Shot-shy
9/10Ponte Preta failed to score in 9 of their last 10 (league 30%).
Novorizontino vs Ponte Preta Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips
Serie B - Season 2026 (Round 33)
Goal-fest alert
More goals than usual expected in Novorizontino vs Ponte Preta
3.2goals expected · Serie B average 2.3
Since July 2025, games with an alert like this averaged 3.2 goals, and 62% went over 2.5.
Novorizontino vs Ponte Preta score prediction
Serie B
The goals we expect each side to score, not an exact score: built from both teams' chances, the bookmakers' view and real goals here.
Goal-fest alert3.2 goals expected
3.2 goals in total: more goals than a typical Serie B game (average 2.3).
goals expected
Novorizontino2.7Ponte Preta0.5Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
We look at how many chances each team has created and allowed in its recent games in this league, what the bookmakers expected from those games, and the goals actually scored. Then we compare that with how many goals home and away teams usually score here.
Does it work? Since July 2025, our numbers have been 7% closer to the real goals than just using the league average.
Goal-fest alert: we expect at least 2.7 goals, clearly more than usual in this league (8.5% above the average). Since July 2025, these games averaged 3.2 goals, and 62% went over 2.5.
Bore draw alert: we expect 2.3 goals or fewer, clearly less than usual (11% below the average). These games averaged 2.2 goals, and 63% stayed under 2.5.
Bookmakers usually see these coming too, so use the alert to know what kind of game to expect, not as a betting edge.
How we measure →The match Novorizontino vs Ponte Preta will be played on Monday, October 12 as part of the 2026 season. This fixture will be played in the Round 33 of the Serie B, played in Brazil. On this page, you’ll find our detailed football prediction for Novorizontino vs Ponte Preta, including full-time result (1X2) probabilities, draw chances, and additional betting insights. Our predictions are generated using data-driven models that analyze team form, recent performances, and historical trends to deliver reliable match forecasts.
Novorizontino vs Ponte Preta — AI Prediction & Probabilities by Market
Below are our AI-generated match predictions for Novorizontino vs Ponte Preta. Each market shows the probability of each outcome based on our model's analysis of team form, historical data and current season performance.
Novorizontino–
Ponte Preta–Winner
1 90%
BTTS*
No 71%
Correct Score
3-0 17%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 67%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
over 53%
Novorizontino–Ponte Preta–Winner
1 90%
BTTS*
No 71%
Correct Score
3-0 17%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 67%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
over 53%
Full Time
190%
X8%
23%
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 16% | 84% | 33% | 67% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 47% | 53% | 64% | 36% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4% | 96% | 20% | 80% |
| 79% | 21% | 95% | 5% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 42% | 58% | 67% | 33% |
| 99% | 1% | 100% | 0% |
1st Half
165%
X30%
25%
1st Score
184%
X3%
213%
Half Time/Full Time
1-1
64%
X-1
19%
X-X
7%
2-1
3%
1-X
2%
X-2
2%
2-2
2%
2-X
1%
1-2
0%
Correct Score
3-0
16.5%
2-0
14.4%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
6.6%
3-1
5.9%
0-0
3.1%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score
Novorizontino vs Ponte Preta: the stats that stand out
Serie B
Where each side is most unusual compared with the rest of the league: clean sheets, scoring first, wins as favourites and more.
How to read it
the teamleague averageshare of games, 0 to 100%Ponte Preta: shot-shy, always chasing and leaky
9/10Always chasing
8/9Ponte Preta conceded first in 8 of 9 recent matches with goal times (league 46%).
Leaky
1/10Ponte Preta kept only 1 clean sheet in their last 10 (league 30%).
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
We compare each team's last 10 games in this competition with how often the same thing happens across the whole league (last 12 months). A fact only shows when the team is noticeably different from a typical team. For example, if teams here score first in half their games, a team needs 7 or more out of 10 (or 3 or fewer). We show up to three facts, the most unusual first, never two about the same thing. They describe what happened, not a forecast.
How we measure →Novorizontino vs Ponte Preta: attack vs defence
Serie B
How to read it
other Serie B teamsleague averagelast 10 games↑ Fewer chances allowed (xGA a game)
More chances created (xG a game) →
- Novorizontino: good attack, good defence (2.24 xG, 0.93 xGA a game)
- Ponte Preta: weak attack, weak defence (0.85 xG, 2.44 xGA)
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
xG is our estimate of how many goals a team's chances were worth, from the shots in each match; xGA is the same for the chances it allowed. The dashed lines are the average of the teams shown. A team close to a line is about average. Teams with fewer than 5 games here aren't in the chart yet.
How we measure →Novorizontino vs Ponte Preta form and luck check
Serie B
Whether each side is taking more or fewer points than its chances usually bring.
How to read it
what their chances usually bringoutside the normal range (±4)last 10 Serie B gamesBoth results in line with their chances
- Novorizontino−1.9
- Ponte Preta9 of 10 games+1.3
Last 5 matches
NovorizontinoW
D
L
D
W
Ponte PretaL
L
L
W
L
W
D
L
Strength rank: Novorizontino 1st of 20 · Ponte Preta 20th of 20
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
For each of a team's last 10 games, we work out how many points a team usually gets from a game with those chances (xG) for and against, add them up and compare with the points it actually got. We do the same for goals. Strong teams often get a bit more than their chances suggest, so we compare each team with sides of similar strength in this league. That way nobody is flagged just for being good.
We flag a team when the gap is 4 points or more (or 3 goals or more). If some games have no xG data, we use the ones that do.
Does it mean anything? 85% of teams 4+ points ahead of their chances got fewer points in their next 10 games, and 83% of teams 4+ points behind got more. Bookmakers already expect these gaps to even out, so it's a fan's read, not a betting edge.
Strength rank: we rank this season's 20 teams by how much better their attack is than their defence, using chances (xG), the odds and goals. Does it work? Over the first half of a season, this rank predicted the second half better than the league table did.
How we measure →Novorizontino vs Ponte Preta: Over 2.5 & BTTS?
Serie B
How to read it
a game where it happenedleague averagelast 10 Serie B gamesBTTS = both teams scoredBoth teams score in Ponte Preta games less often than the Serie B average (49%), in Novorizontino games more often.
Over 2.5 goalsleague 44%
Novorizontino7 of 10
Ponte Preta2 of 10
BTTSleague 49%
Novorizontino6 of 10
Ponte Preta0 of 10
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
For each team we take its last 10 games in this competition from the past 12 months (fewer if it hasn't played 10) and count how many went over 2.5 goals and how many had both teams scoring. The league figure uses all 393 games played here in the last 12 months.
How we measure →Novorizontino vs Ponte Preta corners, cards and goal times
Serie B
How to read it
league averagelast 10 in the league · corners and cards per gamePonte Preta: last 9 with these statsGoal times close to the Serie B average
Novorizontino
Ponte Preta
7.8
Corners won · league 5.2
2.4
4.2
Corners conceded · league 5.2
7.8
1.6
Cards · league 2.5
2.3
2.4
Opponents' cards · league 2.5
1.8
50%
Goals before half-time · league 44%
100%
30%
Goals after 75' · league 24%
0%
43%
Conceded before half-time · league 44%
50%
29%
Conceded after 75' · league 24%
21%
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
We use each team's last 10 games here. Corners and cards only count games where those stats were recorded, and goal times only count games with reliable goal minutes, so some teams have fewer than 10. We compare with the whole league over the last 12 months.
How we measure →Our prediction record
Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.
Full-Time Result
Novorizontino3/5
Ponte Preta4/5
Both Teams to Score
Novorizontino3/5
Ponte Preta5/5
Over/Under 2.5 Goals
Novorizontino2/5
Ponte Preta3/5
Over/Under 3.5 Goals
Novorizontino4/5
Ponte Preta4/5
First Half Result
Novorizontino3/5
Ponte Preta3/5
Correct Score
Novorizontino0/5
Ponte Preta1/5
correct predictionwrong prediction