1. Gent vs Standard Liège

Gent vs Standard Liège 2-1 Score & Prediction Review

Pro League - Season 2026/2027 (Round 7)

Fair result
GentGent

2–1

Standard LiègeStandard Liège
1.3Chances (xG)1.3

On these chances Gent would usually take 1.4 points and Standard Liège 1.4; they took 3 and 0. Bookmakers' favourite: Gent.

Gent +1.6 pts vs chancesStandard Liège −1.4 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

Gent vs Standard Liège stats: how the match was played

Pro League

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Gent had clearly more shots on target

Gent

Standard Liège

6

Shots on target

4

3

Big chances

2

5

Corners

6

1

Yellow cards

0

44%

Possession

56%

The match between Gent and Standard Liège ended 2-1. Our AI model correctly predicted a Gent win with 46% confidence before kick-off. Overall a solid read on this match, with 3 out of 4 key markets predicted correctly, including Full-Time Result, Both Teams To Score & Over/Under 3.5 Goals.
This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Genk – Standard Liège prediction & betting tips (Oct 25, 2026).

Gent vs Standard Liège — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · Pro League

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Gent to win

Correct
Our model 46%Bookmakers 54%

Our track record

In 3,478 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 49.5% of the time (bookmakers said 50.5%).

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Yes, both score

Correct
Our model 50%Bookmakers 50%

Our track record

In 6,452 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 55.2% of the time (bookmakers said 55.0%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 2.5 goals

Wrong
Our model 54%Bookmakers 51%

Our track record

In 5,144 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 57.0% of the time (bookmakers said 56.4%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Correct
Our model 76%Bookmakers 74%

Our track record

In 3,650 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 75–80% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 76.0% of the time (bookmakers said 76.3%).

First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Draw at half-time

Correct
Our model 43%Bookmakers 42%

Our track record

In 6,650 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 44.7% of the time (bookmakers said 44.2%).

Gent Goals →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Gent 0–1 goals

Wrong

The bookmakers’ favourite was correct: Gent 2+ goals.

Our model 59%Bookmakers 50%

Our track record

In 1,012 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 42.5% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 45.0% than to our 55–60%.

Standard Liège Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Standard Liège 0–1 goals

Correct
Our model 73%Bookmakers 75%

Our track record

In 3,349 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 71.8% of the time (bookmakers said 72.1%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Gent vs Standard Liège 2-1 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Gent vs Standard Liège. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT
GentGent2
Standard LiègeStandard Liège1

Winner

1X 73%

BTTS*

Yes 50%

Correct Score

1-1 13%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 54%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 65%

Full Time

146%
X27%
227%

Goals Over/Under

<1.5>1.5<2.5>2.5
FT29%71%54%46%
<3.5>3.5<4.5>4.5
FT65%35%87%13%

Team Goals Over/Under

<0.5>0.5<1.5>1.5
Gent25%75%59%41%
Standard Liège39%61%73%27%
<2.5>2.5<3.5>3.5
Gent83%17%94%6%
Standard Liège91%9%98%3%

1st Half

133%
X43%
224%

1st Score

156%
X8%
235%

Half Time/Full Time

1-1

28%

X-X

17%

X-1

16%

2-2

14%

X-2

10%

1-X

5%

2-X

5%

2-1

3%

1-2

2%

Correct Score

1-1

12.5%

1-0

12.0%

2-1

9.3%

0-0

8.5%

0-1

8.4%

2-0

8.2%

1-2

6.6%

2-2

4.9%

3-0

4.3%

0-2

4.1%

3-1

4.1%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Genk – Standard Liège prediction & betting tips (Oct 25, 2026).

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