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Al Ahli vs Al Ittihad 3-1 Score & Prediction Review

Pro League - Season 2025/2026 (Round 25)

Fair result
Al AhliAl Ahli

3–1

Al IttihadAl Ittihad
1.2Chances (xG)1.3

On these chances Al Ahli would usually take 1.3 points and Al Ittihad 1.5; they took 3 and 0. Bookmakers' favourite: Al Ahli.

Al Ahli +1.7 pts vs chancesAl Ittihad −1.5 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

Al Ahli vs Al Ittihad stats: how the match was played

Pro League

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Al Ahli had more than twice the shots on target

Al Ahli

Al Ittihad

5

Shots on target

2

2

Big chances

1

2

Corners

4

2

Yellow cards

3

46%

Possession

54%

The match between Al Ahli and Al Ittihad ended 3-1. Our AI model correctly predicted a Al Ahli win with 57% confidence before kick-off. A strong performance overall — our model hit all 4 key markets for this fixture, correctly calling Full-Time Result, Both Teams To Score, Over/Under 2.5 Goals & Over/Under 3.5 Goals.
This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Abha – Al Ittihad prediction & betting tips (Oct 30, 2026).

Al Ahli vs Al Ittihad — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · Pro League

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Al Ahli to win

Correct
Our model 57%Bookmakers 51%

Our track record

In 1,813 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.2% of the time (bookmakers said 61.3%).

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Yes, both score

Correct
Our model 59%Bookmakers 58%

Our track record

In 5,744 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 56.9% of the time (bookmakers said 57.8%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Over 2.5 goals

Correct
Our model 65%Bookmakers 58%

Our track record

In 3,110 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.4% of the time (bookmakers said 62.6%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Wrong
Our model 57%Bookmakers 63%

Our track record

In 948 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 59.8% of the time (bookmakers said 59.9%).

First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Al Ahli ahead at half-time

Correct
Our model 40%Bookmakers 40%

Our track record

In 2,008 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 35–40% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 40.3% of the time (bookmakers said 41.2%).

Al Ahli Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Al Ahli 2+ goals

Correct
Our model 60%Bookmakers 54%

Our track record

In 3,499 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.7% of the time (bookmakers said 61.1%).

Al Ittihad Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Al Ittihad 0–1 goals

Correct
Our model 70%Bookmakers 68%

Our track record

In 3,316 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.0% of the time (bookmakers said 67.7%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Al Ahli vs Al Ittihad 3-1 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Al Ahli vs Al Ittihad. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT
Pro League - Saudi Arabia
Al AhliAl Ahli3
Al IttihadAl Ittihad1

Winner

1 57%

BTTS*

Yes 59%

Correct Score

2-1 10%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 65%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

over 53%

Full Time

157%
X21%
222%

Goals Over/Under

<1.5>1.5<2.5>2.5
FT16%84%35%65%
<3.5>3.5<4.5>4.5
FT47%53%72%28%

Team Goals Over/Under

<0.5>0.5<1.5>1.5
Al Ahli15%85%40%60%
Al Ittihad40%60%70%30%
<2.5>2.5<3.5>3.5
Al Ahli66%34%84%16%
Al Ittihad89%11%96%4%

1st Half

140%
X36%
224%

1st Score

158%
X4%
238%

Half Time/Full Time

1-1

33%

X-1

15%

2-2

15%

X-X

12%

X-2

8%

1-X

5%

2-X

5%

2-1

3%

1-2

2%

Correct Score

2-1

9.9%

1-1

9.1%

1-0

7.7%

2-0

7.5%

3-1

6.5%

2-2

6.2%

1-2

5.7%

3-0

5.5%

3-2

4.2%

0-1

4.1%

0-0

3.8%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Abha – Al Ittihad prediction & betting tips (Oct 30, 2026).

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