Always on the scoresheet
0/10Al Nassr scored in all of their last 10 (league 25% fail to score).
Al Ahli vs Al Nassr Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips
Pro League - Season 2026/2027 (Round 9)
Clinical
Al Ahli are scoring more goals than their chances (xG) usually bring
+4goals more than their chances (xG) in their last 10
80% of teams scoring this many more goals than their chances scored fewer in their next 10 games.
Al Ahli vs Al Nassr score prediction
Pro League
The goals we expect each side to score, not an exact score: built from both teams' chances, the bookmakers' view and real goals here.
Evenly matched in front of goal
3.0 goals in total, in line with the Pro League average of 3.0.
goals expected
Al Ahli1.4Al Nassr1.6Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
We look at how many chances each team has created and allowed in its recent games in this league, what the bookmakers expected from those games, and the goals actually scored. Then we compare that with how many goals home and away teams usually score here.
Does it work? Since July 2025, our numbers have been 7% closer to the real goals than just using the league average.
How we measure →The match Al Ahli vs Al Nassr will be played on Thursday, October 15 as part of the 2026/2027 season. This fixture will be played in the Round 9 of the Pro League, played in Saudi Arabia. On this page, you’ll find our detailed football prediction for Al Ahli vs Al Nassr, including full-time result (1X2) probabilities, draw chances, and additional betting insights. Our predictions are generated using data-driven models that analyze team form, recent performances, and historical trends to deliver reliable match forecasts.
Al Ahli vs Al Nassr — AI Prediction & Probabilities by Market
Below are our AI-generated match predictions for Al Ahli vs Al Nassr. Each market shows the probability of each outcome based on our model's analysis of team form, historical data and current season performance.
Al Ahli–
Al Nassr–Winner
1X 70%
BTTS*
Yes 59%
Correct Score
1-1 11%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 60%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 55%
Al Ahli–Al Nassr–Winner
1X 70%
BTTS*
Yes 59%
Correct Score
1-1 11%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 60%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 55%
Full Time
146%
X25%
230%
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 19% | 81% | 40% | 60% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 55% | 45% | 79% | 21% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22% | 78% | 51% | 49% |
| 33% | 67% | 65% | 35% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 76% | 24% | 90% | 10% |
| 86% | 14% | 96% | 4% |
1st Half
137%
X37%
226%
1st Score
152%
X5%
243%
Half Time/Full Time
1-1
28%
2-2
17%
X-1
15%
X-X
12%
X-2
9%
1-X
6%
2-X
6%
2-1
4%
1-2
2%
Correct Score
1-1
11.1%
2-1
9.8%
1-2
7.8%
1-0
7.5%
2-0
6.4%
2-2
6.3%
0-1
6.0%
3-1
5.2%
0-0
5.1%
3-0
4.5%
0-2
4.0%
3-2
3.2%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score
Al Ahli vs Al Nassr: the stats that stand out
Pro League
Where each side is most unusual compared with the rest of the league: clean sheets, scoring first, wins as favourites and more.
How to read it
the teamleague averageshare of games, 0 to 100%Al Nassr: always on the scoresheet · Al Ahli: banker as favourites and brick wall
0/10Banker as favourites
7/8Al Ahli won 7 of 8 as favourites (league 59%).
Brick wall
4/10Al Ahli kept 4 clean sheets in their last 10 (league 25%).
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
We compare each team's last 10 games in this competition with how often the same thing happens across the whole league (last 12 months). A fact only shows when the team is noticeably different from a typical team. For example, if teams here score first in half their games, a team needs 7 or more out of 10 (or 3 or fewer). We show up to three facts, the most unusual first, never two about the same thing. They describe what happened, not a forecast.
How we measure →Al Ahli vs Al Nassr: attack vs defence
Pro League
Both sides' chances created and allowed a game, next to the rest of the league, measured with our own xG.
How to read it
other Pro League teamsleague averagelast 10 games↑ Fewer chances allowed (xGA a game)
More chances created (xG a game) →
- Al Ahli: good attack, good defence (1.92 xG, 1.22 xGA a game)
- Al Nassr: good attack, good defence (1.77 xG, 0.88 xGA)
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
xG is our estimate of how many goals a team's chances were worth, from the shots in each match; xGA is the same for the chances it allowed. The dashed lines are the average of the teams shown. A team close to a line is about average. Teams with fewer than 5 games here aren't in the chart yet.
How we measure →Al Ahli vs Al Nassr form and luck check
Pro League
Whether each side is taking more or fewer points than its chances usually bring.
How to read it
what their chances usually bringoutside the normal range (±4)last 10 Pro League gamesBoth results in line with their chances
- Al AhliClinical · +4 goals+1.5
- Al NassrClinical · +3 goals−0.1
Last 5 matches
Al NassrD
W
L
W
W
Al AhliW
L
W
L
L
W
D
L
Strength rank: Al Ahli 4th of 18 · Al Nassr 2nd of 18
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
For each of a team's last 10 games, we work out how many points a team usually gets from a game with those chances (xG) for and against, add them up and compare with the points it actually got. We do the same for goals. Strong teams often get a bit more than their chances suggest, so we compare each team with sides of similar strength in this league. That way nobody is flagged just for being good.
We flag a team when the gap is 4 points or more (or 3 goals or more). If some games have no xG data, we use the ones that do.
Does it mean anything? 85% of teams 4+ points ahead of their chances got fewer points in their next 10 games, and 83% of teams 4+ points behind got more. Bookmakers already expect these gaps to even out, so it's a fan's read, not a betting edge.
Strength rank: we rank this season's 18 teams by how much better their attack is than their defence, using chances (xG), the odds and goals. Does it work? Over the first half of a season, this rank predicted the second half better than the league table did.
How we measure →Al Ahli vs Al Nassr: Over 2.5 & BTTS?
Pro League
How often each side's recent league games had over 2.5 goals and both teams scoring.
How to read it
a game where it happenedleague averagelast 10 Pro League gamesBTTS = both teams scoredAl Ahli and Al Nassr games both go over 2.5 goals more often than the Pro League average (55%).
Over 2.5 goalsleague 55%
Al Ahli9 of 10
Al Nassr8 of 10
BTTSleague 57%
Al Ahli5 of 10
Al Nassr8 of 10
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
For each team we take its last 10 games in this competition from the past 12 months (fewer if it hasn't played 10) and count how many went over 2.5 goals and how many had both teams scoring. The league figure uses all 333 games played here in the last 12 months.
How we measure →Al Ahli vs Al Nassr corners, cards and goal times
Pro League
Each side's corners and cards a game, and when it scores and concedes, from its recent league games.
How to read it
league averagelast 10 in the league · corners and cards per gameAl Ahli score early
Al Ahli
Al Nassr
3.7
Corners won · league 5.0
7.7
4.3
Corners conceded · league 5.0
2.9
1.8
Cards · league 2.1
1.9
2.1
Opponents' cards · league 2.1
1.9
60%
Goals before half-time · league 46%
44%
16%
Goals after 75' · league 24%
20%
67%
Conceded before half-time · league 46%
64%
25%
Conceded after 75' · league 24%
18%
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
We use each team's last 10 games here. Corners and cards only count games where those stats were recorded, and goal times only count games with reliable goal minutes, so some teams have fewer than 10. We compare with the whole league over the last 12 months.
How we measure →Our prediction record
Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.
Full-Time Result
Al Nassr3/5
Al Ahli4/5
Both Teams to Score
Al Nassr5/5
Al Ahli2/5
Over/Under 2.5 Goals
Al Nassr4/5
Al Ahli5/5
Over/Under 3.5 Goals
Al Nassr4/5
Al Ahli1/5
First Half Result
Al Nassr1/5
Al Ahli4/5
Correct Score
Al Nassr2/5
Al Ahli0/5
correct predictionwrong prediction