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Al Kholood vs Al Quadisiya 1-4 Score & Prediction Review

Pro League - Season 2025/2026 (Round 25)

Fair result
Al KholoodAl Kholood

1–4

Al QuadisiyaAl Quadisiya
1.0Chances (xG)1.8

On these chances Al Kholood would usually take 0.8 points and Al Quadisiya 1.9; they took 0 and 3. Bookmakers' favourite: Al Quadisiya.

Al Kholood −0.8 pts vs chancesAl Quadisiya +1.1 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

Al Kholood vs Al Quadisiya stats: how the match was played

Pro League

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Al Quadisiya had more than twice the shots on target

Al Kholood

Al Quadisiya

1

Shots on target

4

4

Big chances

6

4

Corners

7

1

Yellow cards

2

39%

Possession

61%

The match between Al Kholood and Al Quadisiya ended 1-4. Our AI model correctly predicted an Al Quadisiya win with 70% confidence before kick-off. A strong performance overall — our model hit all 4 key markets for this fixture, correctly calling Full-Time Result, Both Teams To Score, Over/Under 2.5 Goals & Over/Under 3.5 Goals.
This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Al Riyadh – Al Quadisiya prediction & betting tips (Oct 29, 2026).

Al Kholood vs Al Quadisiya — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · Pro League

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Al Quadisiya to win

Correct
Our model 70%Bookmakers 67%

Our track record

In 616 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 70.5% of the time (bookmakers said 70.8%).

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Yes, both score

Correct
Our model 54%Bookmakers 56%

Our track record

In 6,517 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 55.3% of the time (bookmakers said 55.0%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Over 2.5 goals

Correct
Our model 64%Bookmakers 65%

Our track record

In 3,105 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.4% of the time (bookmakers said 62.6%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Wrong
Our model 58%Bookmakers 56%

Our track record

In 946 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 59.9% of the time (bookmakers said 60.0%).

First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Al Quadisiya ahead at half-time

Correct
Our model 48%Bookmakers 51%

Our track record

In 4,290 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 48.0% of the time (bookmakers said 47.2%).

Al Kholood Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Al Kholood 0–1 goals

Correct
Our model 81%Bookmakers 75%

Our track record

In 391 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 80–85% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 80.1% of the time (bookmakers said 80.4%).

Al Quadisiya Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Al Quadisiya 2+ goals

Correct
Our model 68%Bookmakers 68%

Our track record

In 3,309 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.0% of the time (bookmakers said 67.7%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Al Kholood vs Al Quadisiya 1-4 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Al Kholood vs Al Quadisiya. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT
Pro League - Saudi Arabia
Al KholoodAl Kholood1
Al QuadisiyaAl Quadisiya4

Winner

2 70%

BTTS*

Yes 54%

Correct Score

0-2 10%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 64%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

over 52%

Full Time

113%
X17%
270%

Goals Over/Under

<1.5>1.5<2.5>2.5
FT16%84%36%64%
<3.5>3.5<4.5>4.5
FT48%52%71%29%

Team Goals Over/Under

<0.5>0.5<1.5>1.5
Al Kholood53%47%81%19%
Al Quadisiya11%89%32%68%
<2.5>2.5<3.5>3.5
Al Kholood94%6%98%2%
Al Quadisiya58%42%78%22%

1st Half

118%
X34%
248%

1st Score

127%
X4%
269%

Half Time/Full Time

2-2

47%

X-2

17%

X-X

9%

1-1

8%

X-1

6%

1-X

4%

2-X

4%

1-2

3%

2-1

2%

Correct Score

0-2

10.3%

1-2

9.7%

0-1

9.1%

0-3

8.0%

1-1

7.6%

1-3

7.3%

2-2

4.4%

0-0

3.9%

2-3

3.8%

2-1

3.5%

1-0

3.5%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Al Riyadh – Al Quadisiya prediction & betting tips (Oct 29, 2026).

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