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Kifisia vs PAOK 1-4 Score & Prediction Review
Super League - Season 2025/2026 (Round 18)
Kifisia1–4
PAOKOn these chances Kifisia would usually take 0.5 points and PAOK 2.4; they took 0 and 3. Bookmakers' favourite: PAOK.
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.
Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.
Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.
How we measure →Kifisia vs PAOK stats: how the match was played
Super League
Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.
Level on shots on target
Kifisia
PAOK
4
Shots on target
4
0
Big chances
3
1
Corners
2
1
Yellow cards
2
46%
Possession
54%
Kifisia vs PAOK — Our Model vs the Bookmakers
Market check · Super League
How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.
How to read it
Our model’s pick
PAOK to win
CorrectOur track record
In 3,635 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 47.3% of the time (bookmakers said 47.0%).
Our model’s pick
No, not both
WrongOur track record
In 6,527 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 55.3% of the time (bookmakers said 55.0%).
Our model’s pick
Under 2.5 goals
WrongThe bookmakers’ favourite was correct: Over 2.5 goals.
Our track record
In 808 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 46.3% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 46.4% than to our 55–60%.
Our model’s pick
Under 3.5 goals
WrongOur track record
In 3,683 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 75–80% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 76.0% of the time (bookmakers said 76.2%).
Our model’s pick
Draw at half-time
WrongThe bookmakers’ favourite was correct: PAOK ahead at half-time.
Our track record
In 2,251 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 36.8% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 37.3% than to our 40–45%.
Our model’s pick
Kifisia 0–1 goals
CorrectOur track record
In 1,597 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 71.8% of the time (bookmakers said 72.0%).
Our model’s pick
PAOK 0–1 goals
WrongThe bookmakers’ favourite was correct: PAOK 2+ goals.
Our track record
In 361 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 44.0% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 45.7% than to our 60–65%.
Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.
Kifisia vs PAOK 1-4 — How Our Predictions Performed
The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Kifisia vs PAOK. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.
Kifisia1
PAOK4Winner
X2 69%
BTTS*
No 51%
Correct Score
1-1 13%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 57%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 68%
Kifisia1PAOK4Winner
X2 69%
BTTS*
No 51%
Correct Score
1-1 13%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 57%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 68%
Full Time
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 31% | 69% | 57% | 43% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 68% | 32% | 89% | 11% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36% | 64% | 71% | 29% |
| 29% | 71% | 64% | 36% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 90% | 10% | 97% | 3% |
| 86% | 14% | 96% | 4% |
1st Half
1st Score
Half Time/Full Time
2-2
22%
1-1
19%
X-X
17%
X-2
14%
X-1
13%
1-X
5%
2-X
5%
2-1
3%
1-2
2%
Correct Score
1-1
13.1%
0-1
11.7%
1-0
9.9%
0-0
9.4%
1-2
8.4%
0-2
7.5%
2-1
7.3%
2-0
5.3%
2-2
4.8%
1-3
3.5%
0-3
3.3%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score