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Al Hilal vs Al Hazm 3-0 Score & Prediction Review

Pro League - Season 2025/2026 (Round 14)

Fair result
Al HilalAl Hilal

3–0

Al HazmAl Hazm
1.8Chances (xG)0.4

On these chances Al Hilal would usually take 2.3 points and Al Hazm 0.5; they took 3 and 0. Bookmakers' favourite: Al Hilal.

Al Hilal +0.7 pts vs chancesAl Hazm −0.5 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

Al Hilal vs Al Hazm stats: how the match was played

Pro League

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Al Hilal had more than twice the shots on target

Al Hilal

Al Hazm

7

Shots on target

1

5

Big chances

0

7

Corners

2

0

Yellow cards

0

60%

Possession

40%

The match between Al Hilal and Al Hazm ended 3-0. Our AI model correctly predicted a Al Hilal win with 78% confidence before kick-off. Overall a solid read on this match, with 2 out of 4 key markets predicted correctly, including Full-Time Result & Over/Under 2.5 Goals.
This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Al Khaleej – Al Hazm prediction & betting tips (Oct 29, 2026).

Al Hilal vs Al Hazm — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · Pro League

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Al Hilal to win

Correct
Our model 79%Bookmakers 80%

Our track record

In 146 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 75–80% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 84.2% of the time (bookmakers said 81.0%).

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Yes, both score

Wrong
Our model 53%Bookmakers 52%

Our track record

In 6,517 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 55.3% of the time (bookmakers said 55.0%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Over 2.5 goals

Correct
Our model 70%Bookmakers 77%

Our track record

In 1,170 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.0% of the time (bookmakers said 66.8%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Correct

The bookmakers’ favourite was wrong: Over 3.5 goals.

Our model 51%Bookmakers 42%

Our track record

In 183 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 46.4% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 44.4% than to our 50–55%.

First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Al Hilal ahead at half-time

Correct
Our model 62%Bookmakers 65%

Our track record

In 110 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 69.1% of the time (bookmakers said 63.8%).

Al Hilal Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Al Hilal 2+ goals

Correct
Our model 77%Bookmakers 82%

Our track record

In 837 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 75–80% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 74.0% of the time (bookmakers said 76.5%).

Al Hazm Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Al Hazm 0–1 goals

Correct
Our model 85%Bookmakers 82%

Our track record

In 599 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 85–90% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 85.3% of the time (bookmakers said 85.0%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Al Hilal vs Al Hazm 3-0 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Al Hilal vs Al Hazm. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT
Pro League - Saudi Arabia
Al HilalAl Hilal3
Al HazmAl Hazm0

Winner

1 78%

BTTS*

Yes 53%

Correct Score

2-0 10%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 70%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

over 59%

Full Time

178%
X14%
28%

Goals Over/Under

<1.5>1.5<2.5>2.5
FT13%87%30%70%
<3.5>3.5<4.5>4.5
FT41%59%64%36%

Team Goals Over/Under

<0.5>0.5<1.5>1.5
Al Hilal7%93%24%76%
Al Hazm59%41%85%15%
<2.5>2.5<3.5>3.5
Al Hilal48%52%71%29%
Al Hazm96%4%99%1%

1st Half

162%
X26%
212%

1st Score

175%
X3%
222%

Half Time/Full Time

1-1

60%

X-1

16%

X-X

7%

2-2

4%

1-X

3%

2-1

3%

2-X

3%

X-2

2%

1-2

1%

Correct Score

2-0

10.5%

3-0

9.5%

2-1

9.0%

3-1

8.7%

1-0

7.9%

1-1

6.2%

3-2

4.3%

2-2

3.9%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Al Khaleej – Al Hazm prediction & betting tips (Oct 29, 2026).

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