Home
Leagues
Pro League
Al Najma vs Al Ettifaq

Al Najma vs Al Ettifaq 3-4 Score & Prediction Review

Pro League - Season 2025/2026 (Round 14)

Fair result

Al Najma

3–4

Al Ettifaq

2.2Chances (xG)1.8

On these chances Al Najma would usually take 1.6 points and Al Ettifaq 1.2; they took 0 and 3. Bookmakers' favourite: Al Ettifaq.

Al Najma −1.6 pts vs chancesAl Ettifaq +1.8 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

Al Najma vs Al Ettifaq stats: how the match was played

Pro League

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Al Ettifaq had clearly more shots on target

Al Najma

Al Ettifaq

Shots on target

Big chances

Corners

Yellow cards

52%

Possession

48%

The match between Al Najma and Al Ettifaq ended 3-4. Our AI model correctly predicted an Al Ettifaq win with 57% confidence before kick-off. Overall a solid read on this match, with 3 out of 4 key markets predicted correctly, including Full-Time Result, Both Teams To Score & Over/Under 2.5 Goals.

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Al Kholood – Al Ettifaq prediction & betting tips (Oct 24, 2026).

Al Najma vs Al Ettifaq — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · Pro League

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months

Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Al Ettifaq to win

Correct

Our model 57%Bookmakers 53%

Our track record

In 1,798 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.2% of the time (bookmakers said 61.3%).

Both Teams to Score →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Yes, both score

Correct

The bookmakers’ favourite was wrong: No, not both.

Our model 57%Bookmakers 46%

Our track record

In 544 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 44.7% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 46.7% than to our 55–60%.

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Over 2.5 goals

Correct

The bookmakers’ favourite was wrong: Under 2.5 goals.

Our model 56%Bookmakers 45%

Our track record

In 801 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 46.4% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 46.4% than to our 55–60%.

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Wrong

Our model 66%Bookmakers 77%

Our track record

In 3,958 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.4% of the time (bookmakers said 66.8%).

First Half Result →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Al Ettifaq ahead at half-time

Correct

The bookmakers’ favourite was wrong: Draw at half-time.

Our model 43%Bookmakers 40%

Our track record

In 2,229 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 37.0% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 37.3% than to our 40–45%.

Al Najma Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Al Najma 0–1 goals

Wrong

Our model 75%Bookmakers 80%

Our track record

In 834 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 75–80% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 73.9% of the time (bookmakers said 76.5%).

Al Ettifaq Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Al Ettifaq 2+ goals

Correct

Our model 55%Bookmakers 50%

Our track record

In 1,589 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 59.8% of the time (bookmakers said 60.9%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Al Najma vs Al Ettifaq 3-4 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Al Najma vs Al Ettifaq. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT

Pro League - Saudi Arabia

Al Najma3

Al Ettifaq4

Winner

2 57%

BTTS*

Yes 56%

Correct Score

1-1 11%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 56%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 56%

· FT

Pro League - Saudi Arabia

Al Najma3

Al Ettifaq4

Winner

2 57%

BTTS*

Yes 56%

Correct Score

1-1 11%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 56%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 56%

Full Time

120%

X23%

257%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
FT	21%	79%	44%	56%	56%	44%	79%	21%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5
FT	21%	79%	44%	56%

	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
FT	56%	44%	79%	21%

Team Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
	42%	58%	75%	25%	93%	7%	98%	2%
	17%	83%	45%	55%	71%	29%	88%	12%

Team Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
	42%	58%	75%	25%
	17%	83%	45%	55%

	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
	93%	7%	98%	2%
	71%	29%	88%	12%

1st Half

119%

X38%

243%

1st Score

134%

X6%

261%

Half Time/Full Time

2-2

34%

X-2

19%

X-X

13%

1-1

12%

X-1

1-X

2-X

1-2

2-1

Correct Score

1-1

10.7%

1-2

10.6%

0-1

9.8%

0-2

9.1%

1-3

6.6%

1-0

5.6%

0-0

5.5%

0-3

5.3%

2-1

5.3%

2-2

5.2%

2-3

3.9%

2-0

3.0%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Al Kholood – Al Ettifaq prediction & betting tips (Oct 24, 2026).