Shot-shy
9/10Levadiakos failed to score in 9 of their last 10 (league 32%).
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AEK Athens vs Levadiakos Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips
Super League - Season 2026/2027 (Round 10)
Unlucky
Levadiakos are taking fewer points than their chances usually bring
−5points fewer than their chances usually bring in their last 10
83% of teams this far behind their chances got more points in their next 10 games.
Bookmakers: Levadiakos 5% to winAEK Athens 84%
AEK Athens vs Levadiakos score prediction
Super League
The goals we expect each side to score, not an exact score: built from both teams' chances, the bookmakers' view and real goals here.
Goal-fest alert2.9 goals expected
2.9 goals in total: more goals than a typical Super League game (average 2.6).
goals expected
AEK Athens2.2Levadiakos0.7Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
We look at how many chances each team has created and allowed in its recent games in this league, what the bookmakers expected from those games, and the goals actually scored. Then we compare that with how many goals home and away teams usually score here.
Does it work? Since July 2025, our numbers have been 7% closer to the real goals than just using the league average.
Goal-fest alert: we expect at least 2.7 goals, clearly more than usual in this league (8.5% above the average). Since July 2025, these games averaged 3.2 goals, and 62% went over 2.5.
Bore draw alert: we expect 2.3 goals or fewer, clearly less than usual (11% below the average). These games averaged 2.2 goals, and 63% stayed under 2.5.
Bookmakers usually see these coming too, so use the alert to know what kind of game to expect, not as a betting edge.
How we measure →Get our AI football prediction and stats for AEK Athens vs Levadiakos: our model’s probabilities next to the bookmakers’ odds in each market, how often similar predictions came true, and both teams’ recent form.
AEK Athens vs Levadiakos — Our Model vs the Bookmakers
Market check · Super League
For each market: our model’s probability for this match, the bookmakers’ probability from the current odds (margin removed), whether the two agree, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months. When they disagree, the bookmakers’ number has usually been the better guide.
How to read it
our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
AEK Athens to win
Our model 74%Bookmakers 84%
Our track record
In 327 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 79.5% of the time (bookmakers said 76.1%).
Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
No, not both
Our model 64%Bookmakers 62%
Our track record
In 2,480 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 62.7% of the time (bookmakers said 61.7%).
Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Disagrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Under 2.5 goals
Our model 51%Bookmakers 37%
Our track record
In 2,848 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 44.2% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 45.2% than to our 50–55%.
Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Under 3.5 goals
Our model 72%Bookmakers 60%
Our track record
In 4,543 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 72.2% of the time (bookmakers said 71.4%).
First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
AEK Athens ahead at half-time
Our model 58%Bookmakers 64%
Our track record
In 304 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 60.2% of the time (bookmakers said 57.8%).
AEK Athens Goals →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
AEK Athens 2+ goals
Our model 62%Bookmakers 77%
Our track record
In 3,459 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 64.0% of the time (bookmakers said 64.0%).
Levadiakos Goals →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Levadiakos 0–1 goals
Our model 92%Bookmakers 90%
Our track record
In 126 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 90–95% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 85.7% of the time (bookmakers said 88.5%).
Odds can still move before kick-off. The track record uses closing odds.
AEK Athens vs Levadiakos — AI Prediction & Probabilities by Market
Below are our AI-generated match predictions for AEK Athens vs Levadiakos. Each market shows the probability of each outcome based on our model's analysis of team form, historical data and current season performance.
AEK Athens–
Levadiakos–Winner
1 74%
BTTS*
No 64%
Correct Score
2-0 15%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 51%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 62%
AEK Athens–Levadiakos–Winner
1 74%
BTTS*
No 64%
Correct Score
2-0 15%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 51%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 62%
Full Time
174%
X18%
28%
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 26% | 74% | 51% | 49% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 62% | 38% | 80% | 20% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13% | 87% | 38% | 62% |
| 66% | 34% | 92% | 8% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 64% | 36% | 82% | 18% |
| 99% | 1% | 100% | 0% |
1st Half
158%
X33%
29%
1st Score
174%
X7%
219%
Half Time/Full Time
1-1
55%
X-1
21%
X-X
9%
2-X
4%
1-X
3%
X-2
3%
2-1
3%
2-2
3%
1-2
1%
Correct Score
2-0
15.5%
1-0
14.6%
3-0
10.9%
2-1
8.4%
1-1
8.3%
0-0
7.3%
3-1
5.2%
0-1
3.8%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score
AEK Athens vs Levadiakos: the stats that stand out
Super League
Where each side is most unusual compared with the rest of the league: clean sheets, scoring first, wins as favourites and more.
How to read it
the teamleague averageshare of games, 0 to 100%Levadiakos: shot-shy and slow starters · AEK Athens: banker as favourites
9/10Slow starters
0/10Levadiakos haven't scored first in any of their last 10 (league 45%).
Banker as favourites
6/8AEK Athens won 6 of 8 as favourites (league 55%).
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
We compare each team's last 10 games in this competition with how often the same thing happens across the whole league (last 12 months). A fact only shows when the team is noticeably different from a typical team. For example, if teams here score first in half their games, a team needs 7 or more out of 10 (or 3 or fewer). We show up to three facts, the most unusual first, never two about the same thing. They describe what happened, not a forecast.
How we measure →AEK Athens vs Levadiakos: attack vs defence
Super League
Both sides' chances created and allowed a game, next to the rest of the league, measured with our own xG.
How to read it
other Super League teamsleague averagelast 10 games↑ Fewer chances allowed (xGA a game)
More chances created (xG a game) →
- AEK Athens: good attack, good defence (1.99 xG, 0.95 xGA a game)
- Levadiakos: weak attack, good defence (0.96 xG, 1.19 xGA)
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
xG is our estimate of how many goals a team's chances were worth, from the shots in each match; xGA is the same for the chances it allowed. The dashed lines are the average of the teams shown. A team close to a line is about average. Teams with fewer than 5 games here aren't in the chart yet.
How we measure →AEK Athens vs Levadiakos form and luck check
Super League
Whether each side is taking more or fewer points than its chances usually bring.
How to read it
what their chances usually bringoutside the normal range (±4)last 10 Super League gamesLevadiakos are taking fewer points than their chances usually bring
- AEK AthensBookmakers: 84% to win today.Clinical · +3 goals−0.4
- LevadiakosBookmakers: 5% to win today.Wasteful · −6 goals−4.8
Last 5 matches
AEK AthensW
W
W
D
W
LevadiakosD
D
L
L
D
W
D
L
Strength rank: AEK Athens 2nd of 14 · Levadiakos 6th of 14
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
For each of a team's last 10 games, we work out how many points a team usually gets from a game with those chances (xG) for and against, add them up and compare with the points it actually got. We do the same for goals. Strong teams often get a bit more than their chances suggest, so we compare each team with sides of similar strength in this league. That way nobody is flagged just for being good.
We flag a team when the gap is 4 points or more (or 3 goals or more). If some games have no xG data, we use the ones that do.
Does it mean anything? 85% of teams 4+ points ahead of their chances got fewer points in their next 10 games, and 83% of teams 4+ points behind got more. Bookmakers already expect these gaps to even out, so it's a fan's read, not a betting edge.
Strength rank: we rank this season's 14 teams by how much better their attack is than their defence, using chances (xG), the odds and goals. Does it work? Over the first half of a season, this rank predicted the second half better than the league table did.
How we measure →AEK Athens vs Levadiakos: Over 2.5 & BTTS?
Super League
How often each side's recent league games had over 2.5 goals and both teams scoring.
How to read it
a game where it happenedleague averagelast 10 Super League gamesBTTS = both teams scoredBoth teams score in Levadiakos games less often than the Super League average (48%), in AEK Athens games more often.
Over 2.5 goalsleague 51%
AEK Athens6 of 10
Levadiakos3 of 10
BTTSleague 48%
AEK Athens6 of 10
Levadiakos1 of 10
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
For each team we take its last 10 games in this competition from the past 12 months (fewer if it hasn't played 10) and count how many went over 2.5 goals and how many had both teams scoring. The league figure uses all 236 games played here in the last 12 months.
How we measure →AEK Athens vs Levadiakos corners, cards and goal times
Super League
Each side's corners and cards a game, and when it scores and concedes, from its recent league games.
How to read it
league averagelast 10 in the league · corners and cards per game- Corners won: league 4.4
- Cards: league 2.6
- Goals before half-time: league 47%
- Goals after 75': league 22%
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
We use each team's last 10 games here. Corners and cards only count games where those stats were recorded, and goal times only count games with reliable goal minutes, so some teams have fewer than 10. We compare with the whole league over the last 12 months.
How we measure →Our prediction record
Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.
Full-Time Result
AEK Athens4/5
Levadiakos1/4
Both Teams to Score
AEK Athens2/5
Levadiakos1/4
Over/Under 2.5 Goals
AEK Athens4/5
Levadiakos2/4
Over/Under 3.5 Goals
AEK Athens3/5
Levadiakos4/4
First Half Result
AEK Athens2/5
Levadiakos4/4
Correct Score
AEK Athens0/5
Levadiakos1/4
correct predictionwrong prediction