Leaky
1/10Cruzeiro kept only 1 clean sheet in their last 10 (league 25%).
Bragantino vs Cruzeiro Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips
Serie A - Season 2026 (Round 30)
Riding their luck
Cruzeiro are taking more points than their chances usually bring
+8points more than their chances usually bring in their last 10
85% of teams this far ahead of their chances got fewer points in their next 10 games. Bragantino are the other way round, behind their chances: about −6 points.
Bookmakers: Cruzeiro 29% to winBragantino 44%
Bragantino vs Cruzeiro score prediction
Serie A
The goals we expect each side to score, not an exact score: built from both teams' chances, the bookmakers' view and real goals here.
Evenly matched in front of goal
2.7 goals in total, in line with the Serie A average of 2.7.
goals expected
Bragantino1.5Cruzeiro1.2Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
We look at how many chances each team has created and allowed in its recent games in this league, what the bookmakers expected from those games, and the goals actually scored. Then we compare that with how many goals home and away teams usually score here.
Does it work? Since July 2025, our numbers have been 7% closer to the real goals than just using the league average.
How we measure →Get our AI football prediction and stats for Bragantino vs Cruzeiro: our model’s probabilities next to the bookmakers’ odds in each market, how often similar predictions came true, and both teams’ recent form.
Bragantino vs Cruzeiro — Our Model vs the Bookmakers
Market check · Serie A
For each market: our model’s probability for this match, the bookmakers’ probability from the current odds (margin removed), whether the two agree, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months. When they disagree, the bookmakers’ number has usually been the better guide.
How to read it
our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Bragantino to win
Our model 45%Bookmakers 44%
Our track record
In 3,368 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 49.3% of the time (bookmakers said 50.4%).
Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Yes, both score
Our model 55%Bookmakers 56%
Our track record
In 6,315 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 55.3% of the time (bookmakers said 55.0%).
Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Over 2.5 goals
Our model 51%Bookmakers 53%
Our track record
In 5,011 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 57.0% of the time (bookmakers said 56.4%).
Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Under 3.5 goals
Our model 72%Bookmakers 69%
Our track record
In 4,428 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 72.3% of the time (bookmakers said 71.7%).
First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Draw at half-time
Our model 45%Bookmakers 42%
Our track record
In 4,145 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 47.8% of the time (bookmakers said 47.3%).
Bragantino Goals →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Bragantino 0–1 goals
Our model 57%Bookmakers 54%
Our track record
In 3,340 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.5% of the time (bookmakers said 61.1%).
Cruzeiro Goals →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Cruzeiro 0–1 goals
Our model 69%Bookmakers 66%
Our track record
In 3,159 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.1% of the time (bookmakers said 67.8%).
Odds can still move before kick-off. The track record uses closing odds.
Bragantino vs Cruzeiro — AI Prediction & Probabilities by Market
Below are our AI-generated match predictions for Bragantino vs Cruzeiro. Each market shows the probability of each outcome based on our model's analysis of team form, historical data and current season performance.
Bragantino–
Cruzeiro–Winner
1X 71%
BTTS*
Yes 55%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 51%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 62%
Bragantino–Cruzeiro–Winner
1X 71%
BTTS*
Yes 55%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 51%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 62%
Full Time
145%
X26%
229%
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 25% | 75% | 49% | 51% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 62% | 38% | 84% | 16% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24% | 76% | 57% | 44% |
| 35% | 65% | 69% | 31% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 82% | 18% | 94% | 6% |
| 89% | 11% | 97% | 3% |
1st Half
136%
X45%
219%
1st Score
159%
X7%
234%
Half Time/Full Time
1-1
29%
X-1
17%
X-X
17%
2-2
12%
X-2
11%
1-X
6%
2-X
5%
2-1
3%
1-2
2%
Correct Score
1-1
12.4%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.9%
0-1
7.7%
2-0
7.5%
1-2
7.2%
0-0
6.8%
2-2
5.5%
3-1
4.4%
0-2
4.3%
3-0
3.8%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score
Bragantino vs Cruzeiro: the stats that stand out
Serie A
Where each side is most unusual compared with the rest of the league: clean sheets, scoring first, wins as favourites and more.
How to read it
the teamleague averageshare of games, 0 to 100%Cruzeiro: leaky and always on the scoresheet
1/10Always on the scoresheet
1/10Cruzeiro failed to score in only 1 of their last 10 (league 25%).
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
We compare each team's last 10 games in this competition with how often the same thing happens across the whole league (last 12 months). A fact only shows when the team is noticeably different from a typical team. For example, if teams here score first in half their games, a team needs 7 or more out of 10 (or 3 or fewer). We show up to three facts, the most unusual first, never two about the same thing. They describe what happened, not a forecast.
How we measure →Bragantino vs Cruzeiro: attack vs defence
Serie A
How to read it
other Serie A teamsleague averagelast 10 games↑ Fewer chances allowed (xGA a game)
More chances created (xG a game) →
- Bragantino: weak attack, weak defence (1.49 xG, 1.64 xGA a game)
- Cruzeiro: good attack, weak defence (1.61 xG, 1.86 xGA)
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
xG is our estimate of how many goals a team's chances were worth, from the shots in each match; xGA is the same for the chances it allowed. The dashed lines are the average of the teams shown. A team close to a line is about average. Teams with fewer than 5 games here aren't in the chart yet.
How we measure →Bragantino vs Cruzeiro form and luck check
Serie A
Whether each side is taking more or fewer points than its chances usually bring.
How to read it
what their chances usually bringoutside the normal range (±4)last 10 Serie A gamesCruzeiro riding their luck, Bragantino unlucky
- BragantinoBookmakers: 44% to win today.Wasteful · −6 goals−5.7
- CruzeiroBookmakers: 29% to win today.+8.4
Last 5 matches
CruzeiroW
L
W
L
W
BragantinoL
L
D
L
L
W
D
L
Strength rank: Bragantino 13th of 20 · Cruzeiro 5th of 20
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
For each of a team's last 10 games, we work out how many points a team usually gets from a game with those chances (xG) for and against, add them up and compare with the points it actually got. We do the same for goals. Strong teams often get a bit more than their chances suggest, so we compare each team with sides of similar strength in this league. That way nobody is flagged just for being good.
We flag a team when the gap is 4 points or more (or 3 goals or more). If some games have no xG data, we use the ones that do.
Does it mean anything? 85% of teams 4+ points ahead of their chances got fewer points in their next 10 games, and 83% of teams 4+ points behind got more. Bookmakers already expect these gaps to even out, so it's a fan's read, not a betting edge.
Strength rank: we rank this season's 20 teams by how much better their attack is than their defence, using chances (xG), the odds and goals. Does it work? Over the first half of a season, this rank predicted the second half better than the league table did.
How we measure →Bragantino vs Cruzeiro: Over 2.5 & BTTS?
Serie A
How to read it
a game where it happenedleague averagelast 10 Serie A gamesBTTS = both teams scoredCruzeiro games go over 2.5 goals more often than the Serie A average (52%), Bragantino games less often.
Over 2.5 goalsleague 52%
Bragantino3 of 10
Cruzeiro8 of 10
BTTSleague 55%
Bragantino6 of 10
Cruzeiro8 of 10
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
For each team we take its last 10 games in this competition from the past 12 months (fewer if it hasn't played 10) and count how many went over 2.5 goals and how many had both teams scoring. The league figure uses all 397 games played here in the last 12 months.
How we measure →Bragantino vs Cruzeiro corners, cards and goal times
Serie A
How to read it
league averagelast 10 in the league · corners and cards per gameBoth sides score late
Bragantino
Cruzeiro
6.4
Corners won · league 5.1
4.8
5.6
Corners conceded · league 5.1
5.1
2.7
Cards · league 2.5
2.9
2.3
Opponents' cards · league 2.5
1.9
50%
Goals before half-time · league 45%
22%
38%
Goals after 75' · league 23%
44%
46%
Conceded before half-time · league 45%
67%
15%
Conceded after 75' · league 23%
17%
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
We use each team's last 10 games here. Corners and cards only count games where those stats were recorded, and goal times only count games with reliable goal minutes, so some teams have fewer than 10. We compare with the whole league over the last 12 months.
How we measure →Our prediction record
Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.
Full-Time Result
Cruzeiro3/5
Bragantino3/5
Both Teams to Score
Cruzeiro3/5
Bragantino4/5
Over/Under 2.5 Goals
Cruzeiro0/5
Bragantino2/5
Over/Under 3.5 Goals
Cruzeiro2/5
Bragantino4/5
First Half Result
Cruzeiro1/5
Bragantino2/5
Correct Score
Cruzeiro0/5
Bragantino2/5
correct predictionwrong prediction