São Bernardo vs CRB 3-1 Score & Prediction Review
Serie B - Season 2026 (Round 31)
São Bernardo won with less than half the chances
São Bernardo3–1
CRBOn these chances São Bernardo would usually take 0.6 points and CRB 2.2; they took 3 and 0. Bookmakers' favourite: CRB.
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.
Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.
Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.
How we measure →São Bernardo vs CRB stats: how the match was played
Serie B
CRB had clearly more shots on target
São Bernardo
CRB
5
Shots on target
8
1
Big chances
4
5
Corners
7
1
Yellow cards
1
42%
Possession
58%
São Bernardo vs CRB — Our Model vs the Bookmakers
Market check · Serie B
How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.
How to read it
Our model’s pick
CRB to win
WrongOur track record
In 3,483 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 46.7% of the time (bookmakers said 46.9%).
Our model’s pick
Yes, both score
CorrectOur track record
In 6,314 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 55.3% of the time (bookmakers said 55.0%).
Our model’s pick
Under 2.5 goals
WrongOur track record
In 5,140 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 58.7% of the time (bookmakers said 59.1%).
Our model’s pick
Under 3.5 goals
WrongOur track record
In 3,596 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 75–80% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 76.3% of the time (bookmakers said 76.4%).
Our model’s pick
Draw at half-time
CorrectOur track record
In 4,144 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 47.8% of the time (bookmakers said 47.3%).
Our model’s pick
São Bernardo 0–1 goals
WrongOur track record
In 1,543 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 71.2% of the time (bookmakers said 72.1%).
Our model’s pick
CRB 0–1 goals
CorrectOur track record
In 2,605 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 63.0% of the time (bookmakers said 63.8%).
Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.
São Bernardo vs CRB 3-1 — How Our Predictions Performed
The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for São Bernardo vs CRB. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.
São Bernardo3
CRB1Winner
X2 70%
BTTS*
Yes 51%
Correct Score
1-1 14%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 56%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 68%
São Bernardo3CRB1Winner
X2 70%
BTTS*
Yes 51%
Correct Score
1-1 14%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 56%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 68%
Full Time
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 30% | 70% | 56% | 44% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 68% | 32% | 89% | 11% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 34% | 66% | 71% | 29% |
| 28% | 72% | 63% | 37% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 91% | 9% | 98% | 2% |
| 86% | 14% | 96% | 4% |
1st Half
1st Score
Half Time/Full Time
2-2
21%
X-X
20%
1-1
16%
X-2
15%
X-1
13%
1-X
6%
2-X
6%
1-2
3%
2-1
2%
Correct Score
1-1
14.0%
0-1
11.3%
1-0
9.9%
0-0
9.2%
1-2
9.1%
2-1
7.5%
0-2
6.5%
2-2
5.1%
2-0
5.0%
1-3
3.6%
0-3
3.1%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score
São Bernardo vs CRB — Recent Form
São Bernardo have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 12th in the table. CRB have won 2, drawn 0 and lost 3 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 8th in the table.
Last 5 matches
São BernardoCRBOur prediction record
Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.
Full-Time Result
CRBSão BernardoBoth Teams to Score
CRBSão BernardoOver/Under 2.5 Goals
CRBSão BernardoOver/Under 3.5 Goals
CRBSão BernardoFirst Half Result
CRBSão BernardoCorrect Score
CRBSão Bernardo