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OFI vs Asteras Tripolis 2-2 Score & Prediction Review

Super League - Season 2026/2027 (Round 5)

Fair result
OFIOFI

2–2

Asteras TripolisAsteras Tripolis
1.5Chances (xG)0.8

On these chances OFI would usually take 1.8 points and Asteras Tripolis 0.9; they took 1 and 1. Bookmakers' favourite: OFI.

OFI −0.8 pts vs chancesAsteras Tripolis +0.1 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

OFI vs Asteras Tripolis stats: how the match was played

Super League

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

OFI had more than twice the shots on target

OFI

Asteras Tripolis

6

Shots on target

3

0

Big chances

3

5

Corners

2

3

Yellow cards

2

63%

Possession

37%

The match between OFI and Asteras Tripolis ended 2-2. Our AI model predicted a OFI win at 46% confidence — the final result went a different way, but individual market predictions still offer useful insight. Our model got 1 out of 4 markets right, correctly predicting Both Teams To Score — a reminder that football can be unpredictable, but the data continues to sharpen future predictions.
This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Asteras Tripolis – Levadiakos prediction & betting tips (Oct 24, 2026).

OFI vs Asteras Tripolis — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · Super League

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

OFI to win

Wrong
Our model 46%Bookmakers 41%

Our track record

In 3,477 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 49.6% of the time (bookmakers said 50.6%).

Both Teams to Score →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Yes, both score

Correct

The bookmakers’ favourite was wrong: No, not both.

Our model 51%Bookmakers 48%

Our track record

In 3,116 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 46.5% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 46.4% than to our 50–55%.

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 2.5 goals

Wrong
Our model 53%Bookmakers 59%

Our track record

In 5,151 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 57.1% of the time (bookmakers said 56.4%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Wrong
Our model 74%Bookmakers 79%

Our track record

In 4,551 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 72.2% of the time (bookmakers said 71.5%).

First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Draw at half-time

Correct
Our model 49%Bookmakers 47%

Our track record

In 4,234 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 48.0% of the time (bookmakers said 47.2%).

OFI Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

OFI 0–1 goals

Wrong
Our model 57%Bookmakers 62%

Our track record

In 3,464 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.7% of the time (bookmakers said 61.1%).

Asteras Tripolis Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Asteras Tripolis 0–1 goals

Wrong
Our model 73%Bookmakers 74%

Our track record

In 3,353 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 71.7% of the time (bookmakers said 72.0%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

OFI vs Asteras Tripolis 2-2 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for OFI vs Asteras Tripolis. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT
Super League - Greece
OFIOFI2
Asteras TripolisAsteras Tripolis2

Winner

1X 74%

BTTS*

Yes 51%

Correct Score

1-1 13%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 53%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 64%

Full Time

146%
X27%
226%

Goals Over/Under

<1.5>1.5<2.5>2.5
FT28%72%53%47%
<3.5>3.5<4.5>4.5
FT64%36%85%15%

Team Goals Over/Under

<0.5>0.5<1.5>1.5
OFI24%76%57%43%
Asteras Tripolis39%61%73%27%
<2.5>2.5<3.5>3.5
OFI81%19%93%7%
Asteras Tripolis91%9%98%2%

1st Half

125%
X49%
226%

1st Score

147%
X8%
245%

Half Time/Full Time

1-1

21%

X-X

20%

2-2

17%

X-1

16%

X-2

11%

2-X

6%

1-X

5%

2-1

3%

1-2

2%

Correct Score

1-1

12.6%

1-0

11.2%

2-1

9.0%

0-0

8.4%

2-0

8.0%

0-1

8.0%

1-2

6.4%

2-2

5.2%

3-1

4.3%

3-0

4.3%

0-2

4.3%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Asteras Tripolis – Levadiakos prediction & betting tips (Oct 24, 2026).

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