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Union Saint-Gilloise vs Club Brugge

Union Saint-Gilloise vs Club Brugge 1-0 Score & Prediction Review

Pro League - Season 2025/2026 (Round 23)

Fair result

Union Saint-Gilloise

1–0

Club Brugge

1.4Chances (xG)0.6

On these chances Union Saint-Gilloise would usually take 2.0 points and Club Brugge 0.8; they took 3 and 0. Bookmakers' favourite: Union Saint-Gilloise.

Union Saint-Gilloise +1.0 pts vs chancesClub Brugge −0.8 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

Union Saint-Gilloise vs Club Brugge stats: how the match was played

Pro League

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Union Saint-Gilloise had more than twice the shots on target

Union Saint-Gilloise

Club Brugge

Shots on target

Big chances

Corners

Yellow cards

30%

Possession

70%

The match between Union Saint-Gilloise and Club Brugge ended 1-0. Our AI model correctly predicted a Union Saint-Gilloise win with 42% confidence before kick-off. Our model got 1 out of 4 markets right, correctly predicting Full-Time Result — a reminder that football can be unpredictable, but the data continues to sharpen future predictions.

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Club Brugge – Sint-Truiden prediction & betting tips (Oct 25, 2026).

Union Saint-Gilloise vs Club Brugge — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · Pro League

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months

Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Union Saint-Gilloise to win

Correct

Our model 42%Bookmakers 42%

Our track record

In 3,623 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 47.3% of the time (bookmakers said 47.0%).

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Yes, both score

Wrong

Our model 63%Bookmakers 56%

Our track record

In 2,480 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 62.7% of the time (bookmakers said 61.7%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Over 2.5 goals

Wrong

Our model 62%Bookmakers 53%

Our track record

In 3,103 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.4% of the time (bookmakers said 62.6%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Correct

Our model 60%Bookmakers 68%

Our track record

In 947 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 59.8% of the time (bookmakers said 60.0%).

First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Draw at half-time

Wrong

Our model 40%Bookmakers 42%

Our track record

In 6,706 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 44.7% of the time (bookmakers said 44.2%).

Union Saint-Gilloise Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Union Saint-Gilloise 0–1 goals

Correct

Our model 53%Bookmakers 54%

Our track record

In 2,822 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 59.4% of the time (bookmakers said 58.7%).

Club Brugge Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Club Brugge 0–1 goals

Correct

Our model 59%Bookmakers 66%

Our track record

In 1,594 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 59.9% of the time (bookmakers said 60.9%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Union Saint-Gilloise vs Club Brugge 1-0 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Union Saint-Gilloise vs Club Brugge. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT

Pro League - Belgium

Union Saint-Gilloise1

Club Brugge0

Winner

1X 66%

BTTS*

Yes 63%

Correct Score

1-1 10%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 62%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

over 51%

· FT

Pro League - Belgium

Union Saint-Gilloise1

Club Brugge0

Winner

1X 66%

BTTS*

Yes 63%

Correct Score

1-1 10%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 62%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

over 51%

Full Time

142%

X24%

234%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
FT	18%	82%	38%	62%	49%	51%	75%	25%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5
FT	18%	82%	38%	62%

	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
FT	49%	51%	75%	25%

Team Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
	24%	76%	53%	47%	77%	23%	90%	10%
	29%	71%	59%	41%	82%	18%	93%	7%

Team Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
	24%	76%	53%	47%
	29%	71%	59%	41%

	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
	77%	23%	90%	10%
	82%	18%	93%	7%

1st Half

133%

X40%

227%

1st Score

152%

X5%

243%

Half Time/Full Time

1-1

25%

2-2

19%

X-X

15%

X-1

14%

X-2

11%

2-X

1-X

1-2

2-1

Correct Score

1-1

10.4%

2-1

8.7%

1-2

7.6%

1-0

7.2%

2-2

6.8%

0-1

6.0%

2-0

5.4%

3-1

4.7%

0-0

4.6%

0-2

4.4%

1-3

3.9%

3-2

3.6%

2-3

3.2%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Club Brugge – Sint-Truiden prediction & betting tips (Oct 25, 2026).