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Genk vs Westerlo 1-1 Score & Prediction Review

Pro League - Season 2025/2026 (Round 18)

Robbed

Genk drew despite more chances

GenkGenk

1–1

WesterloWesterlo
2.1Chances (xG)1.0

On these chances Genk would usually take 2.1 points and Westerlo 0.7; they took 1 and 1. Bookmakers' favourite: Genk.

Genk −1.1 pts vs chancesWesterlo +0.3 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

Genk vs Westerlo stats: how the match was played

Pro League

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Genk had more than twice the shots on target

Genk

Westerlo

6

Shots on target

3

3

Big chances

2

9

Corners

7

0

Yellow cards

2

0

Red cards

1

68%

Possession

32%

The match between Genk and Westerlo ended 1-1. Our AI model predicted a Genk win at 59% confidence — the final result went a different way, but individual market predictions still offer useful insight. Overall a solid read on this match, with 2 out of 4 key markets predicted correctly, including Both Teams To Score & Over/Under 3.5 Goals.
This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Westerlo – Waasland-Beveren prediction & betting tips (Oct 24, 2026).

Genk vs Westerlo — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · Pro League

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Genk to win

Wrong
Our model 59%Bookmakers 48%

Our track record

In 1,799 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.3% of the time (bookmakers said 61.3%).

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Yes, both score

Correct
Our model 58%Bookmakers 60%

Our track record

In 5,691 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 56.8% of the time (bookmakers said 57.8%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Over 2.5 goals

Wrong
Our model 60%Bookmakers 59%

Our track record

In 5,308 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 58.4% of the time (bookmakers said 59.1%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Correct
Our model 64%Bookmakers 63%

Our track record

In 2,384 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 63.7% of the time (bookmakers said 62.8%).

First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Genk ahead at half-time

Wrong
Our model 47%Bookmakers 42%

Our track record

In 4,250 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 48.1% of the time (bookmakers said 47.2%).

Genk Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Genk 2+ goals

Wrong
Our model 58%Bookmakers 58%

Our track record

In 3,473 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.7% of the time (bookmakers said 61.1%).

Westerlo Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Westerlo 0–1 goals

Correct
Our model 74%Bookmakers 66%

Our track record

In 3,361 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 71.6% of the time (bookmakers said 72.0%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Genk vs Westerlo 1-1 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Genk vs Westerlo. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT
Pro League - Belgium
GenkGenk1
WesterloWesterlo1

Winner

1 59%

BTTS*

Yes 58%

Correct Score

2-1 10%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 60%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 54%

Full Time

159%
X21%
220%

Goals Over/Under

<1.5>1.5<2.5>2.5
FT19%81%40%60%
<3.5>3.5<4.5>4.5
FT54%46%78%22%

Team Goals Over/Under

<0.5>0.5<1.5>1.5
Genk15%85%42%58%
Westerlo43%57%74%26%
<2.5>2.5<3.5>3.5
Genk69%31%86%14%
Westerlo92%8%98%2%

1st Half

146%
X32%
221%

1st Score

162%
X5%
234%

Half Time/Full Time

1-1

41%

X-1

16%

2-2

11%

X-X

10%

X-2

7%

2-X

5%

1-X

4%

2-1

3%

1-2

2%

Correct Score

2-1

10.4%

1-1

9.9%

1-0

9.6%

2-0

9.0%

3-1

6.4%

3-0

6.2%

1-2

5.9%

2-2

5.5%

0-1

5.0%

0-0

4.5%

3-2

3.7%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Westerlo – Waasland-Beveren prediction & betting tips (Oct 24, 2026).

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