1. Sporting Charleroi vs OH Leuven

Sporting Charleroi vs OH Leuven 0-2 Score & Prediction Review

Pro League - Season 2025/2026 (Round 29)

Fair result
Sporting CharleroiSporting Charleroi

0–2

OH LeuvenOH Leuven
1.7Chances (xG)1.1

On these chances Sporting Charleroi would usually take 1.8 points and OH Leuven 1.0; they took 0 and 3. Bookmakers' favourite: Sporting Charleroi.

Sporting Charleroi −1.8 pts vs chancesOH Leuven +2.0 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

Sporting Charleroi vs OH Leuven stats: how the match was played

Pro League

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Level on shots on target

Sporting Charleroi

OH Leuven

5

Shots on target

5

1

Big chances

2

10

Corners

3

1

Yellow cards

1

63%

Possession

37%

The match between Sporting Charleroi and OH Leuven ended 0-2. Our AI model predicted a Sporting Charleroi win at 49% confidence — the final result went a different way, but individual market predictions still offer useful insight. Our model got 1 out of 4 markets right, correctly predicting Over/Under 3.5 Goals — a reminder that football can be unpredictable, but the data continues to sharpen future predictions.
This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Antwerp – Sporting Charleroi prediction & betting tips (Oct 24, 2026).

Sporting Charleroi vs OH Leuven — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · Pro League

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Sporting Charleroi to win

Wrong
Our model 49%Bookmakers 54%

Our track record

In 3,479 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 49.6% of the time (bookmakers said 50.6%).

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Yes, both score

Wrong
Our model 56%Bookmakers 56%

Our track record

In 5,694 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 56.7% of the time (bookmakers said 57.8%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Over 2.5 goals

Wrong
Our model 54%Bookmakers 56%

Our track record

In 5,153 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 57.1% of the time (bookmakers said 56.4%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Correct
Our model 68%Bookmakers 66%

Our track record

In 3,957 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.4% of the time (bookmakers said 66.8%).

First Half Result →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Draw at half-time

Correct

The bookmakers’ favourite was wrong: Sporting Charleroi ahead at half-time.

Our model 42%Bookmakers 40%

Our track record

In 2,228 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 37.0% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 37.3% than to our 40–45%.

Sporting Charleroi Goals →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Sporting Charleroi 0–1 goals

Correct

The bookmakers’ favourite was wrong: Sporting Charleroi 2+ goals.

Our model 52%Bookmakers 46%

Our track record

In 1,850 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 42.2% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 43.7% than to our 50–55%.

OH Leuven Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

OH Leuven 0–1 goals

Wrong
Our model 70%Bookmakers 70%

Our track record

In 3,272 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.1% of the time (bookmakers said 67.8%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Sporting Charleroi vs OH Leuven 0-2 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Sporting Charleroi vs OH Leuven. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT
Sporting CharleroiSporting Charleroi0
OH LeuvenOH Leuven2

Winner

1X 73%

BTTS*

Yes 56%

Correct Score

1-1 12%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 54%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 58%

Full Time

149%
X25%
227%

Goals Over/Under

<1.5>1.5<2.5>2.5
FT23%77%46%54%
<3.5>3.5<4.5>4.5
FT58%42%82%18%

Team Goals Over/Under

<0.5>0.5<1.5>1.5
Sporting Charleroi21%79%52%48%
OH Leuven36%64%70%30%
<2.5>2.5<3.5>3.5
Sporting Charleroi78%22%92%8%
OH Leuven89%11%97%3%

1st Half

136%
X42%
222%

1st Score

156%
X6%
238%

Half Time/Full Time

1-1

29%

X-1

16%

X-X

15%

2-2

13%

X-2

10%

1-X

6%

2-X

5%

2-1

3%

1-2

2%

Correct Score

1-1

11.7%

1-0

10.0%

2-1

9.8%

2-0

7.8%

1-2

6.8%

0-1

6.8%

0-0

5.8%

2-2

5.8%

3-1

5.2%

3-0

4.2%

0-2

3.8%

3-2

3.2%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Antwerp – Sporting Charleroi prediction & betting tips (Oct 24, 2026).

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