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Al Ettifaq vs Al Shabab 1-1 Score & Prediction Review

Pro League - Season 2025/2026 (Round 25)

Robbed

Al Shabab drew despite more chances

Al EttifaqAl Ettifaq

1–1

Al ShababAl Shabab
0.7Chances (xG)2.6

On these chances Al Ettifaq would usually take 0.4 points and Al Shabab 2.5; they took 1 and 1. Bookmakers' favourite: Al Shabab.

Al Ettifaq +0.6 pts vs chancesAl Shabab −1.5 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

Al Ettifaq vs Al Shabab stats: how the match was played

Pro League

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Al Shabab had more than twice the shots on target

Al Ettifaq

Al Shabab

3

Shots on target

8

2

Big chances

3

1

Corners

6

3

Yellow cards

2

41%

Possession

60%

The match between Al Ettifaq and Al Shabab ended 1-1. Our AI model predicted an Al Shabab win at 39% confidence — the final result went a different way, but individual market predictions still offer useful insight. Overall a solid read on this match, with 2 out of 4 key markets predicted correctly, including Both Teams To Score & Over/Under 3.5 Goals.
This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Al Ittihad – Al Shabab prediction & betting tips (Oct 16, 2026).

Al Ettifaq vs Al Shabab — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · Pro League

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Al Shabab to win

Wrong
Our model 39%Bookmakers 49%

Our track record

In 2,082 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 35–40% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 43.6% of the time (bookmakers said 43.9%).

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Yes, both score

Correct
Our model 57%Bookmakers 60%

Our track record

In 5,613 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 57.0% of the time (bookmakers said 57.7%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Over 2.5 goals

Wrong
Our model 54%Bookmakers 59%

Our track record

In 5,123 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 57.2% of the time (bookmakers said 56.4%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Correct
Our model 68%Bookmakers 63%

Our track record

In 3,920 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.1% of the time (bookmakers said 66.8%).

First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Draw at half-time

Correct
Our model 42%Bookmakers 39%

Our track record

In 6,623 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 44.7% of the time (bookmakers said 44.2%).

Al Ettifaq Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Al Ettifaq 0–1 goals

Correct
Our model 63%Bookmakers 62%

Our track record

In 3,423 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 64.0% of the time (bookmakers said 64.0%).

Al Shabab Goals →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Al Shabab 0–1 goals

Correct

The bookmakers’ favourite was wrong: Al Shabab 2+ goals.

Our model 59%Bookmakers 50%

Our track record

In 614 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 45.0% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 44.7% than to our 55–60%.

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Al Ettifaq vs Al Shabab 1-1 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Al Ettifaq vs Al Shabab. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT
Pro League - Saudi Arabia
Al EttifaqAl Ettifaq1
Al ShababAl Shabab1

Winner

12 74%

BTTS*

Yes 57%

Correct Score

1-1 12%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 54%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 58%

Full Time

135%
X26%
239%

Goals Over/Under

<1.5>1.5<2.5>2.5
FT23%77%46%54%
<3.5>3.5<4.5>4.5
FT58%42%82%18%

Team Goals Over/Under

<0.5>0.5<1.5>1.5
Al Ettifaq29%71%63%37%
Al Shabab27%73%59%41%
<2.5>2.5<3.5>3.5
Al Ettifaq85%15%95%5%
Al Shabab82%18%94%6%

1st Half

130%
X42%
228%

1st Score

145%
X6%
249%

Half Time/Full Time

1-1

20%

2-2

20%

X-X

17%

X-1

13%

X-2

13%

1-X

6%

2-X

6%

1-2

3%

2-1

3%

Correct Score

1-1

12.3%

1-2

8.7%

0-1

8.4%

1-0

8.2%

2-1

7.8%

0-0

6.3%

2-2

6.2%

0-2

6.0%

2-0

5.3%

1-3

4.1%

3-1

3.6%

2-3

3.0%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Al Ittihad – Al Shabab prediction & betting tips (Oct 16, 2026).

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