1. Panaitolikos vs Aris

Panaitolikos vs Aris 0-1 Score & Prediction Review

Super League - Season 2025/2026 (Round 19)

Fair result
PanaitolikosPanaitolikos

0–1

ArisAris
0.1Chances (xG)2.5

On these chances Panaitolikos would usually take 0.1 points and Aris 2.8; they took 0 and 3. Bookmakers' favourite: Aris.

Panaitolikos −0.1 pts vs chancesAris +0.2 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

Panaitolikos vs Aris stats: how the match was played

Super League

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Aris had more than twice the shots on target

Panaitolikos

Aris

1

Shots on target

7

0

Big chances

6

1

Corners

5

1

Yellow cards

2

1

Red cards

0

35%

Possession

65%

The match between Panaitolikos and Aris ended 0-1. Our AI model correctly predicted an Aris win with 49% confidence before kick-off. Overall a solid read on this match, with 2 out of 4 key markets predicted correctly, including Full-Time Result & Over/Under 3.5 Goals.
This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Aris – Atromitos prediction & betting tips (Oct 25, 2026).

Panaitolikos vs Aris — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · Super League

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Aris to win

Correct
Our model 49%Bookmakers 57%

Our track record

In 3,514 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 49.5% of the time (bookmakers said 50.5%).

Both Teams to Score →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Yes, both score

Wrong

The bookmakers’ favourite was correct: No, not both.

Our model 55%Bookmakers 40%

Our track record

In 3,143 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 46.5% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 46.4% than to our 50–55%.

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Over 2.5 goals

Wrong

The bookmakers’ favourite was correct: Under 2.5 goals.

Our model 53%Bookmakers 37%

Our track record

In 2,860 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 44.1% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 45.2% than to our 50–55%.

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Correct
Our model 68%Bookmakers 83%

Our track record

In 3,986 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.3% of the time (bookmakers said 66.7%).

First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Draw at half-time

Correct
Our model 41%Bookmakers 47%

Our track record

In 6,710 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 44.5% of the time (bookmakers said 44.2%).

Panaitolikos Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Panaitolikos 0–1 goals

Correct
Our model 69%Bookmakers 77%

Our track record

In 2,697 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 69.0% of the time (bookmakers said 67.6%).

Aris Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Aris 0–1 goals

Correct
Our model 54%Bookmakers 58%

Our track record

In 1,023 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 59.8% of the time (bookmakers said 59.3%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Panaitolikos vs Aris 0-1 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Panaitolikos vs Aris. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT
PanaitolikosPanaitolikos0
ArisAris1

Winner

X2 72%

BTTS*

Yes 55%

Correct Score

0-1 11%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 53%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 58%

Full Time

128%
X23%
249%

Goals Over/Under

<1.5>1.5<2.5>2.5
FT24%76%47%53%
<3.5>3.5<4.5>4.5
FT58%42%81%19%

Team Goals Over/Under

<0.5>0.5<1.5>1.5
Panaitolikos38%62%69%31%
Aris23%77%54%46%
<2.5>2.5<3.5>3.5
Panaitolikos88%12%96%4%
Aris79%21%92%8%

1st Half

119%
X41%
240%

1st Score

134%
X6%
260%

Half Time/Full Time

2-2

35%

X-2

18%

X-X

14%

1-1

10%

X-1

9%

1-X

4%

2-X

4%

1-2

3%

2-1

2%

Correct Score

0-1

11.2%

1-1

10.2%

1-2

9.4%

0-2

8.1%

1-0

7.0%

2-1

6.3%

0-0

6.1%

2-2

5.2%

1-3

4.8%

0-3

4.3%

2-0

4.0%

2-3

3.1%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Aris – Atromitos prediction & betting tips (Oct 25, 2026).

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