Always chasing
8/10Avaí conceded first in 8 of their last 10 (league 46%).
Avaí vs Athletic Club Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips
Serie B - Season 2026 (Round 34)
Clinical
Athletic Club are scoring more goals than their chances (xG) usually bring
+4goals more than their chances (xG) in their last 10
80% of teams scoring this many more goals than their chances scored fewer in their next 10 games.
Avaí vs Athletic Club score prediction
Serie B
The goals we expect each side to score, not an exact score: built from both teams' chances, the bookmakers' view and real goals here.
Evenly matched in front of goal
2.3 goals in total, in line with the Serie B average of 2.3.
goals expected
Avaí1.3
Athletic Club1.0Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
We look at how many chances each team has created and allowed in its recent games in this league, what the bookmakers expected from those games, and the goals actually scored. Then we compare that with how many goals home and away teams usually score here.
Does it work? Since July 2025, our numbers have been 7% closer to the real goals than just using the league average.
How we measure →The match Avaí vs Athletic Club will be played on Sunday, October 18 as part of the 2026 season. This fixture will be played in the Round 34 of the Serie B, played in Brazil. On this page, you’ll find our detailed football prediction for Avaí vs Athletic Club, including full-time result (1X2) probabilities, draw chances, and additional betting insights. Our predictions are generated using data-driven models that analyze team form, recent performances, and historical trends to deliver reliable match forecasts.
Avaí vs Athletic Club — AI Prediction & Probabilities by Market
Below are our AI-generated match predictions for Avaí vs Athletic Club. Each market shows the probability of each outcome based on our model's analysis of team form, historical data and current season performance.
Avaí–
Athletic Club–Winner
1X 75%
BTTS*
No 51%
Correct Score
1-0 14%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 58%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 69%
Avaí–Athletic Club–Winner
1X 75%
BTTS*
No 51%
Correct Score
1-0 14%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 58%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 69%
Full Time
147%
X28%
225%
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 32% | 68% | 58% | 42% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 69% | 31% | 89% | 11% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25% | 75% | 60% | 40% |
| 41% | 59% | 76% | 24% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 84% | 16% | 95% | 5% |
| 93% | 7% | 98% | 2% |
1st Half
133%
X49%
218%
1st Score
157%
X9%
234%
Half Time/Full Time
1-1
26%
X-X
20%
X-1
18%
2-2
12%
X-2
10%
1-X
5%
2-X
5%
1-2
2%
2-1
2%
Correct Score
1-0
13.7%
1-1
13.6%
2-1
9.4%
0-0
9.3%
2-0
9.0%
0-1
8.8%
1-2
6.4%
2-2
4.3%
3-1
4.0%
0-2
4.0%
3-0
3.7%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score
Avaí vs Athletic Club: the stats that stand out
Serie B
Where each side is most unusual compared with the rest of the league: clean sheets, scoring first, wins as favourites and more.
How to read it
the teamleague averageshare of games, 0 to 100%Avaí: always chasing and leaky
8/10Leaky
1/10Avaí kept only 1 clean sheet in their last 10 (league 30%).
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
We compare each team's last 10 games in this competition with how often the same thing happens across the whole league (last 12 months). A fact only shows when the team is noticeably different from a typical team. For example, if teams here score first in half their games, a team needs 7 or more out of 10 (or 3 or fewer). We show up to three facts, the most unusual first, never two about the same thing. They describe what happened, not a forecast.
How we measure →Avaí vs Athletic Club: attack vs defence
Serie B
How to read it
other Serie B teamsleague averagelast 10 games↑ Fewer chances allowed (xGA a game)
More chances created (xG a game) →
- Avaí: weak attack, good defence (1.14 xG, 1.51 xGA a game)
- Athletic Club: weak attack, weak defence (1.38 xG, 1.75 xGA)
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
xG is our estimate of how many goals a team's chances were worth, from the shots in each match; xGA is the same for the chances it allowed. The dashed lines are the average of the teams shown. A team close to a line is about average. Teams with fewer than 5 games here aren't in the chart yet.
How we measure →Avaí vs Athletic Club form and luck check
Serie B
Whether each side is taking more or fewer points than its chances usually bring.
How to read it
what their chances usually bringoutside the normal range (±4)last 10 Serie B gamesBoth results in line with their chances
- Avaí−0.3
- Athletic ClubClinical · +4 goals−2.3
Last 5 matches
Athletic ClubL
L
D
D
W
AvaíL
L
L
D
L
W
D
L
Strength rank: Avaí 18th of 20 · Athletic Club 17th of 20
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
For each of a team's last 10 games, we work out how many points a team usually gets from a game with those chances (xG) for and against, add them up and compare with the points it actually got. We do the same for goals. Strong teams often get a bit more than their chances suggest, so we compare each team with sides of similar strength in this league. That way nobody is flagged just for being good.
We flag a team when the gap is 4 points or more (or 3 goals or more). If some games have no xG data, we use the ones that do.
Does it mean anything? 85% of teams 4+ points ahead of their chances got fewer points in their next 10 games, and 83% of teams 4+ points behind got more. Bookmakers already expect these gaps to even out, so it's a fan's read, not a betting edge.
Strength rank: we rank this season's 20 teams by how much better their attack is than their defence, using chances (xG), the odds and goals. Does it work? Over the first half of a season, this rank predicted the second half better than the league table did.
How we measure →Avaí vs Athletic Club: Over 2.5 & BTTS?
Serie B
How to read it
a game where it happenedleague averagelast 10 Serie B gamesBTTS = both teams scoredAvaí and Athletic Club games both go over 2.5 goals more often than the Serie B average (44%).
Over 2.5 goalsleague 44%
Avaí5 of 10
Athletic Club7 of 10
BTTSleague 49%
Avaí5 of 10
Athletic Club6 of 10
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
For each team we take its last 10 games in this competition from the past 12 months (fewer if it hasn't played 10) and count how many went over 2.5 goals and how many had both teams scoring. The league figure uses all 393 games played here in the last 12 months.
How we measure →Avaí vs Athletic Club corners, cards and goal times
Serie B
How to read it
league averagelast 10 in the league · corners and cards per gameAvaí score late
Avaí
Athletic Club
3.8
Corners won · league 5.2
4.0
5.7
Corners conceded · league 5.2
4.8
2.7
Cards · league 2.5
1.6
1.4
Opponents' cards · league 2.5
1.7
33%
Goals before half-time · league 44%
50%
44%
Goals after 75' · league 24%
21%
29%
Conceded before half-time · league 44%
39%
29%
Conceded after 75' · league 24%
22%
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
We use each team's last 10 games here. Corners and cards only count games where those stats were recorded, and goal times only count games with reliable goal minutes, so some teams have fewer than 10. We compare with the whole league over the last 12 months.
How we measure →Our prediction record
Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.
Full-Time Result
Avaí3/5
Athletic Club1/5
Both Teams to Score
Avaí2/5
Athletic Club2/5
Over/Under 2.5 Goals
Avaí3/5
Athletic Club2/5
Over/Under 3.5 Goals
Avaí5/5
Athletic Club4/5
First Half Result
Avaí4/5
Athletic Club4/5
Correct Score
Avaí2/5
Athletic Club1/5
correct predictionwrong prediction