1. Olympiacos F.C. vs Kalamata

Olympiacos F.C. vs Kalamata Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Super League - Season 2026/2027 (Round 8)

Goal-fest alert

More goals than usual expected in Olympiakos Piraeus vs Kalamata

2.8goals expected · Super League average 2.5

Since July 2025, games with an alert like this averaged 3.2 goals, and 62% went over 2.5.

Bookmakers: under 2.5 goals 38%

Olympiakos Piraeus vs Kalamata score prediction

Super League

The goals we expect each side to score, not an exact score: built from both teams' chances, the bookmakers' view and real goals here.

Goal-fest alert2.8 goals expected

2.8 goals in total: more goals than a typical Super League game (average 2.5).

goals expected

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

We look at how many chances each team has created and allowed in its recent games in this league, what the bookmakers expected from those games, and the goals actually scored. Then we compare that with how many goals home and away teams usually score here.

Does it work? Since July 2025, our numbers have been 7% closer to the real goals than just using the league average.

Goal-fest alert: we expect at least 2.7 goals, clearly more than usual in this league (8.5% above the average). Since July 2025, these games averaged 3.2 goals, and 62% went over 2.5.

Bore draw alert: we expect 2.3 goals or fewer, clearly less than usual (11% below the average). These games averaged 2.2 goals, and 63% stayed under 2.5.

Bookmakers usually see these coming too, so use the alert to know what kind of game to expect, not as a betting edge.

How we measure →
Get our AI football prediction and stats for Olympiakos Piraeus vs Kalamata: our model’s probabilities next to the bookmakers’ odds in each market, how often similar predictions came true, and both teams’ recent form.

Olympiakos Piraeus vs Kalamata — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · Super League

For each market: our model’s probability for this match, the bookmakers’ probability from the current odds (margin removed), whether the two agree, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months. When they disagree, the bookmakers’ number has usually been the better guide.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Olympiakos Piraeus to win

Our model 63%Bookmakers 87%

Our track record

In 1,055 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 66.8% of the time (bookmakers said 66.3%).

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

No, not both

Our model 60%Bookmakers 66%

Our track record

In 5,693 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 56.7% of the time (bookmakers said 57.8%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 2.5 goals

Our model 58%Bookmakers 38%

Our track record

In 801 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 46.4% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 46.4% than to our 55–60%.

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Our model 78%Bookmakers 60%

Our track record

In 3,649 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 75–80% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 76.0% of the time (bookmakers said 76.2%).

First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Olympiakos Piraeus ahead at half-time

Our model 45%Bookmakers 66%

Our track record

In 4,234 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 48.0% of the time (bookmakers said 47.2%).

Olympiakos Piraeus Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Olympiakos Piraeus 2+ goals

Our model 51%Bookmakers 77%

Our track record

In 2,796 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 59.4% of the time (bookmakers said 58.7%).

Kalamata Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Kalamata 0–1 goals

Our model 87%Bookmakers 93%

Our track record

In 594 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 85–90% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 85.2% of the time (bookmakers said 85.0%).

Odds can still move before kick-off. The track record uses closing odds.

Olympiakos Piraeus vs Kalamata — AI Prediction & Probabilities by Market

Below are our AI-generated match predictions for Olympiakos Piraeus vs Kalamata. Each market shows the probability of each outcome based on our model's analysis of team form, historical data and current season performance.

Olympiakos PiraeusOlympiakos Piraeus–
KalamataKalamata–

Winner

1 63%

BTTS*

No 59%

Correct Score

1-0 16%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 58%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 68%

Full Time

163%
X23%
214%

Goals Over/Under

<1.5>1.5<2.5>2.5
FT32%68%58%42%
<3.5>3.5<4.5>4.5
FT68%32%87%13%

Team Goals Over/Under

<0.5>0.5<1.5>1.5
Olympiakos Piraeus18%82%49%51%
Kalamata55%45%87%13%
<2.5>2.5<3.5>3.5
Olympiakos Piraeus76%24%91%9%
Kalamata98%2%100%0%

1st Half

145%
X41%
213%

1st Score

166%
X9%
225%

Half Time/Full Time

1-1

38%

X-1

19%

X-X

15%

2-2

8%

X-2

7%

1-X

5%

2-X

4%

2-1

3%

1-2

1%

Correct Score

1-0

16.3%

2-0

13.4%

1-1

10.9%

2-1

9.4%

0-0

9.2%

3-0

7.3%

0-1

6.2%

3-1

5.1%

1-2

3.4%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

Olympiakos Piraeus vs Kalamata: the stats that stand out

Super League

Where each side is most unusual compared with the rest of the league: clean sheets, scoring first, wins as favourites and more.

How to read it

the teamleague averageshare of games, 0 to 100%

Olympiakos Piraeus: fast starters, brick wall and always on the scoresheet

Fast starters
Olympiakos Piraeus9/10

Olympiakos Piraeus scored first in 9 of their last 10 (league 45%).

Brick wall
Olympiakos Piraeus6/10

Olympiakos Piraeus kept 6 clean sheets in their last 10 (league 31%).

Always on the scoresheet
Olympiakos Piraeus1/10

Olympiakos Piraeus failed to score in only 1 of their last 10 (league 31%).

Calculated by MyGameOdds

How it works

We compare each team's last 10 games in this competition with how often the same thing happens across the whole league (last 12 months). A fact only shows when the team is noticeably different from a typical team. For example, if teams here score first in half their games, a team needs 7 or more out of 10 (or 3 or fewer). We show up to three facts, the most unusual first, never two about the same thing. They describe what happened, not a forecast.

How we measure →

Olympiakos Piraeus vs Kalamata: attack vs defence

Super League

Both sides' chances created and allowed a game, next to the rest of the league, measured with our own xG.

How to read it

other Super League teamsleague averagelast 10 games

↑ Fewer chances allowed (xGA a game)

More chances created (xG a game) →

  • Olympiakos PiraeusOlympiakos Piraeus: good attack, good defence (1.95 xG, 0.83 xGA a game)
  • KalamataKalamata: weak attack, weak defence (1.34 xG, 1.57 xGA)

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

xG is our estimate of how many goals a team's chances were worth, from the shots in each match; xGA is the same for the chances it allowed. The dashed lines are the average of the teams shown. A team close to a line is about average. Teams with fewer than 5 games here aren't in the chart yet.

How we measure →

Olympiakos Piraeus vs Kalamata form and luck check

Super League

Whether each side is taking more or fewer points than its chances usually bring.

How to read it

what their chances usually bringoutside the normal range (±4)last 10 Super League games

Both results in line with their chances

  • Olympiakos Piraeus
    Olympiakos PiraeusBookmakers: 87% to win today.Wasteful · −11 goals
    −2.2
  • Kalamata
    KalamataBookmakers: 3% to win today. · 7 of 10 gamesClinical · +5 goals
    +2.3

Last 5 matches

Olympiakos PiraeusOlympiakos Piraeus
W
W
W
L
D
2nd in table
KalamataKalamata
W
W
L
W
D
6th in table
W
D
L
Last 5 Matches

Strength rank: Olympiakos Piraeus 1st of 14 · Kalamata 9th of 14

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

For each of a team's last 10 games, we work out how many points a team usually gets from a game with those chances (xG) for and against, add them up and compare with the points it actually got. We do the same for goals. Strong teams often get a bit more than their chances suggest, so we compare each team with sides of similar strength in this league. That way nobody is flagged just for being good.

We flag a team when the gap is 4 points or more (or 3 goals or more). If some games have no xG data, we use the ones that do.

Does it mean anything? 85% of teams 4+ points ahead of their chances got fewer points in their next 10 games, and 83% of teams 4+ points behind got more. Bookmakers already expect these gaps to even out, so it's a fan's read, not a betting edge.

Strength rank: we rank this season's 14 teams by how much better their attack is than their defence, using chances (xG), the odds and goals. Does it work? Over the first half of a season, this rank predicted the second half better than the league table did.

How we measure →

Olympiakos Piraeus vs Kalamata: Over 2.5 & BTTS?

Super League

How often each side's recent league games had over 2.5 goals and both teams scoring.

How to read it

a game where it happenedleague averageup to 10 recent Super League gamesBTTS = both teams scored

Olympiakos Piraeus games go over 2.5 goals less often than the Super League average (50%), Kalamata games more often.

Over 2.5 goalsleague 50%
Olympiakos Piraeus0 of 10
Kalamata4 of 7
BTTSleague 48%
Olympiakos Piraeus3 of 10
Kalamata5 of 7

Calculated by MyGameOdds

How it works

For each team we take its last 10 games in this competition from the past 12 months (fewer if it hasn't played 10) and count how many went over 2.5 goals and how many had both teams scoring. The league figure uses all 236 games played here in the last 12 months.

How we measure →

Olympiakos Piraeus vs Kalamata corners, cards and goal times

Super League

Each side's corners and cards a game, and when it scores and concedes, from its recent league games.

How to read it

league averagelast 10 in the league · corners and cards per gameKalamata: last 7 with these statsPro · free for now

Olympiakos Piraeus score early

Olympiakos Piraeus

Kalamata

6.4

Corners won · league 4.4

2.4

3.0

Corners conceded · league 4.4

6.3

2.3

Cards · league 2.6

3.7

3.7

Opponents' cards · league 2.6

2.4

60%

Goals before half-time · league 47%

31%

20%

Goals after 75' · league 22%

23%

0%

Conceded before half-time · league 47%

50%

25%

Conceded after 75' · league 22%

33%

Calculated by MyGameOdds

How it works

We use each team's last 10 games here. Corners and cards only count games where those stats were recorded, and goal times only count games with reliable goal minutes, so some teams have fewer than 10. We compare with the whole league over the last 12 months.

How we measure →

Our prediction record

Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.

Full-Time Result

Olympiakos PiraeusOlympiakos Piraeus
3/5
KalamataKalamata
3/5

Both Teams to Score

Olympiakos PiraeusOlympiakos Piraeus
2/5
KalamataKalamata
3/5

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

Olympiakos PiraeusOlympiakos Piraeus
3/5
KalamataKalamata
4/5

Over/Under 3.5 Goals

Olympiakos PiraeusOlympiakos Piraeus
5/5
KalamataKalamata
2/5

First Half Result

Olympiakos PiraeusOlympiakos Piraeus
2/5
KalamataKalamata
1/5

Correct Score

Olympiakos PiraeusOlympiakos Piraeus
1/5
KalamataKalamata
1/5
correct predictionwrong prediction

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