Hard to break
0/10Beijing Guoan haven't conceded first in any of their last 10 (league 48%).
Henan Songshan Longmen vs Beijing Guoan Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips
Super League - Season 2026 (Round 29)
Riding their luck
Beijing Guoan are taking more points than their chances usually bring
+5points more than their chances usually bring in their last 10
85% of teams this far ahead of their chances got fewer points in their next 10 games. Henan Songshan Longmen are the other way round, behind their chances: about −5 points.
Henan Songshan Longmen vs Beijing Guoan score prediction
Super League
The goals we expect each side to score, not an exact score: built from both teams' chances, the bookmakers' view and real goals here.
Evenly matched in front of goal
3.1 goals in total, in line with the Super League average of 3.1.
goals expected
Henan Songshan Longmen1.6Beijing Guoan1.5Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
We look at how many chances each team has created and allowed in its recent games in this league, what the bookmakers expected from those games, and the goals actually scored. Then we compare that with how many goals home and away teams usually score here.
Does it work? Since July 2025, our numbers have been 7% closer to the real goals than just using the league average.
How we measure →The match Henan Songshan Longmen vs Beijing Guoan will be played on Saturday, October 24 as part of the 2026 season. This fixture will be played in the Round 29 of the Super League, played in China. On this page, you’ll find our detailed football prediction for Henan Songshan Longmen vs Beijing Guoan, including full-time result (1X2) probabilities, draw chances, and additional betting insights. Our predictions are generated using data-driven models that analyze team form, recent performances, and historical trends to deliver reliable match forecasts.
Henan Songshan Longmen vs Beijing Guoan — AI Prediction & Probabilities by Market
Below are our AI-generated match predictions for Henan Songshan Longmen vs Beijing Guoan. Each market shows the probability of each outcome based on our model's analysis of team form, historical data and current season performance.
Henan Songshan Longmen–
Beijing Guoan–Winner
12 74%
BTTS*
Yes 56%
Correct Score
1-1 11%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 54%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 59%
Henan Songshan Longmen–Beijing Guoan–Winner
12 74%
BTTS*
Yes 56%
Correct Score
1-1 11%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 54%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 59%
Full Time
138%
X26%
236%
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 24% | 76% | 46% | 54% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 59% | 41% | 82% | 18% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29% | 71% | 60% | 40% |
| 30% | 70% | 62% | 38% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 82% | 18% | 94% | 6% |
| 84% | 16% | 95% | 5% |
1st Half
136%
X38%
226%
1st Score
150%
X7%
243%
Half Time/Full Time
1-1
25%
2-2
17%
X-X
16%
X-1
14%
X-2
11%
1-X
5%
2-X
5%
1-2
3%
2-1
3%
Correct Score
1-1
11.3%
0-1
8.5%
2-1
8.5%
1-2
8.1%
1-0
8.1%
0-0
7.3%
2-2
5.6%
2-0
5.6%
0-2
5.5%
3-1
3.9%
1-3
3.5%
3-0
3.0%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score
Henan Songshan Longmen vs Beijing Guoan: the stats that stand out
Super League
Where each side is most unusual compared with the rest of the league: clean sheets, scoring first, wins as favourites and more.
How to read it
the teamleague averageshare of games, 0 to 100%Beijing Guoan: hard to break and brick wall · Henan Songshan Longmen: flop as favourites
0/10Brick wall
4/10Beijing Guoan kept 4 clean sheets in their last 10 (league 20%).
Flop as favourites
1/6Henan Songshan Longmen won only 1 of 6 as favourites (league 48%).
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
We compare each team's last 10 games in this competition with how often the same thing happens across the whole league (last 12 months). A fact only shows when the team is noticeably different from a typical team. For example, if teams here score first in half their games, a team needs 7 or more out of 10 (or 3 or fewer). We show up to three facts, the most unusual first, never two about the same thing. They describe what happened, not a forecast.
How we measure →Henan Songshan Longmen vs Beijing Guoan: attack vs defence
Super League
Both sides' chances created and allowed a game, next to the rest of the league, measured with our own xG.
How to read it
other Super League teamsleague averagelast 10 games↑ Fewer chances allowed (xGA a game)
More chances created (xG a game) →
- Henan Songshan Longmen: good attack, good defence (1.75 xG, 1.26 xGA a game)
- Beijing Guoan: good attack, weak defence (1.60 xG, 1.61 xGA)
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
xG is our estimate of how many goals a team's chances were worth, from the shots in each match; xGA is the same for the chances it allowed. The dashed lines are the average of the teams shown. A team close to a line is about average. Teams with fewer than 5 games here aren't in the chart yet.
How we measure →Henan Songshan Longmen vs Beijing Guoan form and luck check
Super League
Whether each side is taking more or fewer points than its chances usually bring.
How to read it
what their chances usually bringoutside the normal range (±4)last 10 Super League gamesBeijing Guoan riding their luck, Henan Songshan Longmen unlucky
- Henan Songshan Longmen−4.6
- Beijing GuoanClinical · +5 goals+5.0
Last 5 matches
Beijing GuoanW
D
D
D
W
Henan Songshan LongmenD
D
D
D
D
W
D
L
Strength rank: Henan Songshan Longmen 6th of 16 · Beijing Guoan 2nd of 16
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
For each of a team's last 10 games, we work out how many points a team usually gets from a game with those chances (xG) for and against, add them up and compare with the points it actually got. We do the same for goals. Strong teams often get a bit more than their chances suggest, so we compare each team with sides of similar strength in this league. That way nobody is flagged just for being good.
We flag a team when the gap is 4 points or more (or 3 goals or more). If some games have no xG data, we use the ones that do.
Does it mean anything? 85% of teams 4+ points ahead of their chances got fewer points in their next 10 games, and 83% of teams 4+ points behind got more. Bookmakers already expect these gaps to even out, so it's a fan's read, not a betting edge.
Strength rank: we rank this season's 16 teams by how much better their attack is than their defence, using chances (xG), the odds and goals. Does it work? Over the first half of a season, this rank predicted the second half better than the league table did.
How we measure →Henan Songshan Longmen vs Beijing Guoan: Over 2.5 & BTTS?
Super League
How often each side's recent league games had over 2.5 goals and both teams scoring.
How to read it
a game where it happenedleague averagelast 10 Super League gamesBTTS = both teams scoredBoth teams score in Henan Songshan Longmen games more often than the Super League average (65%), in Beijing Guoan games less often.
Over 2.5 goalsleague 59%
Henan Songshan Longmen5 of 10
Beijing Guoan7 of 10
BTTSleague 65%
Henan Songshan Longmen8 of 10
Beijing Guoan6 of 10
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
For each team we take its last 10 games in this competition from the past 12 months (fewer if it hasn't played 10) and count how many went over 2.5 goals and how many had both teams scoring. The league figure uses all 248 games played here in the last 12 months.
How we measure →Henan Songshan Longmen vs Beijing Guoan corners, cards and goal times
Super League
Each side's corners and cards a game, and when it scores and concedes, from its recent league games.
How to read it
league averagelast 10 in the league · corners and cards per gameHenan Songshan Longmen score early
Henan Songshan Longmen
Beijing Guoan
6.2
Corners won · league 5.1
3.9
3.0
Corners conceded · league 5.1
6.4
2.3
Cards · league 2.1
2.1
2.1
Opponents' cards · league 2.1
1.4
59%
Goals before half-time · league 43%
48%
12%
Goals after 75' · league 26%
13%
7%
Conceded before half-time · league 43%
10%
13%
Conceded after 75' · league 26%
40%
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
We use each team's last 10 games here. Corners and cards only count games where those stats were recorded, and goal times only count games with reliable goal minutes, so some teams have fewer than 10. We compare with the whole league over the last 12 months.
How we measure →Our prediction record
Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.
Full-Time Result
Beijing Guoan1/5
Henan Songshan Longmen0/5
Both Teams to Score
Beijing Guoan2/5
Henan Songshan Longmen4/5
Over/Under 2.5 Goals
Beijing Guoan3/5
Henan Songshan Longmen2/5
Over/Under 3.5 Goals
Beijing Guoan4/5
Henan Songshan Longmen3/5
First Half Result
Beijing Guoan2/5
Henan Songshan Longmen3/5
Correct Score
Beijing Guoan1/5
Henan Songshan Longmen1/5
correct predictionwrong prediction