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Sint-Truiden vs Cercle Brugge 2-1 Score & Prediction Review

Pro League - Season 2025/2026 (Round 28)

Fair result
Sint-TruidenSint-Truiden

2–1

Cercle BruggeCercle Brugge
1.7Chances (xG)1.7

On these chances Sint-Truiden would usually take 1.4 points and Cercle Brugge 1.4; they took 3 and 0. Bookmakers' favourite: Sint-Truiden.

Sint-Truiden +1.6 pts vs chancesCercle Brugge −1.4 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

Sint-Truiden vs Cercle Brugge stats: how the match was played

Pro League

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Level on shots on target

Sint-Truiden

Cercle Brugge

7

Shots on target

6

4

Big chances

1

7

Corners

5

0

Yellow cards

4

62%

Possession

38%

The match between Sint-Truiden and Cercle Brugge ended 2-1. Our AI model correctly predicted a Sint-Truiden win with 42% confidence before kick-off. A strong performance overall — our model hit all 4 key markets for this fixture, correctly calling Full-Time Result, Both Teams To Score, Over/Under 2.5 Goals & Over/Under 3.5 Goals.
This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Union Saint-Gilloise – Cercle Brugge prediction & betting tips (Oct 25, 2026).

Sint-Truiden vs Cercle Brugge — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · Pro League

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Sint-Truiden to win

Correct
Our model 42%Bookmakers 56%

Our track record

In 3,634 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 47.3% of the time (bookmakers said 47.0%).

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Yes, both score

Correct
Our model 59%Bookmakers 62%

Our track record

In 5,745 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 56.9% of the time (bookmakers said 57.8%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Over 2.5 goals

Correct
Our model 56%Bookmakers 61%

Our track record

In 5,362 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 58.4% of the time (bookmakers said 59.1%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Correct
Our model 66%Bookmakers 62%

Our track record

In 3,994 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.3% of the time (bookmakers said 66.7%).

First Half Result →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Draw at half-time

Wrong

The bookmakers’ favourite was correct: Sint-Truiden ahead at half-time.

Our model 42%Bookmakers 39%

Our track record

In 2,250 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 36.8% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 37.3% than to our 40–45%.

Sint-Truiden Goals →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Sint-Truiden 0–1 goals

Wrong

The bookmakers’ favourite was correct: Sint-Truiden 2+ goals.

Our model 55%Bookmakers 44%

Our track record

In 1,030 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 42.9% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 44.9% than to our 55–60%.

Cercle Brugge Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Cercle Brugge 0–1 goals

Correct
Our model 63%Bookmakers 63%

Our track record

In 2,678 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 63.4% of the time (bookmakers said 63.7%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Sint-Truiden vs Cercle Brugge 2-1 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Sint-Truiden vs Cercle Brugge. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT
Pro League - Belgium
Sint-TruidenSint-Truiden2
Cercle BruggeCercle Brugge1

Winner

1X 67%

BTTS*

Yes 59%

Correct Score

1-1 12%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 56%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 56%

Full Time

142%
X25%
233%

Goals Over/Under

<1.5>1.5<2.5>2.5
FT21%79%44%56%
<3.5>3.5<4.5>4.5
FT56%44%80%20%

Team Goals Over/Under

<0.5>0.5<1.5>1.5
Sint-Truiden24%76%55%45%
Cercle Brugge31%69%63%37%
<2.5>2.5<3.5>3.5
Sint-Truiden80%20%93%7%
Cercle Brugge85%15%95%5%

1st Half

131%
X42%
227%

1st Score

150%
X5%
245%

Half Time/Full Time

1-1

24%

2-2

18%

X-X

16%

X-1

14%

X-2

12%

1-X

6%

2-X

5%

1-2

3%

2-1

3%

Correct Score

1-1

11.5%

2-1

9.0%

1-0

8.5%

1-2

7.8%

0-1

7.1%

2-0

6.4%

2-2

6.2%

0-0

5.5%

0-2

4.7%

3-1

4.7%

1-3

3.5%

3-0

3.3%

3-2

3.3%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Union Saint-Gilloise – Cercle Brugge prediction & betting tips (Oct 25, 2026).

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