Home
Leagues
Pro League
Al Fateh vs Al Ahli

Al Fateh vs Al Ahli 0-4 Score & Prediction Review

Pro League - Season 2026/2027 (Round 8)

Fair result

Al Fateh

0–4

Al Ahli

0.5Chances (xG)2.3

On these chances Al Fateh would usually take 0.4 points and Al Ahli 2.5; they took 0 and 3. Bookmakers' favourite: Al Ahli.

Al Fateh −0.4 pts vs chancesAl Ahli +0.5 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

Al Fateh vs Al Ahli stats: how the match was played

Pro League

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Al Ahli had more than twice the shots on target

Al Fateh

Al Ahli

Shots on target

Big chances

Corners

Yellow cards

38%

Possession

62%

The match between Al Fateh and Al Ahli ended 0-4. Our AI model correctly predicted an Al Ahli win with 46% confidence before kick-off. Overall a solid read on this match, with 2 out of 4 key markets predicted correctly, including Full-Time Result & Over/Under 2.5 Goals.

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Al Hilal – Al Fateh prediction & betting tips (Oct 31, 2026).

Al Fateh vs Al Ahli — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · Pro League

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months

Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Al Ahli to win

Correct

Our model 46%Bookmakers 63%

Our track record

In 3,512 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 49.3% of the time (bookmakers said 50.6%).

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Yes, both score

Wrong

Our model 59%Bookmakers 63%

Our track record

In 5,712 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 56.8% of the time (bookmakers said 57.8%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Over 2.5 goals

Correct

Our model 57%Bookmakers 71%

Our track record

In 5,301 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 58.5% of the time (bookmakers said 59.1%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Wrong

The bookmakers’ favourite was correct: Over 3.5 goals.

Our model 67%Bookmakers 50%

Our track record

In 130 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 49.2% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 47.4% than to our 65–70%.

First Half Result →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Draw at half-time

Wrong

The bookmakers’ favourite was correct: Al Ahli ahead at half-time.

Our model 40%Bookmakers 33%

Our track record

In 2,274 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 36.5% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 37.3% than to our 40–45%.

Al Fateh Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Al Fateh 0–1 goals

Correct

Our model 66%Bookmakers 68%

Our track record

In 2,664 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 69.2% of the time (bookmakers said 67.6%).

Al Ahli Goals →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Al Ahli 0–1 goals

Wrong

The bookmakers’ favourite was correct: Al Ahli 2+ goals.

Our model 52%Bookmakers 28%

Our track record

In 835 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 42.3% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 42.5% than to our 50–55%.

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Al Fateh vs Al Ahli 0-4 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Al Fateh vs Al Ahli. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT

Pro League - Saudi Arabia

Al Fateh0

Al Ahli4

Winner

X2 71%

BTTS*

Yes 59%

Correct Score

1-1 12%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 56%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 57%

· FT

Pro League - Saudi Arabia

Al Fateh0

Al Ahli4

Winner

X2 71%

BTTS*

Yes 59%

Correct Score

1-1 12%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 56%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 57%

Full Time

129%

X26%

246%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
FT	20%	80%	44%	56%	57%	43%	81%	19%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5
FT	20%	80%	44%	56%

	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
FT	57%	43%	81%	19%

Team Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
	34%	66%	66%	34%	87%	13%	96%	4%
	21%	79%	52%	48%	78%	22%	92%	8%

Team Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
	34%	66%	66%	34%
	21%	79%	52%	48%

	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
	87%	13%	96%	4%
	78%	22%	92%	8%

1st Half

125%

X40%

235%

1st Score

138%

X6%

257%

Half Time/Full Time

2-2

26%

1-1

17%

X-2

16%

X-X

14%

X-1

10%

2-X

1-X

1-2

2-1

Correct Score

1-1

11.8%

1-2

9.9%

0-1

8.7%

2-1

7.4%

0-2

7.3%

2-2

6.4%

1-0

6.0%

0-0

5.6%

1-3

4.8%

2-0

4.1%

0-3

3.9%

2-3

3.2%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

Al Fateh vs Al Ahli — Recent Form

Al Ahli have won 4, drawn 0 and lost 1 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 6th in the table. Al Fateh have won 1, drawn 0 and lost 4 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 16th in the table.

Last 5 matches

Al Ahli

Al Fateh

Our prediction record

Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.

Full-Time Result

Al Fateh

4/5

Al Ahli

4/5

Both Teams to Score

Al Fateh

4/5

Al Ahli

3/5

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

Al Fateh

5/5

Al Ahli

5/5

Over/Under 3.5 Goals

Al Fateh

0/5

Al Ahli

0/5

First Half Result

Al Fateh

2/5

Al Ahli

3/5

Correct Score

Al Fateh

0/5

Al Ahli

0/5

Last 5 Matchescorrect predictionwrong prediction

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Al Hilal – Al Fateh prediction & betting tips (Oct 31, 2026).