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Al Shabab vs Al Taawoun 1-0 Score & Prediction Review

Pro League - Season 2024/2025 (Round 4)

Fair result
Al ShababAl Shabab

1–0

Al TaawounAl Taawoun
1.7Chances (xG)1.0

On these chances Al Shabab would usually take 1.9 points and Al Taawoun 0.9; they took 3 and 0. Bookmakers' favourite: Al Shabab.

Al Shabab +1.1 pts vs chancesAl Taawoun −0.9 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

Al Shabab vs Al Taawoun stats: how the match was played

Pro League

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Level on shots on target

Al Shabab

Al Taawoun

3

Shots on target

3

6

Big chances

5

1

Corners

5

2

Yellow cards

4

39%

Possession

61%

The match between Al Shabab and Al Taawoun ended 1-0. Our AI model correctly predicted a Al Shabab win with 41% confidence before kick-off. Overall a solid read on this match, with 2 out of 4 key markets predicted correctly, including Full-Time Result & Over/Under 3.5 Goals.
This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Abha – Al Shabab prediction & betting tips (Nov 5, 2026).

Al Shabab vs Al Taawoun — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · Pro League

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Al Shabab to win

Correct
Our model 41%Bookmakers 47%

Our track record

In 3,609 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 47.5% of the time (bookmakers said 47.0%).

Both Teams to Score →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Yes, both score

Wrong

The bookmakers’ favourite was correct: No, not both.

Our model 60%Bookmakers 49%

Our track record

Too few similar matches in the last 12 months for a track record.

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Over 2.5 goals

Wrong

The bookmakers’ favourite was correct: Under 2.5 goals.

Our model 58%Bookmakers 43%

Our track record

In 800 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 46.8% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 46.5% than to our 55–60%.

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Correct
Our model 66%Bookmakers 77%

Our track record

In 3,971 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.1% of the time (bookmakers said 66.7%).

First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Draw at half-time

Wrong
Our model 40%Bookmakers 45%

Our track record

In 1,985 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 35–40% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 40.5% of the time (bookmakers said 41.2%).

Al Shabab Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Al Shabab 0–1 goals

Correct
Our model 56%Bookmakers 58%

Our track record

In 3,480 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.9% of the time (bookmakers said 61.2%).

Al Taawoun Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Al Taawoun 0–1 goals

Correct
Our model 61%Bookmakers 74%

Our track record

In 2,659 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 63.2% of the time (bookmakers said 63.7%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Al Shabab vs Al Taawoun 1-0 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Al Shabab vs Al Taawoun. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT
Pro League - Saudi Arabia
Al ShababAl Shabab1
Al TaawounAl Taawoun0

Winner

1X 65%

BTTS*

Yes 60%

Correct Score

1-1 11%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 58%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 56%

Full Time

141%
X24%
235%

Goals Over/Under

<1.5>1.5<2.5>2.5
FT20%80%42%58%
<3.5>3.5<4.5>4.5
FT56%44%80%20%

Team Goals Over/Under

<0.5>0.5<1.5>1.5
Al Shabab25%75%56%44%
Al Taawoun29%71%61%39%
<2.5>2.5<3.5>3.5
Al Shabab81%19%93%7%
Al Taawoun84%16%95%5%

1st Half

133%
X40%
227%

1st Score

150%
X5%
245%

Half Time/Full Time

1-1

24%

2-2

21%

X-X

15%

X-1

13%

X-2

12%

1-X

5%

2-X

5%

1-2

3%

2-1

3%

Correct Score

1-1

11.0%

2-1

9.0%

1-2

8.6%

1-0

7.7%

0-1

7.3%

2-2

6.2%

2-0

6.2%

0-0

5.2%

0-2

5.1%

3-1

4.5%

1-3

3.6%

3-2

3.4%

3-0

3.4%

2-3

3.1%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Abha – Al Shabab prediction & betting tips (Nov 5, 2026).

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