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OFI vs Asteras Tripolis 4-0 Score & Prediction Review

Super League - Season 2025/2026 (Round 16)

Fair result
OFIOFI

4–0

Asteras TripolisAsteras Tripolis
2.9Chances (xG)1.3

On these chances OFI would usually take 2.3 points and Asteras Tripolis 0.6; they took 3 and 0. Bookmakers' favourite: OFI.

OFI +0.7 pts vs chancesAsteras Tripolis −0.6 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

OFI vs Asteras Tripolis stats: how the match was played

Super League

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

OFI had more than twice the shots on target

OFI

Asteras Tripolis

7

Shots on target

3

6

Big chances

1

2

Corners

6

1

Yellow cards

3

0

Red cards

1

51%

Possession

50%

The match between OFI and Asteras Tripolis ended 4-0. Our AI model correctly predicted a OFI win with 45% confidence before kick-off. Our model got 1 out of 4 markets right, correctly predicting Full-Time Result — a reminder that football can be unpredictable, but the data continues to sharpen future predictions.
This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: OFI – PAOK prediction & betting tips (Oct 25, 2026).

OFI vs Asteras Tripolis — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · Super League

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

OFI to win

Correct
Our model 45%Bookmakers 37%

Our track record

In 3,635 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 47.3% of the time (bookmakers said 47.0%).

Both Teams to Score →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Yes, both score

Wrong

The bookmakers’ favourite was correct: No, not both.

Our model 51%Bookmakers 48%

Our track record

In 3,145 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 46.5% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 46.4% than to our 50–55%.

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 2.5 goals

Wrong
Our model 53%Bookmakers 60%

Our track record

In 5,209 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 57.1% of the time (bookmakers said 56.5%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Wrong
Our model 74%Bookmakers 80%

Our track record

In 4,595 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 72.3% of the time (bookmakers said 71.5%).

First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Draw at half-time

Wrong
Our model 44%Bookmakers 47%

Our track record

In 6,718 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 44.5% of the time (bookmakers said 44.2%).

OFI Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

OFI 0–1 goals

Wrong
Our model 58%Bookmakers 70%

Our track record

In 3,499 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.7% of the time (bookmakers said 61.1%).

Asteras Tripolis Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Asteras Tripolis 0–1 goals

Correct
Our model 72%Bookmakers 66%

Our track record

In 3,397 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 71.5% of the time (bookmakers said 72.0%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

OFI vs Asteras Tripolis 4-0 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for OFI vs Asteras Tripolis. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT
Super League - Greece
OFIOFI4
Asteras TripolisAsteras Tripolis0

Winner

1X 72%

BTTS*

Yes 51%

Correct Score

1-1 12%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 53%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 64%

Full Time

145%
X27%
228%

Goals Over/Under

<1.5>1.5<2.5>2.5
FT28%72%53%47%
<3.5>3.5<4.5>4.5
FT64%36%86%14%

Team Goals Over/Under

<0.5>0.5<1.5>1.5
OFI26%74%58%42%
Asteras Tripolis37%63%72%28%
<2.5>2.5<3.5>3.5
OFI83%17%94%6%
Asteras Tripolis91%9%97%3%

1st Half

133%
X44%
222%

1st Score

155%
X8%
237%

Half Time/Full Time

1-1

26%

X-X

19%

X-1

15%

2-2

15%

X-2

11%

1-X

5%

2-X

5%

2-1

3%

1-2

2%

Correct Score

1-1

12.3%

1-0

11.1%

2-1

9.2%

0-1

8.9%

0-0

8.1%

2-0

8.1%

1-2

6.7%

2-2

5.2%

0-2

4.4%

3-1

4.2%

3-0

3.8%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: OFI – PAOK prediction & betting tips (Oct 25, 2026).

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