São Bernardo vs Criciúma Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips
Serie B - Season 2026 (Round 34)
São Bernardo vs Criciúma score prediction
Serie B
The goals we expect each side to score, not an exact score: built from both teams' chances, the bookmakers' view and real goals here.
Evenly matched in front of goal
2.1 goals in total, a little under the Serie B average of 2.3.
goals expected
São Bernardo1.1
Criciúma1.0Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
We look at how many chances each team has created and allowed in its recent games in this league, what the bookmakers expected from those games, and the goals actually scored. Then we compare that with how many goals home and away teams usually score here.
Does it work? Since July 2025, our numbers have been 7% closer to the real goals than just using the league average.
How we measure →São Bernardo vs Criciúma — AI Prediction & Probabilities by Market
Below are our AI-generated match predictions for São Bernardo vs Criciúma. Each market shows the probability of each outcome based on our model's analysis of team form, historical data and current season performance.
São Bernardo–
Criciúma–Winner
12 70%
BTTS*
No 52%
Correct Score
1-1 15%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 61%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 71%
São Bernardo–Criciúma–Winner
12 70%
BTTS*
No 52%
Correct Score
1-1 15%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 61%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 71%
Full Time
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 34% | 66% | 61% | 39% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 71% | 29% | 91% | 9% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 35% | 65% | 72% | 28% |
| 32% | 68% | 68% | 32% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 91% | 9% | 98% | 2% |
| 89% | 11% | 97% | 3% |
1st Half
1st Score
Half Time/Full Time
X-X
22%
2-2
18%
1-1
17%
X-2
15%
X-1
13%
1-X
6%
2-X
5%
1-2
3%
2-1
2%
Correct Score
1-1
14.5%
0-1
12.1%
1-0
11.3%
0-0
10.7%
1-2
8.4%
2-1
7.5%
0-2
6.4%
2-0
5.9%
2-2
4.4%
1-3
3.0%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score
São Bernardo vs Criciúma: attack vs defence
Serie B
How to read it
other Serie B teamsleague averagelast 10 games↑ Fewer chances allowed (xGA a game)
More chances created (xG a game) →
- São Bernardo: weak attack, weak defence (1.32 xG, 1.72 xGA a game)
- Criciúma: weak attack, good defence (1.39 xG, 1.10 xGA)
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
xG is our estimate of how many goals a team's chances were worth, from the shots in each match; xGA is the same for the chances it allowed. The dashed lines are the average of the teams shown. A team close to a line is about average. Teams with fewer than 5 games here aren't in the chart yet.
How we measure →São Bernardo vs Criciúma form and luck check
Serie B
Whether each side is taking more or fewer points than its chances usually bring.
How to read it
what their chances usually bringoutside the normal range (±4)last 10 Serie B gamesBoth results in line with their chances
- São Bernardo+3.9
- Criciúma−3.4
Last 5 matches
São BernardoCriciúmaStrength rank: São Bernardo 12th of 20 · Criciúma 6th of 20
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
For each of a team's last 10 games, we work out how many points a team usually gets from a game with those chances (xG) for and against, add them up and compare with the points it actually got. We do the same for goals. Strong teams often get a bit more than their chances suggest, so we compare each team with sides of similar strength in this league. That way nobody is flagged just for being good.
We flag a team when the gap is 4 points or more (or 3 goals or more). If some games have no xG data, we use the ones that do.
Does it mean anything? 85% of teams 4+ points ahead of their chances got fewer points in their next 10 games, and 83% of teams 4+ points behind got more. Bookmakers already expect these gaps to even out, so it's a fan's read, not a betting edge.
Strength rank: we rank this season's 20 teams by how much better their attack is than their defence, using chances (xG), the odds and goals. Does it work? Over the first half of a season, this rank predicted the second half better than the league table did.
How we measure →São Bernardo vs Criciúma: Over 2.5 & BTTS?
Serie B
How to read it
a game where it happenedleague averagelast 10 Serie B gamesBTTS = both teams scoredBoth teams score in Criciúma games less often than the Serie B average (49%), in São Bernardo games more often.
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
For each team we take its last 10 games in this competition from the past 12 months (fewer if it hasn't played 10) and count how many went over 2.5 goals and how many had both teams scoring. The league figure uses all 390 games played here in the last 12 months.
How we measure →São Bernardo vs Criciúma corners, cards and goal times
Serie B
How to read it
league averagelast 10 in the league · corners and cards per gameGoal times close to the Serie B average
São Bernardo
Criciúma
5.6
Corners won · league 5.2
7.8
6.6
Corners conceded · league 5.2
3.6
1.2
Cards · league 2.4
2.7
1.3
Opponents' cards · league 2.4
2.1
25%
Goals before half-time · league 44%
30%
33%
Goals after 75' · league 24%
10%
38%
Conceded before half-time · league 44%
38%
13%
Conceded after 75' · league 24%
31%
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
We use each team's last 10 games here. Corners and cards only count games where those stats were recorded, and goal times only count games with reliable goal minutes, so some teams have fewer than 10. We compare with the whole league over the last 12 months.
How we measure →Our prediction record
Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.
Full-Time Result
CriciúmaSão BernardoBoth Teams to Score
CriciúmaSão BernardoOver/Under 2.5 Goals
CriciúmaSão BernardoOver/Under 3.5 Goals
CriciúmaSão BernardoFirst Half Result
CriciúmaSão BernardoCorrect Score
CriciúmaSão Bernardo