Banker as favourites
7/7Panathinaikos won 7 of 7 as favourites (league 55%).
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Iraklis 1908 FC vs Panathinaikos Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips
Super League - Season 2026/2027 (Round 10)
Clinical
Iraklis Thessaloniki are scoring more goals than their chances (xG) usually bring
+4goals more than their chances (xG) in their last 8 with xG
80% of teams scoring this many more goals than their chances scored fewer in their next 10 games.
Bookmakers: Iraklis Thessaloniki 12% to winPanathinaikos 67%
Iraklis Thessaloniki vs Panathinaikos score prediction
Super League
The goals we expect each side to score, not an exact score: built from both teams' chances, the bookmakers' view and real goals here.
Panathinaikos expected to create clearly more
2.5 goals in total, a little under the Super League average of 2.6.
goals expected
Iraklis Thessaloniki1.0Panathinaikos1.5Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
We look at how many chances each team has created and allowed in its recent games in this league, what the bookmakers expected from those games, and the goals actually scored. Then we compare that with how many goals home and away teams usually score here.
Does it work? Since July 2025, our numbers have been 7% closer to the real goals than just using the league average.
How we measure →Get our AI football prediction and stats for Iraklis Thessaloniki vs Panathinaikos: our model’s probabilities next to the bookmakers’ odds in each market, how often similar predictions came true, and both teams’ recent form.
Iraklis Thessaloniki vs Panathinaikos — Our Model vs the Bookmakers
Market check · Super League
For each market: our model’s probability for this match, the bookmakers’ probability from the current odds (margin removed), whether the two agree, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months. When they disagree, the bookmakers’ number has usually been the better guide.
How to read it
our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Panathinaikos to win
Our model 61%Bookmakers 67%
Our track record
In 1,065 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 66.7% of the time (bookmakers said 66.3%).
Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
No, not both
Our model 51%Bookmakers 55%
Our track record
In 6,482 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 55.3% of the time (bookmakers said 55.0%).
Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Over 2.5 goals
Our model 52%Bookmakers 51%
Our track record
In 5,148 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 57.1% of the time (bookmakers said 56.5%).
Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Under 3.5 goals
Our model 69%Bookmakers 72%
Our track record
In 3,964 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.2% of the time (bookmakers said 66.7%).
First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Panathinaikos ahead at half-time
Our model 45%Bookmakers 47%
Our track record
In 4,281 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 48.3% of the time (bookmakers said 47.2%).
Iraklis Thessaloniki Goals →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Iraklis Thessaloniki 0–1 goals
Our model 80%Bookmakers 83%
Our track record
In 831 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 75–80% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 74.0% of the time (bookmakers said 76.5%).
Panathinaikos Goals →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Panathinaikos 2+ goals
Our model 56%Bookmakers 56%
Our track record
In 1,590 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 59.7% of the time (bookmakers said 60.9%).
Odds can still move before kick-off. The track record uses closing odds.
Iraklis Thessaloniki vs Panathinaikos — AI Prediction & Probabilities by Market
Below are our AI-generated match predictions for Iraklis Thessaloniki vs Panathinaikos. Each market shows the probability of each outcome based on our model's analysis of team form, historical data and current season performance.
Iraklis Thessaloniki–
Panathinaikos–Winner
2 61%
BTTS*
No 51%
Correct Score
0-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 52%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 59%
Iraklis Thessaloniki–Panathinaikos–Winner
2 61%
BTTS*
No 51%
Correct Score
0-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 52%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 59%
Full Time
117%
X22%
261%
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 24% | 76% | 48% | 52% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 59% | 41% | 81% | 19% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 49% | 51% | 80% | 20% |
| 16% | 84% | 44% | 56% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 94% | 6% | 98% | 2% |
| 71% | 29% | 88% | 12% |
1st Half
114%
X41%
245%
1st Score
128%
X6%
266%
Half Time/Full Time
2-2
39%
X-2
23%
X-X
13%
1-1
7%
X-1
6%
1-X
4%
1-2
4%
2-X
4%
2-1
1%
Correct Score
0-1
12.2%
0-2
11.5%
1-1
9.9%
1-2
9.7%
0-3
7.1%
0-0
6.3%
1-3
6.0%
1-0
5.3%
2-2
4.5%
2-1
4.3%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score
Iraklis Thessaloniki vs Panathinaikos: the stats that stand out
Super League
Where each side is most unusual compared with the rest of the league: clean sheets, scoring first, wins as favourites and more.
How to read it
the teamleague averageshare of games, 0 to 100%Panathinaikos: banker as favourites and fast starters
7/7Fast starters
7/10Panathinaikos scored first in 7 of their last 10 (league 45%).
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
We compare each team's last 10 games in this competition with how often the same thing happens across the whole league (last 12 months). A fact only shows when the team is noticeably different from a typical team. For example, if teams here score first in half their games, a team needs 7 or more out of 10 (or 3 or fewer). We show up to three facts, the most unusual first, never two about the same thing. They describe what happened, not a forecast.
How we measure →Iraklis Thessaloniki vs Panathinaikos: attack vs defence
Super League
Both sides' chances created and allowed a game, next to the rest of the league, measured with our own xG.
How to read it
other Super League teamsleague averagelast 10 games↑ Fewer chances allowed (xGA a game)
More chances created (xG a game) →
- Iraklis Thessaloniki: weak attack, weak defence (0.82 xG, 1.56 xGA a game)
- Panathinaikos: good attack, good defence (2.08 xG, 0.93 xGA)
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
xG is our estimate of how many goals a team's chances were worth, from the shots in each match; xGA is the same for the chances it allowed. The dashed lines are the average of the teams shown. A team close to a line is about average. Teams with fewer than 5 games here aren't in the chart yet.
How we measure →Iraklis Thessaloniki vs Panathinaikos form and luck check
Super League
Whether each side is taking more or fewer points than its chances usually bring.
How to read it
what their chances usually bringoutside the normal range (±4)last 10 Super League gamesBoth results in line with their chances
- Iraklis ThessalonikiBookmakers: 12% to win today. · 8 of 10 gamesClinical · +4 goals+3.2
- PanathinaikosBookmakers: 67% to win today.+0.6
Last 5 matches
PanathinaikosW
W
L
W
W
Iraklis ThessalonikiL
L
W
D
D
W
D
L
Strength rank: Iraklis Thessaloniki 10th of 14 · Panathinaikos 3rd of 14
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
For each of a team's last 10 games, we work out how many points a team usually gets from a game with those chances (xG) for and against, add them up and compare with the points it actually got. We do the same for goals. Strong teams often get a bit more than their chances suggest, so we compare each team with sides of similar strength in this league. That way nobody is flagged just for being good.
We flag a team when the gap is 4 points or more (or 3 goals or more). If some games have no xG data, we use the ones that do.
Does it mean anything? 85% of teams 4+ points ahead of their chances got fewer points in their next 10 games, and 83% of teams 4+ points behind got more. Bookmakers already expect these gaps to even out, so it's a fan's read, not a betting edge.
Strength rank: we rank this season's 14 teams by how much better their attack is than their defence, using chances (xG), the odds and goals. Does it work? Over the first half of a season, this rank predicted the second half better than the league table did.
How we measure →Iraklis Thessaloniki vs Panathinaikos: Over 2.5 & BTTS?
Super League
How often each side's recent league games had over 2.5 goals and both teams scoring.
How to read it
a game where it happenedleague averageup to 10 recent Super League gamesBTTS = both teams scoredIraklis Thessaloniki and Panathinaikos games both go over 2.5 goals less often than the Super League average (51%).
Over 2.5 goalsleague 51%
Iraklis Thessaloniki3 of 8
Panathinaikos5 of 10
BTTSleague 48%
Iraklis Thessaloniki4 of 8
Panathinaikos4 of 10
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
For each team we take its last 10 games in this competition from the past 12 months (fewer if it hasn't played 10) and count how many went over 2.5 goals and how many had both teams scoring. The league figure uses all 236 games played here in the last 12 months.
How we measure →Iraklis Thessaloniki vs Panathinaikos corners, cards and goal times
Super League
Each side's corners and cards a game, and when it scores and concedes, from its recent league games.
How to read it
league averagelast 10 in the league · corners and cards per game- Corners won: league 4.4
- Cards: league 2.6
- Goals before half-time: league 47%
- Goals after 75': league 22%
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
We use each team's last 10 games here. Corners and cards only count games where those stats were recorded, and goal times only count games with reliable goal minutes, so some teams have fewer than 10. We compare with the whole league over the last 12 months.
How we measure →Our prediction record
Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.
Full-Time Result
Panathinaikos5/5
Iraklis Thessaloniki1/3
Both Teams to Score
Panathinaikos2/5
Iraklis Thessaloniki2/3
Over/Under 2.5 Goals
Panathinaikos3/5
Iraklis Thessaloniki2/3
Over/Under 3.5 Goals
Panathinaikos4/5
Iraklis Thessaloniki2/3
First Half Result
Panathinaikos1/5
Iraklis Thessaloniki1/3
Correct Score
Panathinaikos1/5
Iraklis Thessaloniki0/3
correct predictionwrong prediction