Panathinaikos vs OFI 4-1 Score & Prediction Review
Super League - Season 2025/2026 (Round 1)
Panathinaikos4–1
OFIOn these chances Panathinaikos would usually take 2.6 points and OFI 0.3; they took 3 and 0. Bookmakers' favourite: Panathinaikos.
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.
Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.
Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.
How we measure →Panathinaikos vs OFI stats: how the match was played
Super League
Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.
Panathinaikos had more than twice the shots on target
Panathinaikos
OFI
14
Shots on target
2
3
Big chances
1
5
Corners
0
1
Yellow cards
3
54%
Possession
46%
Panathinaikos vs OFI — Our Model vs the Bookmakers
Market check · Super League
How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.
How to read it
Our model’s pick
Panathinaikos to win
CorrectOur track record
In 1,048 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 67.0% of the time (bookmakers said 66.5%).
Our model’s pick
No, not both
WrongOur track record
In 6,407 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 55.3% of the time (bookmakers said 55.0%).
Our model’s pick
Under 2.5 goals
WrongThe bookmakers’ favourite was correct: Over 2.5 goals.
Our track record
In 2,816 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 44.0% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 45.2% than to our 50–55%.
Our model’s pick
Under 3.5 goals
WrongOur track record
In 4,517 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 72.2% of the time (bookmakers said 71.6%).
Our model’s pick
Panathinaikos ahead at half-time
CorrectOur track record
In 4,209 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 47.6% of the time (bookmakers said 47.3%).
Our model’s pick
Panathinaikos 2+ goals
CorrectOur track record
In 2,784 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 59.4% of the time (bookmakers said 58.6%).
Our model’s pick
OFI 0–1 goals
CorrectOur track record
In 1,497 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 80–85% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 78.6% of the time (bookmakers said 80.6%).
Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.
Panathinaikos vs OFI 4-1 — How Our Predictions Performed
The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Panathinaikos vs OFI. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.
Panathinaikos4
OFI1Winner
1 61%
BTTS*
No 53%
Correct Score
1-0 13%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 51%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 64%
Panathinaikos4OFI1Winner
1 61%
BTTS*
No 53%
Correct Score
1-0 13%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 51%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 64%
Full Time
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 26% | 74% | 51% | 49% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 64% | 36% | 84% | 16% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17% | 83% | 47% | 53% |
| 50% | 50% | 82% | 18% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 74% | 26% | 90% | 10% |
| 95% | 5% | 99% | 1% |
1st Half
1st Score
Half Time/Full Time
1-1
42%
X-1
20%
X-X
13%
2-2
7%
X-2
5%
1-X
4%
2-X
4%
2-1
3%
1-2
1%
Correct Score
1-0
13.4%
2-0
11.7%
1-1
10.7%
2-1
10.0%
3-0
7.2%
0-0
7.1%
0-1
5.7%
3-1
5.5%
1-2
4.5%
2-2
3.9%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score