AEK Athens vs OFI Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Super League - Season 2026/2027 (Round 6)

Goal-fest alert

More goals than usual expected in AEK Athens vs OFI

3.0goals expected · Super League average 2.5

Since July 2025, games with an alert like this averaged 3.2 goals, and 62% went over 2.5.

Bookmakers: over 2.5 goals 63%

AEK Athens vs OFI score prediction

Super League

The goals we expect each side to score, not an exact score: built from both teams' chances, the bookmakers' view and real goals here.

Goal-fest alert3.0 goals expected

3.0 goals in total: more goals than a typical Super League game (average 2.5).

goals expected

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

We look at how many chances each team has created and allowed in its recent games in this league, what the bookmakers expected from those games, and the goals actually scored. Then we compare that with how many goals home and away teams usually score here.

Does it work? Since July 2025, our numbers have been 7% closer to the real goals than just using the league average.

Goal-fest alert: we expect at least 2.7 goals, clearly more than usual in this league (8.5% above the average). Since July 2025, these games averaged 3.2 goals, and 62% went over 2.5.

Bore draw alert: we expect 2.3 goals or fewer, clearly less than usual (11% below the average). These games averaged 2.2 goals, and 63% stayed under 2.5.

Bookmakers usually see these coming too, so use the alert to know what kind of game to expect, not as a betting edge.

How we measure →
Get our AI football prediction and stats for AEK Athens vs OFI: our model’s probabilities next to the bookmakers’ odds in each market, how often similar predictions came true, and both teams’ recent form.

AEK Athens vs OFI — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · Super League

For each market: our model’s probability for this match, the bookmakers’ probability from the current odds (margin removed), whether the two agree, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months. When they disagree, the bookmakers’ number has usually been the better guide.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

AEK Athens to win

Our model 71%Bookmakers 78%

Our track record

In 320 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 80.0% of the time (bookmakers said 76.2%).

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

No, not both

Our model 51%Bookmakers 54%

Our track record

In 6,315 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 55.3% of the time (bookmakers said 55.0%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Over 2.5 goals

Our model 65%Bookmakers 63%

Our track record

In 3,008 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.6% of the time (bookmakers said 62.5%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Our model 58%Bookmakers 58%

Our track record

In 882 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 60.0% of the time (bookmakers said 60.2%).

First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

AEK Athens ahead at half-time

Our model 59%Bookmakers 59%

Our track record

In 295 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 60.3% of the time (bookmakers said 58.1%).

AEK Athens Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

AEK Athens 2+ goals

Our model 69%Bookmakers 74%

Our track record

In 2,625 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.9% of the time (bookmakers said 67.7%).

OFI Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

OFI 0–1 goals

Our model 84%Bookmakers 85%

Our track record

In 1,481 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 80–85% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 78.6% of the time (bookmakers said 80.6%).

Odds can still move before kick-off. The track record uses closing odds.

AEK Athens vs OFI — AI Prediction & Probabilities by Market

Below are our AI-generated match predictions for AEK Athens vs OFI. Each market shows the probability of each outcome based on our model's analysis of team form, historical data and current season performance.

AEK AthensAEK Athens–
OFIOFI–

Winner

1 71%

BTTS*

No 51%

Correct Score

2-0 10%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 65%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

over 52%

Full Time

171%
X17%
211%

Goals Over/Under

<1.5>1.5<2.5>2.5
FT16%84%35%65%
<3.5>3.5<4.5>4.5
FT48%52%69%31%

Team Goals Over/Under

<0.5>0.5<1.5>1.5
AEK Athens10%90%31%69%
OFI58%42%83%17%
<2.5>2.5<3.5>3.5
AEK Athens55%45%75%25%
OFI95%5%99%1%

1st Half

158%
X33%
28%

1st Score

178%
X4%
218%

Half Time/Full Time

1-1

57%

X-1

19%

X-X

9%

1-X

3%

X-2

3%

2-1

3%

2-X

3%

2-2

3%

1-2

0%

Correct Score

2-0

10.4%

3-0

9.7%

2-1

8.7%

1-0

8.7%

1-1

7.8%

3-1

6.0%

0-0

4.2%

2-2

4.1%

1-2

3.2%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

AEK Athens vs OFI: the stats that stand out

Super League

Where each side is most unusual compared with the rest of the league: clean sheets, scoring first, wins as favourites and more.

How to read it

the teamleague averageshare of games, 0 to 100%

AEK Athens: fast starters and always on the scoresheet

Fast starters
AEK Athens7/10

AEK Athens scored first in 7 of their last 10 (league 45%).

Always on the scoresheet
AEK Athens1/10

AEK Athens failed to score in only 1 of their last 10 (league 31%).

Calculated by MyGameOdds

How it works

We compare each team's last 10 games in this competition with how often the same thing happens across the whole league (last 12 months). A fact only shows when the team is noticeably different from a typical team. For example, if teams here score first in half their games, a team needs 7 or more out of 10 (or 3 or fewer). We show up to three facts, the most unusual first, never two about the same thing. They describe what happened, not a forecast.

How we measure →

AEK Athens vs OFI: attack vs defence

Super League

How to read it

other Super League teamsleague averagelast 10 games

↑ Fewer chances allowed (xGA a game)

More chances created (xG a game) →

  • AEK AthensAEK Athens: good attack, good defence (1.83 xG, 1.03 xGA a game)
  • OFIOFI: weak attack, good defence (1.34 xG, 1.38 xGA)

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

xG is our estimate of how many goals a team's chances were worth, from the shots in each match; xGA is the same for the chances it allowed. The dashed lines are the average of the teams shown. A team close to a line is about average. Teams with fewer than 5 games here aren't in the chart yet.

How we measure →

AEK Athens vs OFI form and luck check

Super League

Whether each side is taking more or fewer points than its chances usually bring.

How to read it

what their chances usually bringoutside the normal range (±4)last 10 Super League games

Both results in line with their chances

  • AEK Athens
    AEK AthensBookmakers: 78% to win today.
    −0.7
  • OFI
    OFIBookmakers: 7% to win today.Clinical · +4 goals
    +3.7

Last 5 matches

AEK AthensAEK Athens
W
D
W
D
W
3rd in table
OFIOFI
D
W
W
L
W
4th in table
W
D
L
Last 5 Matches

Strength rank: AEK Athens 2nd of 14 · OFI 11th of 14

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

For each of a team's last 10 games, we work out how many points a team usually gets from a game with those chances (xG) for and against, add them up and compare with the points it actually got. We do the same for goals. Strong teams often get a bit more than their chances suggest, so we compare each team with sides of similar strength in this league. That way nobody is flagged just for being good.

We flag a team when the gap is 4 points or more (or 3 goals or more). If some games have no xG data, we use the ones that do.

Does it mean anything? 85% of teams 4+ points ahead of their chances got fewer points in their next 10 games, and 83% of teams 4+ points behind got more. Bookmakers already expect these gaps to even out, so it's a fan's read, not a betting edge.

Strength rank: we rank this season's 14 teams by how much better their attack is than their defence, using chances (xG), the odds and goals. Does it work? Over the first half of a season, this rank predicted the second half better than the league table did.

How we measure →

AEK Athens vs OFI: Over 2.5 & BTTS?

Super League

How to read it

a game where it happenedleague averagelast 10 Super League gamesBTTS = both teams scored

Both teams score in AEK Athens and OFI games more often than the Super League average (48%).

Over 2.5 goalsleague 49%
AEK Athens5 of 10
OFI5 of 10
BTTSleague 48%
AEK Athens6 of 10
OFI5 of 10

Calculated by MyGameOdds

How it works

For each team we take its last 10 games in this competition from the past 12 months (fewer if it hasn't played 10) and count how many went over 2.5 goals and how many had both teams scoring. The league figure uses all 230 games played here in the last 12 months.

How we measure →

AEK Athens vs OFI corners, cards and goal times

Super League

How to read it

league averagelast 10 in the league · corners and cards per gamePro · free for now

OFI score early

AEK Athens

OFI

4.9

Corners won · league 4.4

3.0

3.2

Corners conceded · league 4.4

4.5

2.4

Cards · league 2.6

2.4

2.6

Opponents' cards · league 2.6

2.9

25%

Goals before half-time · league 47%

63%

20%

Goals after 75' · league 21%

19%

33%

Conceded before half-time · league 47%

46%

50%

Conceded after 75' · league 21%

38%

Calculated by MyGameOdds

How it works

We use each team's last 10 games here. Corners and cards only count games where those stats were recorded, and goal times only count games with reliable goal minutes, so some teams have fewer than 10. We compare with the whole league over the last 12 months.

How we measure →

Our prediction record

Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.

Full-Time Result

AEK AthensAEK Athens
3/5
OFIOFI
3/5

Both Teams to Score

AEK AthensAEK Athens
1/5
OFIOFI
2/5

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

AEK AthensAEK Athens
4/5
OFIOFI
1/5

Over/Under 3.5 Goals

AEK AthensAEK Athens
3/5
OFIOFI
4/5

First Half Result

AEK AthensAEK Athens
2/5
OFIOFI
2/5

Correct Score

AEK AthensAEK Athens
0/5
OFIOFI
0/5
correct predictionwrong prediction

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