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Al Ettifaq vs Al Nassr 2-3 Score & Prediction Review

Pro League - Season 2026/2027 (Round 3)

Fair result
Al EttifaqAl Ettifaq

2–3

Al NassrAl Nassr
1.4Chances (xG)1.9

On these chances Al Ettifaq would usually take 1.1 points and Al Nassr 1.7; they took 0 and 3. Bookmakers' favourite: Al Nassr.

Al Ettifaq −1.1 pts vs chancesAl Nassr +1.3 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

Al Ettifaq vs Al Nassr stats: how the match was played

Pro League

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Al Nassr had clearly more shots on target

Al Ettifaq

Al Nassr

5

Shots on target

9

1

Big chances

5

2

Corners

6

1

Yellow cards

1

0

Red cards

1

61%

Possession

39%

The match between Al Ettifaq and Al Nassr ended 2-3. Our AI model correctly predicted an Al Nassr win with 77% confidence before kick-off. A strong performance overall — our model hit all 4 key markets for this fixture, correctly calling Full-Time Result, Both Teams To Score, Over/Under 2.5 Goals & Over/Under 3.5 Goals.
This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Al Nassr – NEOM SC prediction & betting tips (Oct 20, 2026).

Al Ettifaq vs Al Nassr — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · Pro League

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Al Nassr to win

Correct
Our model 77%Bookmakers 77%

Our track record

In 146 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 75–80% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 84.2% of the time (bookmakers said 80.6%).

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Yes, both score

Correct
Our model 61%Bookmakers 58%

Our track record

In 2,480 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 62.5% of the time (bookmakers said 61.6%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Over 2.5 goals

Correct
Our model 74%Bookmakers 75%

Our track record

In 289 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 71.6% of the time (bookmakers said 71.6%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Over 3.5 goals

Correct
Our model 56%Bookmakers 54%

Our track record

In 937 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 60.1% of the time (bookmakers said 60.1%).

First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Al Nassr ahead at half-time

Wrong
Our model 58%Bookmakers 61%

Our track record

In 302 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 60.6% of the time (bookmakers said 57.9%).

Al Ettifaq Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Al Ettifaq 0–1 goals

Wrong
Our model 82%Bookmakers 77%

Our track record

In 395 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 80–85% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 80.5% of the time (bookmakers said 80.6%).

Al Nassr Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Al Nassr 2+ goals

Correct
Our model 78%Bookmakers 79%

Our track record

In 2,600 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 75–80% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 75.2% of the time (bookmakers said 76.4%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Al Ettifaq vs Al Nassr 2-3 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Al Ettifaq vs Al Nassr. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT
Pro League - Saudi Arabia
Al EttifaqAl Ettifaq2
Al NassrAl Nassr3

Winner

2 77%

BTTS*

Yes 61%

Correct Score

0-2 09%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 74%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

over 66%

Full Time

110%
X13%
277%

Goals Over/Under

<1.5>1.5<2.5>2.5
FT11%89%26%74%
<3.5>3.5<4.5>4.5
FT34%66%58%42%

Team Goals Over/Under

<0.5>0.5<1.5>1.5
Al Ettifaq57%43%82%18%
Al Nassr7%93%22%78%
<2.5>2.5<3.5>3.5
Al Ettifaq94%6%98%2%
Al Nassr45%55%68%32%

1st Half

113%
X29%
258%

1st Score

123%
X2%
275%

Half Time/Full Time

2-2

51%

X-2

18%

X-X

8%

1-2

6%

1-1

5%

X-1

4%

2-X

4%

1-X

3%

2-1

1%

Correct Score

0-2

8.5%

1-3

8.5%

1-2

8.4%

0-3

7.8%

0-1

6.7%

1-1

5.4%

2-3

5.0%

2-2

4.2%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Al Nassr – NEOM SC prediction & betting tips (Oct 20, 2026).

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