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Panaitolikos vs PAOK 1-3 Score & Prediction Review
Super League - Season 2026/2027 (Round 5)
Panaitolikos1–3
PAOKOn these chances Panaitolikos would usually take 0.4 points and PAOK 2.4; they took 0 and 3. Bookmakers' favourite: PAOK.
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.
Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.
Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.
How we measure →Panaitolikos vs PAOK stats: how the match was played
Super League
Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.
PAOK had more than twice the shots on target
Panaitolikos
PAOK
1
Shots on target
5
0
Big chances
2
7
Corners
5
4
Yellow cards
2
56%
Possession
44%
Panaitolikos vs PAOK — Our Model vs the Bookmakers
Market check · Super League
How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.
How to read it
Our model’s pick
PAOK to win
CorrectOur track record
In 3,596 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 47.3% of the time (bookmakers said 47.0%).
Our model’s pick
Yes, both score
CorrectThe bookmakers’ favourite was wrong: No, not both.
Our track record
In 544 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 44.7% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 46.7% than to our 55–60%.
Our model’s pick
Over 2.5 goals
CorrectOur track record
In 5,303 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 58.3% of the time (bookmakers said 59.1%).
Our model’s pick
Under 3.5 goals
WrongOur track record
In 3,956 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.4% of the time (bookmakers said 66.8%).
Our model’s pick
Draw at half-time
WrongThe bookmakers’ favourite was correct: PAOK ahead at half-time.
Our track record
In 544 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 35.8% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 38.8% than to our 45–50%.
Our model’s pick
Panaitolikos 0–1 goals
CorrectOur track record
In 2,671 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.9% of the time (bookmakers said 67.6%).
Our model’s pick
PAOK 0–1 goals
WrongThe bookmakers’ favourite was correct: PAOK 2+ goals.
Our track record
In 844 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 42.2% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 42.5% than to our 50–55%.
Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.
Panaitolikos vs PAOK 1-3 — How Our Predictions Performed
The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Panaitolikos vs PAOK. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.
Panaitolikos1
PAOK3Winner
X2 70%
BTTS*
Yes 59%
Correct Score
1-1 11%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 55%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 57%
Panaitolikos1PAOK3Winner
X2 70%
BTTS*
Yes 59%
Correct Score
1-1 11%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 55%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 57%
Full Time
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 22% | 78% | 45% | 55% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 57% | 43% | 81% | 19% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 33% | 67% | 66% | 34% |
| 24% | 76% | 54% | 46% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 87% | 13% | 96% | 4% |
| 79% | 21% | 92% | 8% |
1st Half
1st Score
Half Time/Full Time
2-2
24%
X-X
17%
1-1
16%
X-2
15%
X-1
12%
1-X
5%
2-X
5%
1-2
3%
2-1
2%
Correct Score
1-1
11.4%
1-2
9.3%
0-1
8.9%
2-1
7.3%
1-0
7.1%
0-2
6.7%
0-0
6.2%
2-2
6.2%
1-3
4.7%
2-0
4.4%
0-3
3.6%
2-3
3.1%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score