- Home
- Al Hilal vs Al Ittihad
Al Hilal vs Al Ittihad 3-2 Score & Prediction Review
Pro League - Season 2026/2027 (Round 8)
3–2
On these chances Al Hilal would usually take 1.6 points and Al Ittihad 1.2; they took 3 and 0. Bookmakers' favourite: Al Hilal.
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.
Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.
Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.
How we measure →Al Hilal vs Al Ittihad stats: how the match was played
Pro League
Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.
Al Hilal had clearly more shots on target
Al Hilal
Al Ittihad
7
Shots on target
5
4
Big chances
2
9
Corners
4
1
Yellow cards
3
48%
Possession
52%
Al Hilal vs Al Ittihad — Our Model vs the Bookmakers
Market check · Pro League
How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.
How to read it
Our model’s pick
Al Hilal to win
CorrectOur track record
In 1,794 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.3% of the time (bookmakers said 61.2%).
Our model’s pick
Yes, both score
CorrectOur track record
In 2,489 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 62.8% of the time (bookmakers said 61.7%).
Our model’s pick
Over 2.5 goals
CorrectOur track record
In 1,171 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.1% of the time (bookmakers said 66.8%).
Our model’s pick
Under 3.5 goals
WrongThe bookmakers’ favourite was correct: Over 3.5 goals.
Our track record
In 261 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 44.4% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 46.1% than to our 55–60%.
Our model’s pick
Al Hilal ahead at half-time
CorrectOur track record
In 4,264 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 48.3% of the time (bookmakers said 47.2%).
Our model’s pick
Al Hilal 2+ goals
CorrectOur track record
In 3,457 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 63.9% of the time (bookmakers said 64.0%).
Our model’s pick
Al Ittihad 0–1 goals
WrongOur track record
In 3,372 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 71.6% of the time (bookmakers said 72.0%).
Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.
Al Hilal vs Al Ittihad 3-2 — How Our Predictions Performed
The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Al Hilal vs Al Ittihad. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.
Winner
1 59%
BTTS*
Yes 62%
Correct Score
2-1 10%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 66%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
over 54%
Winner
1 59%
BTTS*
Yes 62%
Correct Score
2-1 10%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 66%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
over 54%
Full Time
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 15% | 85% | 34% | 66% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 47% | 54% | 72% | 28% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13% | 87% | 38% | 62% | |
| 41% | 59% | 70% | 30% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 65% | 35% | 84% | 16% | |
| 89% | 11% | 97% | 4% |
1st Half
1st Score
Half Time/Full Time
1-1
39%
X-1
16%
X-X
11%
2-2
11%
X-2
7%
1-X
5%
2-X
4%
2-1
3%
1-2
2%
Correct Score
2-1
10.4%
1-1
8.9%
2-0
7.8%
1-0
7.7%
3-1
6.6%
2-2
6.3%
3-0
5.8%
1-2
5.7%
3-2
4.8%
0-1
3.7%
0-0
3.4%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score
Al Hilal vs Al Ittihad — Recent Form
Al Hilal have won 4, drawn 0 and lost 1 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 3rd in the table. Al Ittihad have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 4th in the table.
Last 5 matches
Our prediction record
Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.
Full-Time Result
Both Teams to Score
Over/Under 2.5 Goals
Over/Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result
Correct Score