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Abha vs Al Khaleej 1-1 Score & Prediction Review

Pro League - Season 2026/2027 (Round 3)

Fair result
AbhaAbha

1–1

Al KhaleejAl Khaleej
1.4Chances (xG)1.1

On these chances Abha would usually take 1.6 points and Al Khaleej 1.1; they took 1 and 1. Bookmakers' favourite: Abha.

Abha −0.6 pts vs chancesAl Khaleej −0.1 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

Abha vs Al Khaleej stats: how the match was played

Pro League

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Abha had more than twice the shots on target

Abha

Al Khaleej

4

Shots on target

1

1

Big chances

4

5

Corners

2

2

Yellow cards

1

52%

Possession

48%

The match between Abha and Al Khaleej ended 1-1. Our AI model predicted a Abha win at 46% confidence — the final result went a different way, but individual market predictions still offer useful insight. Overall a solid read on this match, with 2 out of 4 key markets predicted correctly, including Both Teams To Score & Over/Under 3.5 Goals.
This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Al Fateh – Al Khaleej prediction & betting tips (Oct 18, 2026).

Abha vs Al Khaleej — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · Pro League

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Abha to win

Wrong
Our model 46%Bookmakers 36%

Our track record

In 3,513 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 49.3% of the time (bookmakers said 50.5%).

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Yes, both score

Correct
Our model 56%Bookmakers 56%

Our track record

In 5,732 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 56.8% of the time (bookmakers said 57.7%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Over 2.5 goals

Wrong
Our model 56%Bookmakers 51%

Our track record

In 5,337 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 58.4% of the time (bookmakers said 59.1%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Correct
Our model 68%Bookmakers 70%

Our track record

In 3,986 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.3% of the time (bookmakers said 66.8%).

First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Draw at half-time

Correct
Our model 40%Bookmakers 43%

Our track record

In 6,723 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 44.7% of the time (bookmakers said 44.2%).

Abha Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Abha 0–1 goals

Correct
Our model 53%Bookmakers 62%

Our track record

In 2,827 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 59.4% of the time (bookmakers said 58.6%).

Al Khaleej Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Al Khaleej 0–1 goals

Correct
Our model 67%Bookmakers 60%

Our track record

In 3,280 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.3% of the time (bookmakers said 67.7%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Abha vs Al Khaleej 1-1 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Abha vs Al Khaleej. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT
Pro League - Saudi Arabia
AbhaAbha1
Al KhaleejAl Khaleej1

Winner

1X 71%

BTTS*

Yes 56%

Correct Score

1-1 11%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 56%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 58%

Full Time

146%
X25%
229%

Goals Over/Under

<1.5>1.5<2.5>2.5
FT22%78%44%56%
<3.5>3.5<4.5>4.5
FT58%42%81%19%

Team Goals Over/Under

<0.5>0.5<1.5>1.5
Abha23%77%53%47%
Al Khaleej35%65%67%33%
<2.5>2.5<3.5>3.5
Abha78%22%92%8%
Al Khaleej87%13%96%4%

1st Half

137%
X40%
223%

1st Score

154%
X6%
239%

Half Time/Full Time

1-1

28%

X-1

16%

2-2

16%

X-X

15%

X-2

9%

1-X

5%

2-X

5%

2-1

3%

1-2

2%

Correct Score

1-1

11.2%

2-1

9.7%

1-0

8.8%

1-2

7.2%

2-0

7.2%

0-1

6.8%

0-0

6.4%

2-2

5.7%

3-1

4.7%

3-0

4.3%

0-2

3.9%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Al Fateh – Al Khaleej prediction & betting tips (Oct 18, 2026).

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