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Panathinaikos vs Panserraikos 3-0 Score & Prediction Review

Super League - Season 2025/2026 (Round 16)

Fair result
PanathinaikosPanathinaikos

3–0

PanserraikosPanserraikos
3.1Chances (xG)0.5

On these chances Panathinaikos would usually take 2.7 points and Panserraikos 0.2; they took 3 and 0. Bookmakers' favourite: Panathinaikos.

Panathinaikos +0.3 pts vs chancesPanserraikos −0.2 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

Panathinaikos vs Panserraikos stats: how the match was played

Super League

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Panathinaikos had more than twice the shots on target

Panathinaikos

Panserraikos

10

Shots on target

2

6

Big chances

1

10

Corners

1

1

Yellow cards

4

0

Red cards

1

66%

Possession

34%

The match between Panathinaikos and Panserraikos ended 3-0. Our AI model correctly predicted a Panathinaikos win with 74% confidence before kick-off. Overall a solid read on this match, with 3 out of 4 key markets predicted correctly, including Full-Time Result, Both Teams To Score & Over/Under 3.5 Goals.
This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Volos NFC – Panathinaikos prediction & betting tips (Oct 25, 2026).

Panathinaikos vs Panserraikos — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · Super League

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Panathinaikos to win

Correct
Our model 74%Bookmakers 83%

Our track record

In 320 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 79.4% of the time (bookmakers said 76.1%).

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

No, not both

Correct
Our model 64%Bookmakers 66%

Our track record

In 2,453 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 62.5% of the time (bookmakers said 61.6%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 2.5 goals

Wrong

The bookmakers’ favourite was correct: Over 2.5 goals.

Our model 51%Bookmakers 39%

Our track record

In 2,836 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 44.0% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 45.2% than to our 50–55%.

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Correct
Our model 73%Bookmakers 62%

Our track record

In 4,552 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 72.2% of the time (bookmakers said 71.5%).

First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Panathinaikos ahead at half-time

Correct
Our model 60%Bookmakers 63%

Our track record

In 111 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 69.4% of the time (bookmakers said 63.7%).

Panathinaikos Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Panathinaikos 2+ goals

Correct
Our model 62%Bookmakers 74%

Our track record

In 3,455 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 64.0% of the time (bookmakers said 64.0%).

Panserraikos Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Panserraikos 0–1 goals

Correct
Our model 92%Bookmakers 92%

Our track record

In 127 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 90–95% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 86.6% of the time (bookmakers said 88.6%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Panathinaikos vs Panserraikos 3-0 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Panathinaikos vs Panserraikos. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT
Super League - Greece
PanathinaikosPanathinaikos3
PanserraikosPanserraikos0

Winner

1 74%

BTTS*

No 64%

Correct Score

1-0 15%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 51%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 63%

Full Time

174%
X18%
28%

Goals Over/Under

<1.5>1.5<2.5>2.5
FT27%73%51%49%
<3.5>3.5<4.5>4.5
FT63%37%81%19%

Team Goals Over/Under

<0.5>0.5<1.5>1.5
Panathinaikos13%87%39%61%
Panserraikos65%35%91%9%
<2.5>2.5<3.5>3.5
Panathinaikos65%35%84%16%
Panserraikos99%1%100%0%

1st Half

160%
X31%
29%

1st Score

174%
X7%
219%

Half Time/Full Time

1-1

56%

X-1

19%

X-X

9%

1-X

3%

X-2

3%

2-1

3%

2-X

3%

2-2

3%

1-2

1%

Correct Score

1-0

15.4%

2-0

14.9%

3-0

11.2%

2-1

8.9%

1-1

7.9%

0-0

7.5%

3-1

5.6%

0-1

3.8%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Volos NFC – Panathinaikos prediction & betting tips (Oct 25, 2026).

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