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Al Hilal vs Al Najma

Al Hilal vs Al Najma 4-0 Score & Prediction Review

Pro League - Season 2025/2026 (Round 25)

Fair result

Al Hilal

4–0

Al Najma

2.2Chances (xG)0.1

On these chances Al Hilal would usually take 2.7 points and Al Najma 0.2; they took 3 and 0. Bookmakers' favourite: Al Hilal.

Al Hilal +0.3 pts vs chancesAl Najma −0.2 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

Al Hilal vs Al Najma stats: how the match was played

Pro League

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Al Hilal had more than twice the shots on target

Al Hilal

Al Najma

Shots on target

Big chances

Corners

Yellow cards

Red cards

62%

Possession

38%

The match between Al Hilal and Al Najma ended 4-0. Our AI model correctly predicted a Al Hilal win with 86% confidence before kick-off. A strong performance overall — our model hit all 4 key markets for this fixture, correctly calling Full-Time Result, Both Teams To Score, Over/Under 2.5 Goals & Over/Under 3.5 Goals.

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Al Quadisiya – Al Hilal prediction & betting tips (Oct 23, 2026).

Al Hilal vs Al Najma — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · Pro League

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months

Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Al Hilal to win

Correct

Our model 86%Bookmakers 90%

Our track record

Too few similar matches in the last 12 months for a track record.

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

No, not both

Correct

Our model 58%Bookmakers 52%

Our track record

In 5,690 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 56.8% of the time (bookmakers said 57.8%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Over 2.5 goals

Correct

Our model 71%Bookmakers 81%

Our track record

In 289 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 71.3% of the time (bookmakers said 71.4%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Over 3.5 goals

Correct

Our model 51%Bookmakers 63%

Our track record

In 285 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 57.9% of the time (bookmakers said 57.7%).

First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Al Hilal ahead at half-time

Correct

Our model 60%Bookmakers 72%

Our track record

In 300 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 60.7% of the time (bookmakers said 57.8%).

Al Hilal Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Al Hilal 2+ goals

Correct

Our model 81%Bookmakers 87%

Our track record

In 390 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 80–85% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 80.3% of the time (bookmakers said 80.5%).

Al Najma Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Al Najma 0–1 goals

Correct

Our model 92%Bookmakers 85%

Our track record

In 126 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 90–95% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 86.5% of the time (bookmakers said 88.6%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Al Hilal vs Al Najma 4-0 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Al Hilal vs Al Najma. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT

Pro League - Saudi Arabia

Al Hilal4

Al Najma0

Winner

1 86%

BTTS*

No 58%

Correct Score

3-0 12%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 71%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

over 61%

· FT

Pro League - Saudi Arabia

Al Hilal4

Al Najma0

Winner

1 86%

BTTS*

No 58%

Correct Score

3-0 12%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 71%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

over 61%

Full Time

186%

X10%

25%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
FT	12%	88%	29%	71%	39%	61%	58%	42%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5
FT	12%	88%	29%	71%

	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
FT	39%	61%	58%	42%

Team Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
	5%	95%	19%	81%	40%	60%	62%	38%
	72%	28%	92%	8%	98%	2%	100%	0%

Team Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
	5%	95%	19%	81%
	72%	28%	92%	8%

	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
	40%	60%	62%	38%
	98%	2%	100%	0%

1st Half

160%

X29%

212%

1st Score

178%

X3%

220%

Half Time/Full Time

1-1

60%

X-1

17%

X-X

2-2

1-X

X-2

2-1

2-X

1-2

Correct Score

3-0

12.0%

2-0

11.8%

1-0

7.9%

2-1

7.2%

3-1

7.0%

1-1

4.4%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Al Quadisiya – Al Hilal prediction & betting tips (Oct 23, 2026).