1. Olympiacos F.C. vs PAOK

Olympiacos F.C. vs PAOK Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Super League - Season 2026/2027 (Round 10)

Wasteful

Olympiakos Piraeus are scoring fewer goals than their chances (xG) usually bring

−7goals fewer than their chances (xG) in their last 10

77% of teams scoring this many fewer goals than their chances scored more in their next 10 games.

Bookmakers: Olympiakos Piraeus 52% to winPAOK 21%

Olympiakos Piraeus vs PAOK score prediction

Super League

The goals we expect each side to score, not an exact score: built from both teams' chances, the bookmakers' view and real goals here.

Olympiakos Piraeus expected to score more than twice as many as PAOK

2.5 goals in total, a little under the Super League average of 2.6.

goals expected

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

We look at how many chances each team has created and allowed in its recent games in this league, what the bookmakers expected from those games, and the goals actually scored. Then we compare that with how many goals home and away teams usually score here.

Does it work? Since July 2025, our numbers have been 7% closer to the real goals than just using the league average.

How we measure →
Get our AI football prediction and stats for Olympiakos Piraeus vs PAOK: our model’s probabilities next to the bookmakers’ odds in each market, how often similar predictions came true, and both teams’ recent form.

Olympiakos Piraeus vs PAOK — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · Super League

For each market: our model’s probability for this match, the bookmakers’ probability from the current odds (margin removed), whether the two agree, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months. When they disagree, the bookmakers’ number has usually been the better guide.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Olympiakos Piraeus to win

Our model 55%Bookmakers 52%

Our track record

In 2,463 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 54.6% of the time (bookmakers said 55.2%).

Both Teams to Score →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Yes, both score

Our model 52%Bookmakers 48%

Our track record

In 3,093 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 46.6% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 46.4% than to our 50–55%.

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Over 2.5 goals

Our model 51%Bookmakers 46%

Our track record

In 2,839 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 44.2% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 45.2% than to our 50–55%.

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Our model 72%Bookmakers 77%

Our track record

In 4,538 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 72.2% of the time (bookmakers said 71.5%).

First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Draw at half-time

Our model 44%Bookmakers 45%

Our track record

In 6,631 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 44.4% of the time (bookmakers said 44.1%).

Olympiakos Piraeus Goals →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Olympiakos Piraeus 2+ goals

Our model 51%Bookmakers 44%

Our track record

In 1,863 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 42.0% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 43.7% than to our 50–55%.

PAOK Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

PAOK 0–1 goals

Our model 77%Bookmakers 75%

Our track record

In 2,566 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 75–80% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 74.7% of the time (bookmakers said 76.4%).

Odds can still move before kick-off. The track record uses closing odds.

Olympiakos Piraeus vs PAOK — AI Prediction & Probabilities by Market

Below are our AI-generated match predictions for Olympiakos Piraeus vs PAOK. Each market shows the probability of each outcome based on our model's analysis of team form, historical data and current season performance.

Olympiakos PiraeusOlympiakos Piraeus–
PAOKPAOK–

Winner

1 55%

BTTS*

Yes 52%

Correct Score

1-0 12%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 51%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 61%

Full Time

155%
X24%
221%

Goals Over/Under

<1.5>1.5<2.5>2.5
FT25%75%49%51%
<3.5>3.5<4.5>4.5
FT61%39%83%17%

Team Goals Over/Under

<0.5>0.5<1.5>1.5
Olympiakos Piraeus19%81%49%51%
PAOK43%57%77%23%
<2.5>2.5<3.5>3.5
Olympiakos Piraeus76%24%90%10%
PAOK93%7%98%2%

1st Half

139%
X44%
217%

1st Score

160%
X7%
233%

Half Time/Full Time

1-1

34%

X-1

18%

X-X

15%

2-2

10%

X-2

8%

1-X

5%

2-X

5%

2-1

3%

1-2

1%

Correct Score

1-0

11.8%

1-1

11.7%

2-1

10.1%

2-0

9.6%

0-1

6.7%

0-0

6.6%

3-0

5.7%

3-1

5.3%

1-2

5.3%

2-2

4.9%

0-2

3.0%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

Olympiakos Piraeus vs PAOK: the stats that stand out

Super League

Where each side is most unusual compared with the rest of the league: clean sheets, scoring first, wins as favourites and more.

How to read it

the teamleague averageshare of games, 0 to 100%

Olympiakos Piraeus: fast starters and brick wall · PAOK: always on the scoresheet

Fast starters
Olympiakos Piraeus9/10

Olympiakos Piraeus scored first in 9 of their last 10 (league 45%).

Brick wall
Olympiakos Piraeus7/10

Olympiakos Piraeus kept 7 clean sheets in their last 10 (league 32%).

Always on the scoresheet
PAOK0/10

PAOK scored in all of their last 10 (league 32% fail to score).

Calculated by MyGameOdds

How it works

We compare each team's last 10 games in this competition with how often the same thing happens across the whole league (last 12 months). A fact only shows when the team is noticeably different from a typical team. For example, if teams here score first in half their games, a team needs 7 or more out of 10 (or 3 or fewer). We show up to three facts, the most unusual first, never two about the same thing. They describe what happened, not a forecast.

How we measure →

Olympiakos Piraeus vs PAOK: attack vs defence

Super League

Both sides' chances created and allowed a game, next to the rest of the league, measured with our own xG.

How to read it

other Super League teamsleague averagelast 10 games

↑ Fewer chances allowed (xGA a game)

More chances created (xG a game) →

  • Olympiakos PiraeusOlympiakos Piraeus: good attack, good defence (1.94 xG, 0.82 xGA a game)
  • PAOKPAOK: good attack, weak defence (1.71 xG, 1.48 xGA)

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

xG is our estimate of how many goals a team's chances were worth, from the shots in each match; xGA is the same for the chances it allowed. The dashed lines are the average of the teams shown. A team close to a line is about average. Teams with fewer than 5 games here aren't in the chart yet.

How we measure →

Olympiakos Piraeus vs PAOK form and luck check

Super League

Whether each side is taking more or fewer points than its chances usually bring.

How to read it

what their chances usually bringoutside the normal range (±4)last 10 Super League games

Both results in line with their chances

  • Olympiakos Piraeus
    Olympiakos PiraeusBookmakers: 52% to win today.Wasteful · −7 goals
    −0.4
  • PAOK
    PAOKBookmakers: 21% to win today.
    −0.9

Last 5 matches

Olympiakos PiraeusOlympiakos Piraeus
W
W
W
W
L
2nd in table
PAOKPAOK
L
W
L
W
W
5th in table
W
D
L
Last 5 Matches

Strength rank: Olympiakos Piraeus 1st of 14 · PAOK 4th of 14

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

For each of a team's last 10 games, we work out how many points a team usually gets from a game with those chances (xG) for and against, add them up and compare with the points it actually got. We do the same for goals. Strong teams often get a bit more than their chances suggest, so we compare each team with sides of similar strength in this league. That way nobody is flagged just for being good.

We flag a team when the gap is 4 points or more (or 3 goals or more). If some games have no xG data, we use the ones that do.

Does it mean anything? 85% of teams 4+ points ahead of their chances got fewer points in their next 10 games, and 83% of teams 4+ points behind got more. Bookmakers already expect these gaps to even out, so it's a fan's read, not a betting edge.

Strength rank: we rank this season's 14 teams by how much better their attack is than their defence, using chances (xG), the odds and goals. Does it work? Over the first half of a season, this rank predicted the second half better than the league table did.

How we measure →

Olympiakos Piraeus vs PAOK: Over 2.5 & BTTS?

Super League

How often each side's recent league games had over 2.5 goals and both teams scoring.

How to read it

a game where it happenedleague averagelast 10 Super League gamesBTTS = both teams scored

Olympiakos Piraeus games go over 2.5 goals less often than the Super League average (51%), PAOK games more often.

Over 2.5 goalsleague 51%
Olympiakos Piraeus1 of 10
PAOK8 of 10
BTTSleague 48%
Olympiakos Piraeus2 of 10
PAOK8 of 10

Calculated by MyGameOdds

How it works

For each team we take its last 10 games in this competition from the past 12 months (fewer if it hasn't played 10) and count how many went over 2.5 goals and how many had both teams scoring. The league figure uses all 236 games played here in the last 12 months.

How we measure →

Olympiakos Piraeus vs PAOK corners, cards and goal times

Super League

Each side's corners and cards a game, and when it scores and concedes, from its recent league games.

How to read it

league averagelast 10 in the league · corners and cards per gamePro
  • Corners won: league 4.4
  • Cards: league 2.6
  • Goals before half-time: league 47%
  • Goals after 75': league 22%

Calculated by MyGameOdds

How it works

We use each team's last 10 games here. Corners and cards only count games where those stats were recorded, and goal times only count games with reliable goal minutes, so some teams have fewer than 10. We compare with the whole league over the last 12 months.

How we measure →

Our prediction record

Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.

Full-Time Result

Olympiakos PiraeusOlympiakos Piraeus
4/5
PAOKPAOK
3/5

Both Teams to Score

Olympiakos PiraeusOlympiakos Piraeus
3/5
PAOKPAOK
2/5

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

Olympiakos PiraeusOlympiakos Piraeus
2/5
PAOKPAOK
3/5

Over/Under 3.5 Goals

Olympiakos PiraeusOlympiakos Piraeus
4/5
PAOKPAOK
3/5

First Half Result

Olympiakos PiraeusOlympiakos Piraeus
3/5
PAOKPAOK
0/5

Correct Score

Olympiakos PiraeusOlympiakos Piraeus
1/5
PAOKPAOK
0/5
correct predictionwrong prediction

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