,948 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.3% of the time (bookmakers said 66.8%).

First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Draw at half-time

Correct
Our model 40%Bookmakers 39%

Our track record

In 6,658 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 44.7% of the time (bookmakers said 44.2%).

Sint-Truiden Goals →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Sint-Truiden 0–1 goals

Wrong

The bookmakers’ favourite was correct: Sint-Truiden 2+ goals.

Our model 52%Bookmakers 49%

Our track record

In 1,856 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 42.3% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 43.7% than to our 50–55%.

Gent Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Gent 0–1 goals

Correct
Our model 72%Bookmakers 58%

Our track record

In 3,358 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 71.6% of the time (bookmakers said 72.0%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Sint-Truiden vs Gent 3-1 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Sint-Truiden vs Gent. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT
Pro League - Belgium
Sint-TruidenSint-Truiden3
GentGent1

Winner

1X 74%

BTTS*

Yes 56%

Correct Score

1-1 12%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 53%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 59%

Full Time

150%
X25%
226%

Goals Over/Under

<1.5>1.5<2.5>2.5
FT23%77%47%53%
<3.5>3.5<4.5>4.5
FT59%41%82%18%

Team Goals Over/Under

<0.5>0.5<1.5>1.5
Sint-Truiden21%79%52%48%
Gent38%62%72%28%
<2.5>2.5<3.5>3.5
Sint-Truiden77%23%91%9%
Gent90%10%97%3%

1st Half

136%
X40%
224%

1st Score

153%
X6%
241%

Half Time/Full Time

1-1

29%

X-1

16%

X-X

15%

2-2

15%

X-2

10%

2-X

6%

1-X

5%

2-1

4%

1-2

2%

Correct Score

1-1

11.7%

1-0

10.2%

2-1

9.8%

2-0

8.2%

0-1

6.9%

0-0

6.3%

1-2

6.3%

2-2

5.5%

3-1

5.1%

3-0

4.6%

0-2

3.8%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Club Brugge – Sint-Truiden prediction & betting tips (Oct 25, 2026).

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