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Al Hilal vs Al Ittihad 3-1 Score & Prediction Review

Pro League - Season 2024/2025 (Round 4)

Fair result
Al HilalAl Hilal

3–1

Al IttihadAl Ittihad
2.8Chances (xG)1.0

On these chances Al Hilal would usually take 2.4 points and Al Ittihad 0.4; they took 3 and 0. Bookmakers' favourite: Al Hilal.

Al Hilal +0.6 pts vs chancesAl Ittihad −0.4 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

Al Hilal vs Al Ittihad stats: how the match was played

Pro League

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Al Hilal had more than twice the shots on target

Al Hilal

Al Ittihad

9

Shots on target

3

11

Big chances

6

6

Corners

7

1

Yellow cards

2

59%

Possession

41%

The match between Al Hilal and Al Ittihad ended 3-1. Our AI model correctly predicted a Al Hilal win with 70% confidence before kick-off. A strong performance overall — our model hit all 4 key markets for this fixture, correctly calling Full-Time Result, Both Teams To Score, Over/Under 2.5 Goals & Over/Under 3.5 Goals.
This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Al Ittihad – NEOM SC prediction & betting tips (Nov 6, 2026).

Al Hilal vs Al Ittihad — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · Pro League

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Al Hilal to win

Correct
Our model 70%Bookmakers 60%

Our track record

In 617 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 70.8% of the time (bookmakers said 71.0%).

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Yes, both score

Correct
Our model 60%Bookmakers 66%

Our track record

In 2,497 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 62.6% of the time (bookmakers said 61.7%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Over 2.5 goals

Correct
Our model 68%Bookmakers 72%

Our track record

In 1,180 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.1% of the time (bookmakers said 66.8%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Wrong

The bookmakers’ favourite was correct: Over 3.5 goals.

Our model 53%Bookmakers 50%

Our track record

In 192 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 47.4% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 44.3% than to our 50–55%.

First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Al Hilal ahead at half-time

Correct
Our model 49%Bookmakers 46%

Our track record

In 4,301 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 48.1% of the time (bookmakers said 47.2%).

Al Hilal Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Al Hilal 2+ goals

Correct
Our model 70%Bookmakers 68%

Our track record

In 1,593 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 71.8% of the time (bookmakers said 71.9%).

Al Ittihad Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Al Ittihad 0–1 goals

Correct
Our model 79%Bookmakers 62%

Our track record

In 2,575 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 75–80% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 74.5% of the time (bookmakers said 76.3%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Al Hilal vs Al Ittihad 3-1 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Al Hilal vs Al Ittihad. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT
Pro League - Saudi Arabia
Al HilalAl Hilal3
Al IttihadAl Ittihad1

Winner

1 70%

BTTS*

Yes 60%

Correct Score

2-1 10%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 68%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

over 57%

Full Time

170%
X16%
214%

Goals Over/Under

<1.5>1.5<2.5>2.5
FT13%87%32%68%
<3.5>3.5<4.5>4.5
FT43%57%68%32%

Team Goals Over/Under

<0.5>0.5<1.5>1.5
Al Hilal11%89%30%70%
Al Ittihad49%51%78%22%
<2.5>2.5<3.5>3.5
Al Hilal56%44%77%23%
Al Ittihad93%7%98%2%

1st Half

149%
X36%
215%

1st Score

162%
X3%
235%

Half Time/Full Time

1-1

46%

X-1

20%

X-X

11%

2-2

8%

1-X

4%

X-2

4%

2-1

4%

2-X

2%

1-2

1%

Correct Score

2-1

10.4%

2-0

9.5%

3-1

9.1%

1-1

7.2%

1-0

7.0%

3-0

6.6%

2-2

4.8%

3-2

4.3%

1-2

3.4%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Al Ittihad – NEOM SC prediction & betting tips (Nov 6, 2026).

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