Leaky
0/8Kalamata kept no clean sheet in their last 8 (league 32%).
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Asteras Tripolis vs Kalamata Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips
Super League - Season 2026/2027 (Round 10)
Clinical
Kalamata are scoring more goals than their chances (xG) usually bring
+4goals more than their chances (xG) in their last 8 with xG
80% of teams scoring this many more goals than their chances scored fewer in their next 10 games.
Bookmakers: Kalamata 25% to winAsteras Tripolis 48%
Asteras Tripolis vs Kalamata score prediction
Super League
The goals we expect each side to score, not an exact score: built from both teams' chances, the bookmakers' view and real goals here.
Evenly matched in front of goal
2.8 goals in total, a little over the Super League average of 2.6.
goals expected
Asteras Tripolis1.6Kalamata1.2Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
We look at how many chances each team has created and allowed in its recent games in this league, what the bookmakers expected from those games, and the goals actually scored. Then we compare that with how many goals home and away teams usually score here.
Does it work? Since July 2025, our numbers have been 7% closer to the real goals than just using the league average.
How we measure →Get our AI football prediction and stats for Asteras Tripolis vs Kalamata: our model’s probabilities next to the bookmakers’ odds in each market, how often similar predictions came true, and both teams’ recent form.
Asteras Tripolis vs Kalamata — Our Model vs the Bookmakers
Market check · Super League
For each market: our model’s probability for this match, the bookmakers’ probability from the current odds (margin removed), whether the two agree, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months. When they disagree, the bookmakers’ number has usually been the better guide.
How to read it
our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Asteras Tripolis to win
Our model 46%Bookmakers 48%
Our track record
In 3,499 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 49.5% of the time (bookmakers said 50.6%).
Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
No, not both
Our model 52%Bookmakers 52%
Our track record
In 6,482 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 55.3% of the time (bookmakers said 55.0%).
Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Under 2.5 goals
Our model 56%Bookmakers 53%
Our track record
In 5,306 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 58.5% of the time (bookmakers said 59.1%).
Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Under 3.5 goals
Our model 78%Bookmakers 75%
Our track record
In 3,642 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 75–80% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 76.2% of the time (bookmakers said 76.2%).
First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Draw at half-time
Our model 43%Bookmakers 45%
Our track record
In 6,632 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 44.4% of the time (bookmakers said 44.1%).
Asteras Tripolis Goals →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Asteras Tripolis 0–1 goals
Our model 60%Bookmakers 58%
Our track record
In 3,459 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 64.0% of the time (bookmakers said 64.0%).
Kalamata Goals →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Kalamata 0–1 goals
Our model 75%Bookmakers 77%
Our track record
In 3,367 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 71.6% of the time (bookmakers said 72.0%).
Odds can still move before kick-off. The track record uses closing odds.
Asteras Tripolis vs Kalamata — AI Prediction & Probabilities by Market
Below are our AI-generated match predictions for Asteras Tripolis vs Kalamata. Each market shows the probability of each outcome based on our model's analysis of team form, historical data and current season performance.
Asteras Tripolis–
Kalamata–Winner
1X 73%
BTTS*
No 52%
Correct Score
1-0 13%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 56%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 68%
Asteras Tripolis–Kalamata–Winner
1X 73%
BTTS*
No 52%
Correct Score
1-0 13%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 56%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 68%
Full Time
146%
X27%
227%
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 31% | 69% | 56% | 44% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 68% | 32% | 89% | 11% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26% | 74% | 60% | 40% |
| 40% | 60% | 75% | 25% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 83% | 17% | 95% | 5% |
| 93% | 7% | 98% | 2% |
1st Half
135%
X43%
222%
1st Score
153%
X9%
238%
Half Time/Full Time
1-1
27%
X-X
17%
X-1
15%
2-2
14%
X-2
11%
1-X
6%
2-X
5%
2-1
3%
1-2
2%
Correct Score
1-0
12.7%
1-1
12.7%
0-0
9.4%
0-1
9.2%
2-1
9.1%
2-0
8.1%
1-2
6.9%
2-2
4.7%
3-0
4.4%
3-1
4.0%
0-2
3.9%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score
Asteras Tripolis vs Kalamata: the stats that stand out
Super League
Where each side is most unusual compared with the rest of the league: clean sheets, scoring first, wins as favourites and more.
How to read it
the teamleague averageshare of games, 0 to 100%Kalamata: leaky · Asteras Tripolis: slow starters
0/8Slow starters
2/10Asteras Tripolis scored first in only 2 of their last 10 (league 45%).
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
We compare each team's last 10 games in this competition with how often the same thing happens across the whole league (last 12 months). A fact only shows when the team is noticeably different from a typical team. For example, if teams here score first in half their games, a team needs 7 or more out of 10 (or 3 or fewer). We show up to three facts, the most unusual first, never two about the same thing. They describe what happened, not a forecast.
How we measure →Asteras Tripolis vs Kalamata: attack vs defence
Super League
Both sides' chances created and allowed a game, next to the rest of the league, measured with our own xG.
How to read it
other Super League teamsleague averagelast 10 games↑ Fewer chances allowed (xGA a game)
More chances created (xG a game) →
- Asteras Tripolis: weak attack, weak defence (1.33 xG, 1.48 xGA a game)
- Kalamata: weak attack, weak defence (1.25 xG, 1.70 xGA)
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
xG is our estimate of how many goals a team's chances were worth, from the shots in each match; xGA is the same for the chances it allowed. The dashed lines are the average of the teams shown. A team close to a line is about average. Teams with fewer than 5 games here aren't in the chart yet.
How we measure →Asteras Tripolis vs Kalamata form and luck check
Super League
Whether each side is taking more or fewer points than its chances usually bring.
How to read it
what their chances usually bringoutside the normal range (±4)last 10 Super League gamesBoth results in line with their chances
- Asteras TripolisBookmakers: 48% to win today.Wasteful · −3 goals−2.8
- KalamataBookmakers: 25% to win today. · 8 of 10 gamesClinical · +4 goals+2.4
Last 5 matches
KalamataL
W
W
L
W
Asteras TripolisD
L
W
D
D
W
D
L
Strength rank: Asteras Tripolis 9th of 14 · Kalamata 12th of 14
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
For each of a team's last 10 games, we work out how many points a team usually gets from a game with those chances (xG) for and against, add them up and compare with the points it actually got. We do the same for goals. Strong teams often get a bit more than their chances suggest, so we compare each team with sides of similar strength in this league. That way nobody is flagged just for being good.
We flag a team when the gap is 4 points or more (or 3 goals or more). If some games have no xG data, we use the ones that do.
Does it mean anything? 85% of teams 4+ points ahead of their chances got fewer points in their next 10 games, and 83% of teams 4+ points behind got more. Bookmakers already expect these gaps to even out, so it's a fan's read, not a betting edge.
Strength rank: we rank this season's 14 teams by how much better their attack is than their defence, using chances (xG), the odds and goals. Does it work? Over the first half of a season, this rank predicted the second half better than the league table did.
How we measure →Asteras Tripolis vs Kalamata: Over 2.5 & BTTS?
Super League
How often each side's recent league games had over 2.5 goals and both teams scoring.
How to read it
a game where it happenedleague averageup to 10 recent Super League gamesBTTS = both teams scoredBoth teams score in Asteras Tripolis and Kalamata games more often than the Super League average (48%).
Over 2.5 goalsleague 51%
Asteras Tripolis5 of 10
Kalamata5 of 8
BTTSleague 48%
Asteras Tripolis6 of 10
Kalamata5 of 8
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
For each team we take its last 10 games in this competition from the past 12 months (fewer if it hasn't played 10) and count how many went over 2.5 goals and how many had both teams scoring. The league figure uses all 236 games played here in the last 12 months.
How we measure →Asteras Tripolis vs Kalamata corners, cards and goal times
Super League
Each side's corners and cards a game, and when it scores and concedes, from its recent league games.
How to read it
league averagelast 10 in the league · corners and cards per game- Corners won: league 4.4
- Cards: league 2.6
- Goals before half-time: league 47%
- Goals after 75': league 22%
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
We use each team's last 10 games here. Corners and cards only count games where those stats were recorded, and goal times only count games with reliable goal minutes, so some teams have fewer than 10. We compare with the whole league over the last 12 months.
How we measure →Our prediction record
Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.
Full-Time Result
Asteras Tripolis1/5
Kalamata4/5
Both Teams to Score
Asteras Tripolis2/5
Kalamata3/5
Over/Under 2.5 Goals
Asteras Tripolis2/5
Kalamata3/5
Over/Under 3.5 Goals
Asteras Tripolis3/5
Kalamata1/5
First Half Result
Asteras Tripolis2/5
Kalamata2/5
Correct Score
Asteras Tripolis0/5
Kalamata0/5
correct predictionwrong prediction