- Home
- Union Saint-Gilloise vs OH Leuven
Union Saint-Gilloise vs OH Leuven 1-1 Score & Prediction Review
Pro League - Season 2026/2027 (Round 8)
Union Saint-Gilloise1–1
OH LeuvenOn these chances Union Saint-Gilloise would usually take 1.9 points and OH Leuven 0.8; they took 1 and 1. Bookmakers' favourite: Union Saint-Gilloise.
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.
Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.
Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.
How we measure →Union Saint-Gilloise vs OH Leuven stats: how the match was played
Pro League
Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.
Union Saint-Gilloise had clearly more shots on target
Union Saint-Gilloise
OH Leuven
3
Shots on target
2
0
Big chances
1
9
Corners
4
0
Yellow cards
3
1
Red cards
0
62%
Possession
39%
Union Saint-Gilloise vs OH Leuven — Our Model vs the Bookmakers
Market check · Pro League
How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.
How to read it
Our model’s pick
Union Saint-Gilloise to win
WrongOur track record
In 326 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 79.4% of the time (bookmakers said 76.2%).
Our model’s pick
No, not both
WrongOur track record
In 5,734 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 56.9% of the time (bookmakers said 57.8%).
Our model’s pick
Over 2.5 goals
WrongOur track record
In 5,354 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 58.4% of the time (bookmakers said 59.1%).
Our model’s pick
Under 3.5 goals
CorrectOur track record
In 3,987 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.3% of the time (bookmakers said 66.7%).
Our model’s pick
Union Saint-Gilloise ahead at half-time
WrongOur track record
In 1,254 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 54.1% of the time (bookmakers said 51.7%).
Our model’s pick
Union Saint-Gilloise 2+ goals
WrongOur track record
In 3,483 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 64.1% of the time (bookmakers said 64.0%).
Our model’s pick
OH Leuven 0–1 goals
CorrectOur track record
In 600 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 85–90% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 85.3% of the time (bookmakers said 85.0%).
Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.
Union Saint-Gilloise vs OH Leuven 1-1 — How Our Predictions Performed
The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Union Saint-Gilloise vs OH Leuven. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.
Union Saint-Gilloise1
OH Leuven1Winner
1 71%
BTTS*
No 57%
Correct Score
1-0 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 56%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 57%
Union Saint-Gilloise1OH Leuven1Winner
1 71%
BTTS*
No 57%
Correct Score
1-0 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 56%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 57%
Full Time
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 22% | 78% | 44% | 56% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 57% | 43% | 76% | 24% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12% | 88% | 37% | 63% |
| 60% | 40% | 87% | 13% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 62% | 38% | 81% | 19% |
| 97% | 3% | 99% | 1% |
1st Half
1st Score
Half Time/Full Time
1-1
49%
X-1
20%
X-X
10%
2-2
5%
X-2
4%
2-1
4%
2-X
4%
1-X
3%
1-2
1%
Correct Score
1-0
12.5%
2-0
12.3%
3-0
9.9%
2-1
9.2%
1-1
8.3%
0-0
6.3%
3-1
5.8%
0-1
3.5%
2-2
3.3%
1-2
3.1%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score
Union Saint-Gilloise vs OH Leuven — Recent Form
Union Saint-Gilloise have won 4, drawn 1 and lost 0 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 4th in the table. OH Leuven have won 1, drawn 3 and lost 1 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 15th in the table.
Last 5 matches
Union Saint-GilloiseOH LeuvenOur prediction record
Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.
Full-Time Result
OH LeuvenUnion Saint-GilloiseBoth Teams to Score
OH LeuvenUnion Saint-GilloiseOver/Under 2.5 Goals
OH LeuvenUnion Saint-GilloiseOver/Under 3.5 Goals
OH LeuvenUnion Saint-GilloiseFirst Half Result
OH LeuvenUnion Saint-GilloiseCorrect Score
OH LeuvenUnion Saint-Gilloise