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Asteras Tripolis vs Panserraikos 0-1 Score & Prediction Review

Super League - Season 2025/2026 (Round 24)

Fair result
Asteras TripolisAsteras Tripolis

0–1

PanserraikosPanserraikos
0.6Chances (xG)1.0

On these chances Asteras Tripolis would usually take 1.0 points and Panserraikos 1.7; they took 0 and 3. Bookmakers' favourite: Asteras Tripolis.

Asteras Tripolis −1.0 pts vs chancesPanserraikos +1.3 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

Asteras Tripolis vs Panserraikos stats: how the match was played

Super League

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Panserraikos had more than twice the shots on target

Asteras Tripolis

Panserraikos

0

Shots on target

6

1

Big chances

0

4

Corners

2

2

Yellow cards

4

1

Red cards

0

58%

Possession

42%

The match between Asteras Tripolis and Panserraikos ended 0-1. Our AI model predicted a Asteras Tripolis win at 60% confidence — the final result went a different way, but individual market predictions still offer useful insight. Overall a solid read on this match, with 3 out of 4 key markets predicted correctly, including Both Teams To Score, Over/Under 2.5 Goals & Over/Under 3.5 Goals.
This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: PAOK – Asteras Tripolis prediction & betting tips (Nov 1, 2026).

Asteras Tripolis vs Panserraikos — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · Super League

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Asteras Tripolis to win

Wrong
Our model 60%Bookmakers 58%

Our track record

In 1,068 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 66.9% of the time (bookmakers said 66.3%).

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

No, not both

Correct
Our model 56%Bookmakers 58%

Our track record

In 5,725 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 56.8% of the time (bookmakers said 57.8%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 2.5 goals

Correct
Our model 54%Bookmakers 58%

Our track record

In 5,191 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 57.1% of the time (bookmakers said 56.4%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Correct
Our model 75%Bookmakers 79%

Our track record

In 3,674 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 75–80% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 76.0% of the time (bookmakers said 76.2%).

First Half Result →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Asteras Tripolis ahead at half-time

Wrong

The bookmakers’ favourite was wrong: Draw at half-time.

Our model 43%Bookmakers 42%

Our track record

In 2,234 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 36.7% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 37.3% than to our 40–45%.

Asteras Tripolis Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Asteras Tripolis 2+ goals

Wrong
Our model 51%Bookmakers 50%

Our track record

In 2,822 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 59.4% of the time (bookmakers said 58.7%).

Panserraikos Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Panserraikos 0–1 goals

Correct
Our model 84%Bookmakers 85%

Our track record

In 1,504 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 80–85% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 79.0% of the time (bookmakers said 80.5%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Asteras Tripolis vs Panserraikos 0-1 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Asteras Tripolis vs Panserraikos. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT
Super League - Greece
Asteras TripolisAsteras Tripolis0
PanserraikosPanserraikos1

Winner

1 60%

BTTS*

No 56%

Correct Score

1-0 15%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 54%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 65%

Full Time

160%
X24%
216%

Goals Over/Under

<1.5>1.5<2.5>2.5
FT30%70%54%46%
<3.5>3.5<4.5>4.5
FT65%35%85%15%

Team Goals Over/Under

<0.5>0.5<1.5>1.5
Asteras Tripolis19%81%49%51%
Panserraikos52%48%83%17%
<2.5>2.5<3.5>3.5
Asteras Tripolis75%25%90%10%
Panserraikos96%4%99%1%

1st Half

143%
X39%
218%

1st Score

160%
X9%
231%

Half Time/Full Time

1-1

38%

X-1

18%

X-X

14%

2-2

10%

X-2

7%

1-X

4%

2-X

4%

2-1

3%

1-2

2%

Correct Score

1-0

14.8%

2-0

11.7%

1-1

10.4%

2-1

9.4%

0-0

9.0%

3-0

6.8%

0-1

6.1%

3-1

5.1%

1-2

4.1%

2-2

3.6%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: PAOK – Asteras Tripolis prediction & betting tips (Nov 1, 2026).

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