Hard to break
0/10Beijing Guoan haven't conceded first in any of their last 10 (league 48%).
Beijing Guoan vs Qingdao West Coast Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips
Super League - Season 2026 (Round 28)
Riding their luck
Beijing Guoan are taking more points than their chances usually bring
+5points more than their chances usually bring in their last 10
85% of teams this far ahead of their chances got fewer points in their next 10 games. Qingdao Youth Island are also ahead of their chances: about +5 points.
Beijing Guoan vs Qingdao Youth Island score prediction
Super League
The goals we expect each side to score, not an exact score: built from both teams' chances, the bookmakers' view and real goals here.
Beijing Guoan expected to create clearly more
3.0 goals in total, a little under the Super League average of 3.1.
goals expected
Beijing Guoan2.0
Qingdao Youth Island1.0Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
We look at how many chances each team has created and allowed in its recent games in this league, what the bookmakers expected from those games, and the goals actually scored. Then we compare that with how many goals home and away teams usually score here.
Does it work? Since July 2025, our numbers have been 7% closer to the real goals than just using the league average.
How we measure →The match Beijing Guoan vs Qingdao Youth Island will be played on Sunday, October 18 as part of the 2026 season. This fixture will be played in the Round 28 of the Super League, played in China. On this page, you’ll find our detailed football prediction for Beijing Guoan vs Qingdao Youth Island, including full-time result (1X2) probabilities, draw chances, and additional betting insights. Our predictions are generated using data-driven models that analyze team form, recent performances, and historical trends to deliver reliable match forecasts.
Beijing Guoan vs Qingdao Youth Island — AI Prediction & Probabilities by Market
Below are our AI-generated match predictions for Beijing Guoan vs Qingdao Youth Island. Each market shows the probability of each outcome based on our model's analysis of team form, historical data and current season performance.
Beijing Guoan–
Qingdao Youth Island–Winner
1 63%
BTTS*
Yes 54%
Correct Score
1-0 09%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 60%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 50%
Beijing Guoan–Qingdao Youth Island–Winner
1 63%
BTTS*
Yes 54%
Correct Score
1-0 09%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 60%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 50%
Full Time
163%
X20%
218%
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 20% | 80% | 40% | 60% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 50% | 50% | 72% | 28% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16% | 84% | 40% | 60% |
| 50% | 50% | 79% | 21% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 62% | 38% | 79% | 21% |
| 94% | 6% | 98% | 2% |
1st Half
155%
X32%
213%
1st Score
171%
X5%
224%
Half Time/Full Time
1-1
48%
X-1
18%
X-X
10%
2-2
6%
1-X
4%
X-2
4%
2-1
4%
2-X
4%
1-2
2%
Correct Score
1-0
9.2%
1-1
9.0%
2-0
8.5%
2-1
8.3%
3-0
6.4%
3-1
6.3%
0-1
5.4%
0-0
5.4%
1-2
4.3%
2-2
4.2%
3-2
3.1%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score
Beijing Guoan vs Qingdao Youth Island: the stats that stand out
Super League
Where each side is most unusual compared with the rest of the league: clean sheets, scoring first, wins as favourites and more.
How to read it
the teamleague averageshare of games, 0 to 100%Beijing Guoan: hard to break · Qingdao Youth Island: brick wall
0/10Brick wall
5/10Qingdao Youth Island kept 5 clean sheets in their last 10 (league 20%).
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
We compare each team's last 10 games in this competition with how often the same thing happens across the whole league (last 12 months). A fact only shows when the team is noticeably different from a typical team. For example, if teams here score first in half their games, a team needs 7 or more out of 10 (or 3 or fewer). We show up to three facts, the most unusual first, never two about the same thing. They describe what happened, not a forecast.
How we measure →Beijing Guoan vs Qingdao Youth Island: attack vs defence
Super League
How to read it
other Super League teamsleague averagelast 10 games↑ Fewer chances allowed (xGA a game)
More chances created (xG a game) →
- Beijing Guoan: good attack, good defence (1.70 xG, 1.60 xGA a game)
- Qingdao Youth Island: weak attack, good defence (1.23 xG, 1.31 xGA)
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
xG is our estimate of how many goals a team's chances were worth, from the shots in each match; xGA is the same for the chances it allowed. The dashed lines are the average of the teams shown. A team close to a line is about average. Teams with fewer than 5 games here aren't in the chart yet.
How we measure →Beijing Guoan vs Qingdao Youth Island form and luck check
Super League
Whether each side is taking more or fewer points than its chances usually bring.
How to read it
what their chances usually bringoutside the normal range (±4)last 10 Super League gamesBoth sides are winning more than their chances suggest
- Beijing Guoan+4.7
- Qingdao Youth Island+4.7
Last 5 matches
Beijing GuoanD
D
D
W
W
Qingdao Youth IslandD
D
W
D
D
W
D
L
Strength rank: Beijing Guoan 2nd of 16 · Qingdao Youth Island 11th of 16
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
For each of a team's last 10 games, we work out how many points a team usually gets from a game with those chances (xG) for and against, add them up and compare with the points it actually got. We do the same for goals. Strong teams often get a bit more than their chances suggest, so we compare each team with sides of similar strength in this league. That way nobody is flagged just for being good.
We flag a team when the gap is 4 points or more (or 3 goals or more). If some games have no xG data, we use the ones that do.
Does it mean anything? 85% of teams 4+ points ahead of their chances got fewer points in their next 10 games, and 83% of teams 4+ points behind got more. Bookmakers already expect these gaps to even out, so it's a fan's read, not a betting edge.
Strength rank: we rank this season's 16 teams by how much better their attack is than their defence, using chances (xG), the odds and goals. Does it work? Over the first half of a season, this rank predicted the second half better than the league table did.
How we measure →Beijing Guoan vs Qingdao Youth Island: Over 2.5 & BTTS?
Super League
How to read it
a game where it happenedleague averagelast 10 Super League gamesBTTS = both teams scoredQingdao Youth Island games go over 2.5 goals less often than the Super League average (59%), Beijing Guoan games more often.
Over 2.5 goalsleague 59%
Beijing Guoan6 of 10
Qingdao Youth Island3 of 10
BTTSleague 65%
Beijing Guoan6 of 10
Qingdao Youth Island4 of 10
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
For each team we take its last 10 games in this competition from the past 12 months (fewer if it hasn't played 10) and count how many went over 2.5 goals and how many had both teams scoring. The league figure uses all 240 games played here in the last 12 months.
How we measure →Beijing Guoan vs Qingdao Youth Island corners, cards and goal times
Super League
How to read it
league averagelast 10 in the league · corners and cards per gameGoal times close to the Super League average
Beijing Guoan
Qingdao Youth Island
4.7
Corners won · league 5.1
3.9
6.2
Corners conceded · league 5.1
4.4
2.0
Cards · league 2.1
2.4
1.4
Opponents' cards · league 2.1
2.1
41%
Goals before half-time · league 43%
45%
18%
Goals after 75' · league 26%
36%
10%
Conceded before half-time · league 43%
50%
40%
Conceded after 75' · league 26%
38%
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
We use each team's last 10 games here. Corners and cards only count games where those stats were recorded, and goal times only count games with reliable goal minutes, so some teams have fewer than 10. We compare with the whole league over the last 12 months.
How we measure →Our prediction record
Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.
Full-Time Result
Beijing Guoan1/5
Qingdao Youth Island1/5
Both Teams to Score
Beijing Guoan3/5
Qingdao Youth Island3/5
Over/Under 2.5 Goals
Beijing Guoan3/5
Qingdao Youth Island3/5
Over/Under 3.5 Goals
Beijing Guoan3/5
Qingdao Youth Island4/5
First Half Result
Beijing Guoan2/5
Qingdao Youth Island1/5
Correct Score
Beijing Guoan1/5
Qingdao Youth Island1/5
correct predictionwrong prediction