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Al Nassr vs Al Quadisiya 1-2 Score & Prediction Review

Pro League - Season 2025/2026 (Round 14)

Smash-and-grab

Al Quadisiya won with less than half the chances

Al NassrAl Nassr

1–2

Al QuadisiyaAl Quadisiya
2.3Chances (xG)0.9

On these chances Al Nassr would usually take 2.3 points and Al Quadisiya 0.5; they took 0 and 3. Bookmakers' favourite: Al Nassr.

Al Nassr −2.3 pts vs chancesAl Quadisiya +2.5 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

Al Nassr vs Al Quadisiya stats: how the match was played

Pro League

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Al Quadisiya had clearly more shots on target

Al Nassr

Al Quadisiya

3

Shots on target

5

4

Big chances

2

4

Corners

1

2

Yellow cards

6

54%

Possession

46%

The match between Al Nassr and Al Quadisiya ended 1-2. Our AI model predicted a Al Nassr win at 71% confidence — the final result went a different way, but individual market predictions still offer useful insight. Overall a solid read on this match, with 2 out of 4 key markets predicted correctly, including Both Teams To Score & Over/Under 2.5 Goals.
This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Al Riyadh – Al Quadisiya prediction & betting tips (Oct 29, 2026).

Al Nassr vs Al Quadisiya — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · Pro League

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Al Nassr to win

Wrong
Our model 71%Bookmakers 59%

Our track record

In 327 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 79.2% of the time (bookmakers said 76.2%).

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Yes, both score

Correct
Our model 59%Bookmakers 63%

Our track record

In 5,748 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 56.9% of the time (bookmakers said 57.8%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Over 2.5 goals

Correct
Our model 70%Bookmakers 68%

Our track record

In 1,170 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.0% of the time (bookmakers said 66.8%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Correct
Our model 53%Bookmakers 52%

Our track record

In 286 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 57.3% of the time (bookmakers said 57.7%).

First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Al Nassr ahead at half-time

Wrong
Our model 56%Bookmakers 47%

Our track record

In 306 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.1% of the time (bookmakers said 57.9%).

Al Nassr Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Al Nassr 2+ goals

Wrong
Our model 72%Bookmakers 68%

Our track record

In 1,597 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 71.8% of the time (bookmakers said 72.0%).

Al Quadisiya Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Al Quadisiya 0–1 goals

Wrong
Our model 80%Bookmakers 66%

Our track record

In 2,594 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 75–80% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 74.7% of the time (bookmakers said 76.4%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Al Nassr vs Al Quadisiya 1-2 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Al Nassr vs Al Quadisiya. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT
Pro League - Saudi Arabia
Al NassrAl Nassr1
Al QuadisiyaAl Quadisiya2

Winner

1 71%

BTTS*

Yes 59%

Correct Score

2-1 10%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 70%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

over 57%

Full Time

171%
X17%
211%

Goals Over/Under

<1.5>1.5<2.5>2.5
FT13%87%30%70%
<3.5>3.5<4.5>4.5
FT43%57%68%32%

Team Goals Over/Under

<0.5>0.5<1.5>1.5
Al Nassr8%92%28%72%
Al Quadisiya52%48%80%20%
<2.5>2.5<3.5>3.5
Al Nassr54%46%76%24%
Al Quadisiya95%5%99%1%

1st Half

156%
X28%
216%

1st Score

171%
X3%
226%

Half Time/Full Time

1-1

48%

X-1

16%

X-X

9%

2-2

7%

1-X

5%

2-1

5%

2-X

5%

X-2

4%

1-2

2%

Correct Score

2-1

10.1%

2-0

8.8%

3-0

8.2%

3-1

8.0%

1-0

7.8%

1-1

7.2%

2-2

5.8%

3-2

4.1%

1-2

3.7%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Al Riyadh – Al Quadisiya prediction & betting tips (Oct 29, 2026).

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