Fast starters
8/10Calcio Padova scored first in 8 of their last 10 (league 47%).
Calcio Padova vs Virtus Entella Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips
Serie B - Season 2026/2027 (Round 7)
Riding their luck
Calcio Padova are taking more points than their chances usually bring
+10points more than their chances usually bring in their last 10
85% of teams this far ahead of their chances got fewer points in their next 10 games.
Bookmakers: Calcio Padova 36% to winVirtus Entella 32%
Calcio Padova vs Virtus Entella score prediction
Serie B
The goals we expect each side to score, not an exact score: built from both teams' chances, the bookmakers' view and real goals here.
Evenly matched in front of goal
2.3 goals in total, a little under the Serie B average of 2.6.
goals expected
Calcio Padova1.2
Virtus Entella1.1Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
We look at how many chances each team has created and allowed in its recent games in this league, what the bookmakers expected from those games, and the goals actually scored. Then we compare that with how many goals home and away teams usually score here.
Does it work? Since July 2025, our numbers have been 7% closer to the real goals than just using the league average.
How we measure →Get our AI football prediction and stats for Calcio Padova vs Virtus Entella: our model’s probabilities next to the bookmakers’ odds in each market, how often similar predictions came true, and both teams’ recent form.
Calcio Padova vs Virtus Entella — Our Model vs the Bookmakers
Market check · Serie B
For each market: our model’s probability for this match, the bookmakers’ probability from the current odds (margin removed), whether the two agree, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months. When they disagree, the bookmakers’ number has usually been the better guide.
How to read it
our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Calcio Padova to win
Our model 38%Bookmakers 36%
Our track record
In 2,073 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 35–40% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 43.7% of the time (bookmakers said 43.9%).
Both Teams to Score →Disagrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
No, not both
Our model 55%Bookmakers 47%
Our track record
In 3,103 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 46.4% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 46.4% than to our 50–55%.
Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Under 2.5 goals
Our model 62%Bookmakers 55%
Our track record
In 3,047 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.6% of the time (bookmakers said 62.5%).
Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Under 3.5 goals
Our model 82%Bookmakers 76%
Our track record
In 1,745 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 80–85% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 80.3% of the time (bookmakers said 81.3%).
First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Draw at half-time
Our model 48%Bookmakers 49%
Our track record
In 4,201 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 47.7% of the time (bookmakers said 47.3%).
Calcio Padova Goals →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Calcio Padova 0–1 goals
Our model 69%Bookmakers 63%
Our track record
In 2,665 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 69.0% of the time (bookmakers said 67.6%).
Virtus Entella Goals →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Virtus Entella 0–1 goals
Our model 73%Bookmakers 66%
Our track record
In 3,313 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 71.7% of the time (bookmakers said 72.1%).
Odds can still move before kick-off. The track record uses closing odds.
Calcio Padova vs Virtus Entella — AI Prediction & Probabilities by Market
Below are our AI-generated match predictions for Calcio Padova vs Virtus Entella. Each market shows the probability of each outcome based on our model's analysis of team form, historical data and current season performance.
Calcio Padova–
Virtus Entella–Winner
12 70%
BTTS*
No 55%
Correct Score
1-1 14%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 62%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 72%
Calcio Padova–Virtus Entella–Winner
12 70%
BTTS*
No 55%
Correct Score
1-1 14%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 62%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 72%
Full Time
138%
X30%
232%
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 36% | 64% | 62% | 38% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 72% | 28% | 91% | 9% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 33% | 67% | 68% | 32% |
| 38% | 62% | 73% | 27% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 89% | 11% | 97% | 3% |
| 91% | 9% | 98% | 2% |
1st Half
124%
X48%
228%
1st Score
141%
X12%
248%
Half Time/Full Time
X-X
23%
2-2
18%
1-1
17%
X-2
14%
X-1
13%
2-X
6%
1-X
5%
1-2
2%
2-1
2%
Correct Score
1-1
13.5%
1-0
12.9%
0-0
11.7%
0-1
11.1%
2-1
7.7%
2-0
7.2%
1-2
7.0%
0-2
5.6%
2-2
4.2%
3-0
3.0%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score
Calcio Padova vs Virtus Entella: the stats that stand out
Serie B
Where each side is most unusual compared with the rest of the league: clean sheets, scoring first, wins as favourites and more.
How to read it
the teamleague averageshare of games, 0 to 100%Calcio Padova: fast starters, brick wall and always on the scoresheet
8/10Brick wall
5/10Calcio Padova kept 5 clean sheets in their last 10 (league 27%).
Always on the scoresheet
1/10Calcio Padova failed to score in only 1 of their last 10 (league 27%).
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
We compare each team's last 10 games in this competition with how often the same thing happens across the whole league (last 12 months). A fact only shows when the team is noticeably different from a typical team. For example, if teams here score first in half their games, a team needs 7 or more out of 10 (or 3 or fewer). We show up to three facts, the most unusual first, never two about the same thing. They describe what happened, not a forecast.
How we measure →Calcio Padova vs Virtus Entella: attack vs defence
Serie B
Both sides' chances created and allowed a game, next to the rest of the league, measured with our own xG.
How to read it
other Serie B teamsleague averagelast 10 games↑ Fewer chances allowed (xGA a game)
More chances created (xG a game) →
- Calcio Padova: weak attack, weak defence (1.23 xG, 1.78 xGA a game)
- Virtus Entella: weak attack, good defence (1.36 xG, 1.02 xGA)
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
xG is our estimate of how many goals a team's chances were worth, from the shots in each match; xGA is the same for the chances it allowed. The dashed lines are the average of the teams shown. A team close to a line is about average. Teams with fewer than 5 games here aren't in the chart yet.
How we measure →Calcio Padova vs Virtus Entella form and luck check
Serie B
Whether each side is taking more or fewer points than its chances usually bring.
How to read it
what their chances usually bringoutside the normal range (±4)last 10 Serie B gamesCalcio Padova are taking more points than their chances usually bring
- Calcio PadovaBookmakers: 36% to win today.+9.7
- Virtus EntellaBookmakers: 32% to win today.−3.0
Last 5 matches
Virtus EntellaD
D
W
D
L
Calcio PadovaL
L
W
L
D
W
D
L
Strength rank: Calcio Padova 20th of 20 · Virtus Entella 10th of 20
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
For each of a team's last 10 games, we work out how many points a team usually gets from a game with those chances (xG) for and against, add them up and compare with the points it actually got. We do the same for goals. Strong teams often get a bit more than their chances suggest, so we compare each team with sides of similar strength in this league. That way nobody is flagged just for being good.
We flag a team when the gap is 4 points or more (or 3 goals or more). If some games have no xG data, we use the ones that do.
Does it mean anything? 85% of teams 4+ points ahead of their chances got fewer points in their next 10 games, and 83% of teams 4+ points behind got more. Bookmakers already expect these gaps to even out, so it's a fan's read, not a betting edge.
Strength rank: we rank this season's 20 teams by how much better their attack is than their defence, using chances (xG), the odds and goals. Does it work? Over the first half of a season, this rank predicted the second half better than the league table did.
How we measure →Calcio Padova vs Virtus Entella: Over 2.5 & BTTS?
Serie B
How often each side's recent league games had over 2.5 goals and both teams scoring.
How to read it
a game where it happenedleague averagelast 10 Serie B gamesBTTS = both teams scoredCalcio Padova and Virtus Entella games both go over 2.5 goals less often than the Serie B average (48%).
Over 2.5 goalsleague 48%
Calcio Padova3 of 10
Virtus Entella4 of 10
BTTSleague 53%
Calcio Padova4 of 10
Virtus Entella6 of 10
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
For each team we take its last 10 games in this competition from the past 12 months (fewer if it hasn't played 10) and count how many went over 2.5 goals and how many had both teams scoring. The league figure uses all 377 games played here in the last 12 months.
How we measure →Calcio Padova vs Virtus Entella corners, cards and goal times
Serie B
Each side's corners and cards a game, and when it scores and concedes, from its recent league games.
How to read it
league averagelast 10 in the league · corners and cards per gameVirtus Entella score early
Calcio Padova
Virtus Entella
4.4
Corners won · league 4.9
4.4
5.6
Corners conceded · league 4.9
3.3
2.4
Cards · league 2.3
1.9
1.5
Opponents' cards · league 2.3
2.2
50%
Goals before half-time · league 43%
58%
33%
Goals after 75' · league 24%
33%
60%
Conceded before half-time · league 43%
36%
20%
Conceded after 75' · league 24%
18%
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
We use each team's last 10 games here. Corners and cards only count games where those stats were recorded, and goal times only count games with reliable goal minutes, so some teams have fewer than 10. We compare with the whole league over the last 12 months.
How we measure →Our prediction record
Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.
Full-Time Result
Virtus Entella0/5
Calcio Padova2/5
Both Teams to Score
Virtus Entella1/5
Calcio Padova1/5
Over/Under 2.5 Goals
Virtus Entella2/5
Calcio Padova4/5
Over/Under 3.5 Goals
Virtus Entella3/5
Calcio Padova4/5
First Half Result
Virtus Entella3/5
Calcio Padova2/5
Correct Score
Virtus Entella0/5
Calcio Padova1/5
correct predictionwrong prediction