Benevento vs Vicenza Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Serie B - Season 2026/2027 (Round 7)

Leaky

Vicenza kept no clean sheet in their last 6 (league 27%).

0/6Clean sheets · Vicenza
Bookmakers: Vicenza 27% to winBenevento 48%

Benevento vs Vicenza score prediction

Serie B

The goals we expect each side to score, not an exact score: built from both teams' chances, the bookmakers' view and real goals here.

Benevento expected to create clearly more

2.7 goals in total, a little over the Serie B average of 2.6.

goals expected

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

We look at how many chances each team has created and allowed in its recent games in this league, what the bookmakers expected from those games, and the goals actually scored. Then we compare that with how many goals home and away teams usually score here.

Does it work? Since July 2025, our numbers have been 7% closer to the real goals than just using the league average.

How we measure →
Get our AI football prediction and stats for Benevento vs Vicenza: our model’s probabilities next to the bookmakers’ odds in each market, how often similar predictions came true, and both teams’ recent form.

Benevento vs Vicenza — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · Serie B

For each market: our model’s probability for this match, the bookmakers’ probability from the current odds (margin removed), whether the two agree, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months. When they disagree, the bookmakers’ number has usually been the better guide.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Benevento to win

Our model 49%Bookmakers 48%

Our track record

In 3,442 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 49.3% of the time (bookmakers said 50.4%).

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Yes, both score

Our model 51%Bookmakers 60%

Our track record

In 6,400 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 55.2% of the time (bookmakers said 55.0%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 2.5 goals

Our model 53%Bookmakers 44%

Our track record

In 2,814 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 43.9% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 45.2% than to our 50–55%.

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Our model 73%Bookmakers 66%

Our track record

In 4,505 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 72.3% of the time (bookmakers said 71.6%).

First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Draw at half-time

Our model 44%Bookmakers 41%

Our track record

In 6,613 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 44.8% of the time (bookmakers said 44.2%).

Benevento Goals →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Benevento 0–1 goals

Our model 55%Bookmakers 48%

Our track record

In 1,837 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 42.0% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 43.8% than to our 50–55%.

Vicenza Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Vicenza 0–1 goals

Our model 75%Bookmakers 63%

Our track record

In 3,313 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 71.7% of the time (bookmakers said 72.1%).

Odds can still move before kick-off. The track record uses closing odds.

Benevento vs Vicenza — AI Prediction & Probabilities by Market

Below are our AI-generated match predictions for Benevento vs Vicenza. Each market shows the probability of each outcome based on our model's analysis of team form, historical data and current season performance.

BeneventoBenevento–
VicenzaVicenza–

Winner

1X 76%

BTTS*

Yes 51%

Correct Score

1-1 13%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 53%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 63%

Full Time

149%
X27%
224%

Goals Over/Under

<1.5>1.5<2.5>2.5
FT28%72%53%47%
<3.5>3.5<4.5>4.5
FT63%37%85%15%

Team Goals Over/Under

<0.5>0.5<1.5>1.5
Benevento23%77%55%45%
Vicenza41%59%75%25%
<2.5>2.5<3.5>3.5
Benevento80%20%93%7%
Vicenza92%8%98%2%

1st Half

133%
X44%
223%

1st Score

153%
X8%
239%

Half Time/Full Time

1-1

27%

X-X

17%

X-1

15%

2-2

14%

X-2

10%

1-X

6%

2-X

6%

2-1

3%

1-2

2%

Correct Score

1-1

12.6%

1-0

12.1%

2-1

9.3%

2-0

9.0%

0-0

8.1%

0-1

7.3%

1-2

5.6%

2-2

4.9%

3-1

4.7%

3-0

4.4%

0-2

3.7%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

Benevento vs Vicenza: the stats that stand out

Serie B

Where each side is most unusual compared with the rest of the league: clean sheets, scoring first, wins as favourites and more.

How to read it

the teamleague averageshare of games, 0 to 100%

Vicenza: leaky · Benevento: fast starters

Leaky
Vicenza0/6

Vicenza kept no clean sheet in their last 6 (league 27%).

Fast starters
Benevento4/6

Benevento scored first in 4 of their last 6 (league 47%).

Calculated by MyGameOdds

How it works

We compare each team's last 10 games in this competition with how often the same thing happens across the whole league (last 12 months). A fact only shows when the team is noticeably different from a typical team. For example, if teams here score first in half their games, a team needs 7 or more out of 10 (or 3 or fewer). We show up to three facts, the most unusual first, never two about the same thing. They describe what happened, not a forecast.

How we measure →

Benevento vs Vicenza: attack vs defence

Serie B

Both sides' chances created and allowed a game, next to the rest of the league, measured with our own xG.

How to read it

other Serie B teamsleague averagelast 10 games

↑ Fewer chances allowed (xGA a game)

More chances created (xG a game) →

  • BeneventoBenevento: good attack, good defence (1.54 xG, 1.22 xGA a game)
  • VicenzaVicenza: weak attack, weak defence (1.26 xG, 1.68 xGA)

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

xG is our estimate of how many goals a team's chances were worth, from the shots in each match; xGA is the same for the chances it allowed. The dashed lines are the average of the teams shown. A team close to a line is about average. Teams with fewer than 5 games here aren't in the chart yet.

How we measure →

Benevento vs Vicenza form and luck check

Serie B

Whether each side is taking more or fewer points than its chances usually bring.

How to read it

what their chances usually bringoutside the normal range (±4)last 10 Serie B games

Both results in line with their chances

  • Benevento
    BeneventoBookmakers: 48% to win today. · 6 of 10 games
    +0.4
  • Vicenza
    VicenzaBookmakers: 27% to win today. · 6 of 10 games
    −1.5

Last 5 matches

BeneventoBenevento
W
W
W
L
D
8th in table
VicenzaVicenza
L
L
D
D
L
16th in table
W
D
L
Last 5 Matches

Strength rank: Benevento 5th of 20 · Vicenza 19th of 20

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

For each of a team's last 10 games, we work out how many points a team usually gets from a game with those chances (xG) for and against, add them up and compare with the points it actually got. We do the same for goals. Strong teams often get a bit more than their chances suggest, so we compare each team with sides of similar strength in this league. That way nobody is flagged just for being good.

We flag a team when the gap is 4 points or more (or 3 goals or more). If some games have no xG data, we use the ones that do.

Does it mean anything? 85% of teams 4+ points ahead of their chances got fewer points in their next 10 games, and 83% of teams 4+ points behind got more. Bookmakers already expect these gaps to even out, so it's a fan's read, not a betting edge.

Strength rank: we rank this season's 20 teams by how much better their attack is than their defence, using chances (xG), the odds and goals. Does it work? Over the first half of a season, this rank predicted the second half better than the league table did.

How we measure →

Benevento vs Vicenza: Over 2.5 & BTTS?

Serie B

How often each side's recent league games had over 2.5 goals and both teams scoring.

How to read it

a game where it happenedleague averageup to 10 recent Serie B gamesBTTS = both teams scored

Vicenza games go over 2.5 goals more often than the Serie B average (48%), Benevento games less often.

Over 2.5 goalsleague 48%
Benevento2 of 6
Vicenza5 of 6
BTTSleague 53%
Benevento3 of 6
Vicenza4 of 6

Calculated by MyGameOdds

How it works

For each team we take its last 10 games in this competition from the past 12 months (fewer if it hasn't played 10) and count how many went over 2.5 goals and how many had both teams scoring. The league figure uses all 377 games played here in the last 12 months.

How we measure →

Benevento vs Vicenza corners, cards and goal times

Serie B

Each side's corners and cards a game, and when it scores and concedes, from its recent league games.

How to read it

league averagelast 10 in the league · corners and cards per gameBenevento: last 6 with these statsVicenza: last 6 with these statsPro · free for now

Goal times close to the Serie B average

Benevento

Vicenza

6.0

Corners won · league 4.9

6.7

6.3

Corners conceded · league 4.9

5.3

3.0

Cards · league 2.3

2.0

1.7

Opponents' cards · league 2.3

2.5

38%

Goals before half-time · league 43%

29%

25%

Goals after 75' · league 24%

29%

20%

Conceded before half-time · league 43%

38%

40%

Conceded after 75' · league 24%

31%

Calculated by MyGameOdds

How it works

We use each team's last 10 games here. Corners and cards only count games where those stats were recorded, and goal times only count games with reliable goal minutes, so some teams have fewer than 10. We compare with the whole league over the last 12 months.

How we measure →

Our prediction record

Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.

Full-Time Result

BeneventoBenevento
4/5
VicenzaVicenza
2/5

Both Teams to Score

BeneventoBenevento
0/5
VicenzaVicenza
2/5

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

BeneventoBenevento
3/5
VicenzaVicenza
2/5

Over/Under 3.5 Goals

BeneventoBenevento
4/5
VicenzaVicenza
4/5

First Half Result

BeneventoBenevento
4/5
VicenzaVicenza
3/5

Correct Score

BeneventoBenevento
0/5
VicenzaVicenza
1/5
correct predictionwrong prediction

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