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Al Quadisiya vs Al Ahli 3-2 Score & Prediction Review

Pro League - Season 2025/2026 (Round 26)

Fair result
Al QuadisiyaAl Quadisiya

3–2

Al AhliAl Ahli
1.0Chances (xG)1.3

On these chances Al Quadisiya would usually take 1.1 points and Al Ahli 1.6; they took 3 and 0. Bookmakers' favourite: Al Quadisiya.

Al Quadisiya +1.9 pts vs chancesAl Ahli −1.6 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

Al Quadisiya vs Al Ahli stats: how the match was played

Pro League

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Al Ahli had clearly more shots on target

Al Quadisiya

Al Ahli

3

Shots on target

5

1

Big chances

2

5

Corners

4

4

Yellow cards

5

64%

Possession

36%

The match between Al Quadisiya and Al Ahli ended 3-2. Our AI model correctly predicted a Al Quadisiya win with 43% confidence before kick-off. Overall a solid read on this match, with 3 out of 4 key markets predicted correctly, including Full-Time Result, Both Teams To Score & Over/Under 2.5 Goals.
This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Al Riyadh – Al Quadisiya prediction & betting tips (Oct 29, 2026).

Al Quadisiya vs Al Ahli — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · Pro League

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Al Quadisiya to win

Correct
Our model 43%Bookmakers 40%

Our track record

In 3,609 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 47.3% of the time (bookmakers said 47.0%).

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Yes, both score

Correct
Our model 52%Bookmakers 58%

Our track record

In 6,469 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 55.3% of the time (bookmakers said 55.0%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Over 2.5 goals

Correct
Our model 50%Bookmakers 53%

Our track record

In 5,159 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 57.1% of the time (bookmakers said 56.4%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Wrong
Our model 72%Bookmakers 70%

Our track record

In 4,559 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 72.2% of the time (bookmakers said 71.5%).

First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Draw at half-time

Wrong
Our model 39%Bookmakers 41%

Our track record

In 2,000 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 35–40% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 40.2% of the time (bookmakers said 41.2%).

Al Quadisiya Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Al Quadisiya 0–1 goals

Wrong
Our model 58%Bookmakers 56%

Our track record

In 3,474 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.7% of the time (bookmakers said 61.1%).

Al Ahli Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Al Ahli 0–1 goals

Wrong
Our model 68%Bookmakers 63%

Our track record

In 3,281 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.1% of the time (bookmakers said 67.7%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Al Quadisiya vs Al Ahli 3-2 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Al Quadisiya vs Al Ahli. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT
Pro League - Saudi Arabia
Al QuadisiyaAl Quadisiya3
Al AhliAl Ahli2

Winner

1X 69%

BTTS*

Yes 52%

Correct Score

1-1 12%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 50%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 62%

Full Time

143%
X26%
231%

Goals Over/Under

<1.5>1.5<2.5>2.5
FT25%75%50%50%
<3.5>3.5<4.5>4.5
FT62%38%85%16%

Team Goals Over/Under

<0.5>0.5<1.5>1.5
Al Quadisiya26%74%58%42%
Al Ahli35%65%68%32%
<2.5>2.5<3.5>3.5
Al Quadisiya82%18%94%6%
Al Ahli89%11%97%3%

1st Half

134%
X39%
227%

1st Score

151%
X7%
242%

Half Time/Full Time

1-1

27%

2-2

18%

X-X

15%

X-1

14%

X-2

11%

1-X

5%

2-X

5%

2-1

3%

1-2

2%

Correct Score

1-1

12.3%

1-0

10.0%

2-1

9.3%

0-1

7.9%

1-2

7.3%

0-0

7.2%

2-0

7.2%

2-2

5.5%

0-2

4.9%

3-1

4.2%

3-0

3.7%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Al Riyadh – Al Quadisiya prediction & betting tips (Oct 29, 2026).

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