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AEK Athens vs OFI 3-0 Score & Prediction Review
Super League - Season 2026/2027 (Round 6)
AEK Athens3–0
OFIOn these chances AEK Athens would usually take 2.5 points and OFI 0.3; they took 3 and 0. Bookmakers' favourite: AEK Athens.
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.
Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.
Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.
How we measure →AEK Athens vs OFI stats: how the match was played
Super League
Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.
AEK Athens had more than twice the shots on target
AEK Athens
OFI
7
Shots on target
0
2
Big chances
0
9
Corners
4
2
Yellow cards
2
0
Red cards
1
57%
Possession
43%
AEK Athens vs OFI — Our Model vs the Bookmakers
Market check · Super League
How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.
How to read it
Our model’s pick
AEK Athens to win
CorrectOur track record
In 326 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 79.4% of the time (bookmakers said 76.1%).
Our model’s pick
No, not both
CorrectOur track record
In 6,474 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 55.3% of the time (bookmakers said 55.0%).
Our model’s pick
Over 2.5 goals
CorrectOur track record
In 3,104 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.4% of the time (bookmakers said 62.7%).
Our model’s pick
Under 3.5 goals
CorrectOur track record
In 945 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 59.7% of the time (bookmakers said 59.9%).
Our model’s pick
AEK Athens ahead at half-time
CorrectOur track record
In 110 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 67.3% of the time (bookmakers said 63.9%).
Our model’s pick
AEK Athens 2+ goals
CorrectOur track record
In 2,662 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 69.1% of the time (bookmakers said 67.6%).
Our model’s pick
OFI 0–1 goals
CorrectOur track record
In 1,483 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 80–85% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 79.0% of the time (bookmakers said 80.6%).
Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.
AEK Athens vs OFI 3-0 — How Our Predictions Performed
The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for AEK Athens vs OFI. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.
AEK Athens3
OFI0Winner
1 72%
BTTS*
No 51%
Correct Score
2-0 11%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 65%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
over 54%
AEK Athens3OFI0Winner
1 72%
BTTS*
No 51%
Correct Score
2-0 11%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 65%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
over 54%
Full Time
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 16% | 84% | 35% | 65% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 46% | 54% | 67% | 33% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10% | 90% | 30% | 70% |
| 59% | 41% | 84% | 16% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 54% | 46% | 74% | 26% |
| 95% | 5% | 99% | 1% |
1st Half
1st Score
Half Time/Full Time
1-1
57%
X-1
19%
X-X
9%
1-X
3%
X-2
3%
2-X
3%
2-2
3%
2-1
2%
1-2
1%
Correct Score
2-0
10.6%
3-0
9.3%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
8.2%
1-1
7.4%
3-1
6.2%
2-2
4.0%
0-0
4.0%
3-2
3.2%
0-1
3.1%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score
AEK Athens vs OFI — Recent Form
AEK Athens have won 4, drawn 1 and lost 0 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 3rd in the table. OFI have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 6th in the table.
Last 5 matches
AEK AthensOFIOur prediction record
Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.
Full-Time Result
AEK AthensOFIBoth Teams to Score
AEK AthensOFIOver/Under 2.5 Goals
AEK AthensOFIOver/Under 3.5 Goals
AEK AthensOFIFirst Half Result
AEK AthensOFICorrect Score
AEK AthensOFI